Projected Income Statement: Aldar Properties

Forecast Balance Sheet: Aldar Properties

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 -480 -2,253 361 1,250 3,852 5,141 -2,843 -7,050
Change - -369.38% 116.02% 246.26% 208.16% 33.47% -155.3% -147.98%
Announcement Date 2/9/22 2/9/23 2/9/24 2/10/25 2/9/26 - - -
1AED in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Aldar Properties

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 352.7 7,544 2,229 2,372 2,100 3,713 3,724 3,498
Change - 2,039% -70.46% 6.42% -11.46% 76.83% 0.29% -6.07%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 5,448 -1,317 1,361 2,751 4,865 380 5,700 5,784
Change - -124.17% 203.34% 102.13% 76.87% -92.19% 1,400% 1.47%
Announcement Date 2/9/22 2/9/23 2/9/24 2/10/25 2/9/26 - - -
1AED in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Aldar Properties

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 34.58% 32.72% 36.01% 29.62% 29.15% 32.34% 31.65% 31.48%
EBIT Margin (%) 31.67% 29.66% 28.08% 26.6% 27.86% 29.89% 29.36% 29.86%
EBT Margin (%) 27.21% 28.42% 31.98% 29.82% 29.46% 30.03% 28.51% 28.8%
Net margin (%) 27% 26.29% 27.7% 24.33% 22.51% 22.4% 22.9% 22.74%
FCF margin (%) 63.52% -11.76% 9.61% 11.96% 14.39% 1.03% 13.05% 11.83%
FCF / Net Income (%) 235.26% -44.73% 34.7% 49.16% 63.93% 4.59% 56.99% 52.03%

Profitability

        
ROA 5.49% 5.31% 5.85% 7.06% 7.79% 8.62% 9.12% 9.84%
ROE 8.79% 10.32% 12.44% 16.08% 19.3% 18.23% 18.91% 18.39%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - 0.07x 0.18x 0.39x 0.43x - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - 0.27x 0.45x 0.79x 13.53x - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 4.11% 67.36% 15.74% 10.31% 6.21% 10.05% 8.53% 7.16%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 11.89% 205.88% 43.7% 34.81% 21.3% 31.08% 26.95% 22.73%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 6.47% -572.84% 163.76% 86.22% 43.16% 977.22% 65.34% 60.48%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.7377 0.792 0.4565 0.6515 1.046 1.143 0.9986 1.404
Change - 7.36% -42.36% 42.72% 60.58% 9.22% -12.6% 40.57%
Dividend per Share 1 0.15 0.16 0.17 0.185 0.205 0.2175 0.254 0.293
Change - 6.67% 6.25% 8.82% 10.81% 6.1% 16.79% 15.35%
Book Value Per Share 1 3.424 3.836 4.182 4.669 5.413 6.064 7.124 8.345
Change - 12.05% 9% 11.64% 15.95% 12.03% 17.47% 17.14%
EPS 1 0.295 0.368 0.486 0.7 0.955 1.059 1.273 1.415
Change - 24.75% 32.07% 44.03% 36.43% 10.87% 20.25% 11.14%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 7,862,630 7,862,630 7,862,630 7,862,630 7,862,630 7,862,630 7,862,630 7,862,630
Announcement Date 2/9/22 2/9/23 2/9/24 2/10/25 2/9/26 - - -
1AED
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 7.56x 6.29x
PBR 1.32x 1.12x
EV / Sales 1.84x 1.38x
Yield 2.72% 3.17%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
15
Last Close Price
8.130AED
Average target price
10.55AED
Spread / Average Target
+29.73%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. ALDAR Stock
  4. Financials Aldar Properties
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