Projected Income Statement: BHP Group Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: BHP Group Limited

Fiscal Period: June 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 5,507 333 11,166 9,120 12,924 13,964 14,441 12,951
Change - -93.95% 3,253.15% -18.32% 41.71% 8.05% 3.42% -10.32%
Announcement Date 8/17/21 8/15/22 8/21/23 8/26/24 8/18/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: BHP Group Limited

Fiscal Period: June 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 6,606 5,855 6,733 8,816 9,398 10,623 10,550 9,774
Change - -11.37% 15% 30.94% 6.6% 13.04% -0.69% -7.36%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 20,114 25,215 11,968 11,849 9,294 9,243 9,829 10,761
Change - 25.36% -52.54% -0.99% -21.56% -0.55% 6.34% 9.49%
Announcement Date 8/17/21 8/15/22 8/21/23 8/26/24 8/18/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: BHP Group Limited

Fiscal Period: June 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 61.46% 62.42% 51.95% 52.13% 50.72% 55.31% 53.79% 53.3%
EBIT Margin (%) 49.81% 52.84% 42.4% 42.46% 39.48% 44.29% 42.13% 40.87%
EBT Margin (%) 40.45% 50.9% 39.77% 28.83% 35.8% 42.07% 40.57% 38.83%
Net margin (%) 18.59% 47.47% 24.01% 14.19% 17.59% 21.99% 22.44% 22.3%
FCF margin (%) 33.07% 38.73% 22.24% 21.29% 18.13% 17.29% 18.82% 20.49%
FCF / Net Income (%) 177.94% 81.6% 92.62% 150.04% 103.05% 78.62% 83.87% 91.86%

Profitability

        
ROA 15.91% 30.28% 13.15% 13.41% 9.62% 13.56% 12.18% 11.32%
ROE 31.69% 49.5% 28.89% 30.59% 21.97% 23.58% 20.22% 18.26%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.15x 0.01x 0.4x 0.31x 0.5x 0.47x 0.51x 0.46x
Debt / Free cash flow 0.27x 0.01x 0.93x 0.77x 1.39x 1.51x 1.47x 1.2x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 10.86% 8.99% 12.51% 15.84% 18.33% 19.87% 20.2% 18.61%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 17.67% 14.41% 24.08% 30.38% 36.15% 35.92% 37.55% 34.91%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 32.84% 23.22% 56.26% 74.4% 101.12% 114.94% 107.34% 90.82%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 5.374 5.775 3.686 4.07 3.677 3.819 3.98 3.919
Change - 7.47% -36.17% 10.41% -9.65% 3.86% 4.2% -1.52%
Dividend per Share 1 3.01 3.25 1.7 1.46 1.1 1.259 1.218 1.094
Change - 7.97% -47.69% -14.12% -24.66% 14.49% -3.32% -10.16%
Book Value Per Share 1 10.14 8.882 8.786 8.838 9.392 10.22 11.2 12.19
Change - -12.38% -1.09% 0.59% 6.26% 8.83% 9.55% 8.86%
EPS 1 2.235 6.093 2.547 1.555 1.774 2.351 2.394 2.323
Change - 172.62% -58.2% -38.95% 14.08% 32.55% 1.82% -2.99%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 5,057,690 5,061,151 5,064,466 5,069,816 5,075,992 5,077,908 5,077,908 5,077,908
Announcement Date 8/17/21 8/15/22 8/21/23 8/26/24 8/18/25 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 13.7x 13.4x
PBR 3.14x 2.87x
EV / Sales 3.31x 3.4x
Yield 3.92% 3.79%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
15
Last Close Price
32.12USD
Average target price
31.49USD
Spread / Average Target
-1.95%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. BHP Stock
  4. Financials BHP Group Limited