Projected Income Statement: BRP Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet: BRP Inc.

Fiscal Period: January 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Net Debt 1 1,775 2,785 2,460 2,950 2,253 1,938 1,707 1,160
Change - 56.9% -11.67% 19.92% -23.63% -13.97% -11.92% -32.04%
Announcement Date 3/25/22 3/23/23 3/28/24 3/26/25 3/26/26 - - -
1CAD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: BRP Inc.

Fiscal Period: January 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
CAPEX 1 628.9 659.4 585.8 426.4 341.2 423.9 449.5 466.3
Change - 4.85% -11.16% -27.21% -19.98% 24.23% 6.03% 3.74%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 141.1 -9.9 1,072 313.7 871.3 423.5 654 663.3
Change - -107.02% 10,931.31% -70.75% 177.75% -51.39% 54.4% 1.43%
Announcement Date 3/25/22 3/23/23 3/28/24 3/26/25 3/26/26 - - -
1CAD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: BRP Inc.

Fiscal Period: January 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 19.12% 17.01% 16.39% 13.28% 13.07% 11.23% 12.66% 15.02%
EBIT Margin (%) 15.52% 13.63% 12.71% 8.09% 4.73% 6.2% 7.65% 9.66%
EBT Margin (%) 14.08% 11.62% 9.2% 1.95% 4.33% 4.38% 5.8% 8.77%
Net margin (%) 10.39% 8.63% 7.18% 0.8% 4.03% 3.1% 4.29% 6.49%
FCF margin (%) 1.84% -0.1% 10.34% 4.01% 10.32% 4.69% 6.86% 6.61%
FCF / Net Income (%) 17.76% -1.14% 144.03% 500.32% 255.96% 151.26% 159.83% 101.87%

Profitability

        
ROA 17.07% 16.99% 13.19% 5.34% 6.06% 5.83% 8% 9.2%
ROE - 489.21% 129.99% 66.46% 89.21% 48.25% 55.12% 51.17%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.21x 1.63x 1.45x 2.84x 2.04x 1.91x 1.41x 0.77x
Debt / Free cash flow 12.58x -281.29x 2.29x 9.4x 2.59x 4.58x 2.61x 1.75x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 8.22% 6.57% 5.65% 5.45% 4.04% 4.69% 4.72% 4.65%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 43.01% 38.65% 34.47% 41% 30.92% 41.8% 37.25% 30.94%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 445.71% -6,660.61% 54.63% 135.93% 39.16% 100.08% 68.73% 70.29%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 9.031 8.024 21.12 9.923 16.41 12.99 14.84 16.76
Change - -11.15% 163.16% -53.01% 65.36% -20.85% 14.27% 12.94%
Dividend per Share 1 0.52 0.64 0.72 0.845 0.895 0.9618 1.057 1.165
Change - 23.08% 12.5% 17.36% 5.92% 7.46% 9.87% 10.25%
Book Value Per Share 1 -1.63 6.779 10.48 3.235 8.264 11.3 15.49 20.64
Change - 516.02% 54.63% -69.14% 155.45% 36.68% 37.12% 33.29%
EPS 1 9.31 10.67 9.47 0.84 4.64 4.697 5.877 9.414
Change - 14.61% -11.25% -91.13% 452.38% 1.23% 25.11% 60.19%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 82,005 78,745 75,366 73,010 73,415 73,738 73,738 73,738
Announcement Date 3/25/22 3/23/23 3/28/24 3/26/25 3/26/26 - - -
1CAD
Estimates
2027 *2028 *
P/E ratio 16.6x 13.3x
PBR 6.91x 5.04x
EV / Sales 0.85x 0.78x
Yield 1.23% 1.35%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
21
Last Close Price
78.08CAD
Average target price
99.89CAD
Spread / Average Target
+27.93%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise