Financials China Modern Dairy Holdings Ltd.

Equities

1117

KYG215791008

Fishing & Farming

Market Closed - Hong Kong S.E. 04:08:16 2024-05-02 EDT 5-day change 1st Jan Change
0.65 HKD 0.00% Intraday chart for China Modern Dairy Holdings Ltd. +3.17% -12.16%

Valuation

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Capitalization 1 6,585 10,111 8,449 6,921 5,324 4,765 - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 12,511 14,799 15,624 17,266 5,324 14,459 13,647 12,992
P/E ratio 18.6 x 13 x 7.42 x 12.3 x 30.4 x 10.3 x 4.32 x 6.21 x
Yield - 1.28% 2.44% 1.62% - 1.64% 3.23% 7.55%
Capitalization / Revenue 1.19 x 1.68 x 1.19 x 0.56 x 0.4 x 0.32 x 0.29 x 0.27 x
EV / Revenue 2.27 x 2.46 x 2.21 x 1.4 x 0.4 x 0.98 x 0.84 x 0.75 x
EV / EBITDA 6.39 x 6.87 x 6.89 x 6.3 x 2.13 x 4.57 x 3.93 x 3.71 x
EV / FCF 25.5 x 32.6 x -126 x -6.96 x - 22.4 x 10.9 x 8.15 x
FCF Yield 3.92% 3.07% -0.79% -14.4% - 4.46% 9.14% 12.3%
Price to Book 0.93 x 1.28 x 0.78 x 0.61 x - 0.38 x 0.35 x 0.37 x
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 6,407,635 6,458,566 7,915,662 7,915,662 7,915,662 7,915,662 - -
Reference price 2 1.028 1.565 1.067 0.8743 0.6726 0.6020 0.6020 0.6020
Announcement Date 20-03-23 21-03-23 22-03-29 23-03-28 24-03-25 - - -
1CNY in Million2CNY
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net sales 1 5,514 6,020 7,078 12,295 13,458 14,771 16,293 17,337
EBITDA 1 1,958 2,153 2,268 2,740 2,496 3,164 3,470 3,504
EBIT 1 1,650 1,890 1,987 974.6 1,898 2,870 3,343 3,248
Operating Margin 29.92% 31.4% 28.07% 7.93% 14.1% 19.43% 20.52% 18.73%
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 350.4 784.4 1,233 595 229 724.2 1,091 879.4
Net income 1 341.3 770 1,019 562.5 175.2 650.2 997.4 760.2
Net margin 6.19% 12.79% 14.39% 4.57% 1.3% 4.4% 6.12% 4.38%
EPS 2 0.0552 0.1204 0.1439 0.0713 0.0221 0.0584 0.1393 0.0970
Free Cash Flow 1 490.1 454.3 -123.9 -2,482 - 645 1,247 1,595
FCF margin 8.89% 7.55% -1.75% -20.19% - 4.37% 7.65% 9.2%
FCF Conversion (EBITDA) 25.02% 21.11% - - - 20.38% 35.94% 45.52%
FCF Conversion (Net income) 143.61% 59% - - - 99.2% 125.03% 209.81%
Dividend per Share 2 - 0.0200 0.0260 0.0142 - 0.009900 0.0195 0.0454
Announcement Date 20-03-23 21-03-23 22-03-29 23-03-28 24-03-25 - - -
1CNY in Million2CNY
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)

Fiscal Period: December 2019 S2 2020 S1 2021 S1 2022 S1 2023 S1 2023 S2
Net sales 2,944 2,828 3,180 - - -
EBITDA - - - - - -
EBIT - - - - - -
Operating Margin - - - - - -
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 - - - - - -4.31
Net income 1 - 220.7 496.7 507.7 209.3 -34.13
Net margin - 7.81% 15.62% - - -
EPS 0.0347 - - 0.0645 0.0265 -
Dividend per Share - - - - - -
Announcement Date 20-03-23 20-08-24 21-08-23 22-08-23 23-08-29 24-03-25
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Balance Sheet Analysis

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net Debt 1 5,926 4,689 7,175 10,345 - 9,695 8,883 8,227
Net Cash position 1 - - - - - - - -
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 3.026 x 2.178 x 3.163 x 3.776 x - 3.064 x 2.56 x 2.348 x
Free Cash Flow 1 490 454 -124 -2,482 - 645 1,247 1,595
ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) 5.05% 10.3% 10.9% 5.08% - 5.2% 6.64% 6.56%
ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) 2.16% 4.92% 5.19% 2.14% - 1.5% 2.33% 2.25%
Assets 1 15,835 15,651 19,621 26,248 - 43,347 42,806 33,862
Book Value Per Share 2 1.110 1.220 1.370 1.430 - 1.590 1.740 1.610
Cash Flow per Share 2 0.3300 0.3000 0.2600 0.2000 - 0.3700 0.4500 0.4000
Capex 1 1,559 1,484 1,993 4,059 - 2,537 2,607 2,471
Capex / Sales 28.27% 24.65% 28.15% 33.01% - 17.17% 16% 14.25%
Announcement Date 20-03-23 21-03-23 22-03-29 23-03-28 24-03-25 - - -
1CNY in Million2CNY
Estimates

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
B
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
7
Last Close Price
0.602 CNY
Average target price
0.8896 CNY
Spread / Average Target
+47.78%
Consensus
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