Stock AA ALCOA CORPORATION
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Financials Alcoa Corporation

Equities

AA

US0138721065

Aluminum

Market Closed - Nyse
Other stock markets
 16:01:28 2024-04-26 EDT 		After market 20:00:00
36.88 USD +2.62% Intraday chart for Alcoa Corporation 37.34 +1.26%
04-22 Alcoa on Path to More 'Balanced Risk-Reward' Due to Cost-Cutting Plans as Operational Risks Mitigating, Morgan Stanley says MT
04-22 Morgan Stanley Upgrades Alcoa to Equalweight From Underweight, Lifts Price Target to $36.50 From $28.50, Sees 'More Balanced Risk-Reward' MT

Valuation

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Capitalization 1 3,992 4,286 11,148 8,045 6,068 6,622 - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 4,913 5,221 11,136 8,489 6,991 7,749 7,570 7,083
P/E ratio -3.54 x -25.3 x 26.4 x - -9.32 x -75.9 x 14.6 x 13.3 x
Yield - - 0.17% 0.88% - 1.08% 0.95% 1.09%
Capitalization / Revenue 0.38 x 0.46 x 0.92 x - 0.58 x 0.61 x 0.59 x 0.56 x
EV / Revenue 0.47 x 0.56 x 0.92 x - 0.66 x 0.71 x 0.67 x 0.6 x
EV / EBITDA 2.97 x 4.54 x 4.03 x - 13 x 7.66 x 5.21 x 3.93 x
EV / FCF 16 x 127 x 21 x 24.8 x -15.9 x -52.8 x 30.6 x 33.5 x
FCF Yield 6.25% 0.79% 4.76% 4.03% -6.29% -1.89% 3.27% 2.99%
Price to Book 0.98 x 1.3 x 2.39 x 1.59 x - 1.63 x 1.51 x 1.29 x
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 185,573 185,930 187,103 176,937 178,472 179,559 - -
Reference price 2 21.51 23.05 59.58 45.47 34.00 36.88 36.88 36.88
Announcement Date 20-01-15 21-01-20 22-01-19 23-01-18 24-01-17 - - -
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net sales 1 10,433 9,286 12,152 - 10,551 10,859 11,277 11,782
EBITDA 1 1,656 1,151 2,763 - 536 1,012 1,452 1,803
EBIT 1 943 498 2,099 - -96 428.5 878.1 1,200
Operating Margin 9.04% 5.36% 17.27% - -0.91% 3.95% 7.79% 10.19%
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 -438 173 1,199 - -584 73.97 799.4 954.5
Net income 1 -1,125 -170 429 - -651 -187.8 406 510.7
Net margin -10.78% -1.83% 3.53% - -6.17% -1.73% 3.6% 4.33%
EPS 2 -6.070 -0.9100 2.260 - -3.650 -0.4857 2.523 2.766
Free Cash Flow 1 307 41 530 342 -440 -146.8 247.6 211.6
FCF margin 2.94% 0.44% 4.36% - -4.17% -1.35% 2.2% 1.8%
FCF Conversion (EBITDA) 18.54% 3.56% 19.18% - - - 17.05% 11.74%
FCF Conversion (Net income) - - 123.54% - - - 60.97% 41.44%
Dividend per Share 2 - - 0.1000 0.4000 - 0.3994 0.3500 0.4020
Announcement Date 20-01-15 21-01-20 22-01-19 23-01-18 24-01-17 - - -
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)

Fiscal Period: December 2021 Q3 2021 Q4 2022 Q1 2022 Q2 2022 Q3 2022 Q4 2023 Q1 2023 Q2 2023 Q3 2023 Q4 2024 Q1 2024 Q2 2024 Q3 2024 Q4 2025 Q1
Net sales 1 3,109 3,340 3,293 3,644 2,851 - 2,670 2,684 2,602 2,595 2,599 2,681 2,772 2,828 2,628
EBITDA 1 728 896 1,072 913 210 - 240 137 70 89 132 246.3 262.9 299.7 382.2
EBIT 1 572 731 912 752 61 - 87 -16 -93 -74 -29 121.1 166.8 251.4 306.6
Operating Margin 18.4% 21.89% 27.7% 20.64% 2.14% - 3.26% -0.6% -3.57% -2.85% -1.12% 4.52% 6.02% 8.89% 11.67%
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 497 -71 763 908 -729 - -180 -99 -228 -77 -325 -19 164 187 -
Net income 1 337 -392 469 549 -746 - -231 -102 -168 -150 -252 -29 68 81 -
Net margin 10.84% -11.74% 14.24% 15.07% -26.17% - -8.65% -3.8% -6.46% -5.78% -9.7% -1.08% 2.45% 2.86% -
EPS 2 1.760 -2.110 2.490 2.950 -4.170 - -1.300 -0.5700 -0.9400 -0.8400 -1.410 -0.1768 0.2975 0.3330 0.4150
Dividend per Share 2 - 0.1000 0.1000 0.1000 0.1000 0.1000 0.1000 0.1000 0.1000 - 0.1000 0.1000 0.1000 0.1000 0.1000
Announcement Date 21-10-14 22-01-19 22-04-20 22-07-20 22-10-19 23-01-18 23-04-19 23-07-19 23-10-18 24-01-17 24-04-17 - - - -
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates

Balance Sheet Analysis

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net Debt 1 921 935 - 444 923 1,127 948 461
Net Cash position 1 - - 12 - - - - -
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.5562 x 0.8123 x - - 1.722 x 1.114 x 0.6528 x 0.2556 x
Free Cash Flow 1 307 41 530 342 -440 -147 248 212
ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) -3.79% -5.81% 32.6% 18.3% -8.68% 2.35% 7.69% 7.83%
ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) -7.31% -1.15% 8.69% - -4.5% -1.49% 3.3% -
Assets 1 15,386 14,747 4,939 - 14,457 12,638 12,289 -
Book Value Per Share 2 22.00 17.70 24.90 28.60 - 22.60 24.40 28.60
Cash Flow per Share 2 3.700 2.120 4.840 4.550 0.5100 3.460 5.690 6.820
Capex 1 379 353 390 480 531 555 594 580
Capex / Sales 3.63% 3.8% 3.21% - 5.03% 5.11% 5.27% 4.92%
Announcement Date 20-01-15 21-01-20 22-01-19 23-01-18 24-01-17 - - -
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Ratings for Alcoa Corporation

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
A-
More Ratings

Analysts' Consensus

Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
13
Last Close Price
36.88 USD
Average target price
35.98 USD
Spread / Average Target
-2.44%
Consensus

EPS Revisions

Estimates Revisions

Quarterly earnings - Rate of surprise

Company calendar

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