YPF SOCIEDAD ANÓNIMA |
End-of-day quote
Other stock markets
|
5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 22,957 ARS | +4.36% |
|
+12.16% | +37.56% |
| 04-19 | ETF of the week: Diversifying into frontier markets |  |
| 04-18 | Goldman Sachs Raises Price Target on YPF Sociedad Anonima to $20 From $17.40, Maintains Neutral Rating | MT |
Valuation
| Fiscal Period: December | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Capitalization 1 | 337,148 | 272,900 | 306,174 | 1,237,893 | 6,563,683 | 9,029,144 | - | - |
| Enterprise Value (EV) 1 | 851,218 | 913,924 | 1,070,651 | 2,441,470 | 12,317,320 | 16,259,937 | 15,930,036 | 15,183,742 |
| P/E ratio | -9.87 x | -3.91 x | -120 x | 2.76 x | -5.89 x | 52.5 x | - | - |
| Yield | 0.68% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Capitalization / Revenue | 0.5 x | 0.32 x | 0.21 x | 0.33 x | 0.45 x | 0.59 x | 0.59 x | 0.58 x |
| EV / Revenue | 1.25 x | 1.08 x | 0.75 x | 0.65 x | 0.84 x | 1.07 x | 1.03 x | 0.98 x |
| EV / EBITDA | 5.01 x | 6.96 x | 2.58 x | 2.46 x | 3.59 x | 3.61 x | 3.22 x | 2.91 x |
| EV / FCF | 15.3 x | 9.66 x | 5.64 x | 8.1 x | 63.6 x | 405 x | 76.3 x | 43.4 x |
| FCF Yield | 6.54% | 10.4% | 17.7% | 12.3% | 1.57% | 0.25% | 1.31% | 2.3% |
| Price to Book | 0.62 x | 0.4 x | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 393,313 | 393,313 | 393,313 | 393,313 | 393,313 | 393,313 | - | - |
| Reference price 2 | 857.2 | 693.8 | 778.4 | 3,147 | 16,688 | 22,957 | 22,957 | 22,957 |
| Announcement Date | 20-03-06 | 21-03-04 | 22-03-03 | 23-03-10 | 24-03-06 | - | - | - |
1ARS in Million2ARS
Estimates
Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)
| Fiscal Period: December | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 678,595 | 846,606 | 1,430,207 | 3,774,415 | 14,647,287 | 15,226,297 | 15,417,987 | 15,552,916 |
| EBITDA 1 | 169,857 | 131,289 | 414,758 | 993,011 | 3,433,579 | 4,507,900 | 4,948,197 | 5,218,498 |
| EBIT 1 | 20,417 | -117,925 | 66,984 | 522,902 | 736,976 | 1,728,130 | 2,056,909 | 2,372,557 |
| Operating Margin | 3.01% | -13.93% | 4.68% | 13.85% | 5.03% | 11.35% | 13.34% | 15.25% |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | -7,010 | -82,168 | 71,845 | 614,950 | -217,454 | 1,622,385 | 2,366,689 | 2,392,094 |
| Net income 1 | -34,071 | -97,699 | -2,485 | 448,334 | -1,110,117 | 1,036,066 | 1,292,414 | 1,461,827 |
| Net margin | -5.02% | -11.54% | -0.17% | 11.88% | -7.58% | 6.8% | 8.38% | 9.4% |
| EPS 2 | -86.85 | -177.4 | -6.482 | 1,141 | -2,833 | 437.1 | - | - |
| Free Cash Flow 1 | 55,682 | 94,600 | 189,823 | 301,296 | 193,677 | 40,146 | 208,654 | 349,823 |
| FCF margin | 8.21% | 11.17% | 13.27% | 7.98% | 1.32% | 0.26% | 1.35% | 2.25% |
| FCF Conversion (EBITDA) | 32.78% | 72.05% | 45.77% | 30.34% | 5.64% | 0.89% | 4.22% | 6.7% |
| FCF Conversion (Net income) | - | - | - | 67.2% | - | 3.87% | 16.14% | 23.93% |
| Dividend per Share 2 | 5.850 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Announcement Date | 20-03-06 | 21-03-04 | 22-03-03 | 23-03-10 | 24-03-06 | - | - | - |
1ARS in Million2ARS
Estimates
Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 Q3 | 2021 Q4 | 2022 Q1 | 2022 Q2 | 2022 Q3 | 2022 Q4 | 2023 Q1 | 2023 Q2 | 2023 Q3 | 2023 Q4 | 2024 Q1 | 2024 Q2 | 2024 Q3 | 2024 Q4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 362,473 | 391,098 | 425,651 | 650,788 | 830,618 | 932,391 | 970,574 | 1,252,103 | 1,576,400 | 3,548,652 | 3,577,068 | 4,243,033 | 4,270,118 | 3,961,382 |
| EBITDA 1 | 115,519 | 90,104 | 113,819 | 201,068 | 240,252 | 187,281 | 239,094 | 287,626 | 324,100 | 915,508 | 1,104,722 | 1,249,803 | 1,229,544 | 1,197,609 |
| EBIT 1 | 42,844 | -21,175 | 44,497 | 113,938 | 129,108 | 93,741 | 76,721 | 63,249 | 41,650 | 451,831 | 474,167 | 644,826 | 585,637 | 352,232 |
| Operating Margin | 11.82% | -5.41% | 10.45% | 17.51% | 15.54% | 10.05% | 7.9% | 5.05% | 2.64% | 12.73% | 13.26% | 15.2% | 13.71% | 8.89% |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 39,040 | -2,269 | 52,811 | 131,230 | - | 124,453 | 97,561 | 130,219 | -47,950 | -846,972 | 161,966 | - | - | - |
| Net income 1 | 23,224 | 26,685 | 29,274 | 105,896 | 108,579 | 93,339 | 78,095 | 95,875 | -44,800 | -1,573,794 | 241,982 | 437,521 | 374,125 | 253,985 |
| Net margin | 6.41% | 6.82% | 6.88% | 16.27% | 13.07% | 10.01% | 8.05% | 7.66% | -2.84% | -44.35% | 6.76% | 10.31% | 8.76% | 6.41% |
| EPS 2 | - | - | - | - | - | 239.5 | - | - | -115.5 | -4,017 | -142.9 | 193.4 | 218.6 | - |
| Dividend per Share | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Announcement Date | 21-11-09 | 22-03-03 | 22-05-11 | 22-08-10 | 22-11-10 | 23-03-10 | 23-05-11 | 23-08-10 | 23-11-09 | 24-03-06 | - | - | - | - |
1ARS in Million2ARS
Estimates
Balance Sheet Analysis
| Fiscal Period: December | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | 514,070 | 641,024 | 764,477 | 1,203,577 | 5,753,637 | 7,230,793 | 6,900,892 | 6,154,598 |
| Net Cash position 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 3.026 x | 4.883 x | 1.843 x | 1.212 x | 1.676 x | 1.604 x | 1.395 x | 1.179 x |
| Free Cash Flow 1 | 55,682 | 94,600 | 189,823 | 301,296 | 193,677 | 40,146 | 208,654 | 349,823 |
| ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) | -7.56% | -11.4% | -0.28% | 23.7% | 9.96% | 16.5% | 15.1% | 17.7% |
| ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) | -2.65% | -3.98% | -0.1% | 9.06% | -5.15% | 8.42% | 12.2% | - |
| Assets 1 | 1,283,664 | 2,452,344 | 2,494,853 | 4,950,409 | 21,553,583 | 12,303,362 | 10,620,544 | - |
| Book Value Per Share | 1,383 | 1,725 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Cash Flow per Share 2 | - | 533.0 | 1,012 | 2,915 | 12,769 | 8,315 | - | - |
| Capex 1 | 161,455 | 114,616 | 264,909 | 841,460 | 4,807,243 | 4,312,648 | 3,840,581 | 3,476,923 |
| Capex / Sales | 23.79% | 13.54% | 18.52% | 22.29% | 32.82% | 28.32% | 24.91% | 22.36% |
| Announcement Date | 20-03-06 | 21-03-04 | 22-03-03 | 23-03-10 | 24-03-06 | - | - | - |
1ARS in Million2ARS
Estimates
EPS & Dividend
Year-on-year evolution of the PER
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA
Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
B-
Sell
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
4
Last Close Price
22,957
ARS
Average target price
7,140
ARS
Spread / Average Target
-68.90%
EPS Revisions
| 1st Jan change | Capi. | |
|---|---|---|
| +37.56% | 10.32B | |
| +12.39% | 221B | |
| +12.58% | 107B | |
| +17.36% | 103B | |
| +33.72% | 71.49B | |
| +13.72% | 64.2B | |
| +27.54% | 54.22B | |
| +27.93% | 37.8B | |
| +32.11% | 28.33B | |
| -11.77% | 20.79B |
- Stock Market
- Equities
- YPFD Stock
- Financials YPF Sociedad Anónima
