Projected Income Statement: XP Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet: XP Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet - XP Inc.
Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 28,390 5,141 5,632 3,555 -10,119 -23,571 -23,997 -23,223
Change - -81.89% 9.55% -36.88% -384.64% -132.94% -1.81% 3.23%
Announcement Date 2/8/22 2/16/23 2/27/24 2/18/25 2/12/26 - - -
1BRL in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: XP Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 353 127 196.2 330.2 489.6 755.8 651.6 740.1
Change - -64.03% 54.54% 68.28% 48.26% 54.39% -13.79% 13.59%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -4,373 1,677 7,931 10,849 11,836 6,923 15,469 11,791
Change - 138.34% 372.96% 36.79% 9.1% -41.51% 123.44% -23.78%
Announcement Date 2/8/22 2/16/23 2/27/24 2/18/25 2/12/26 - - -
1BRL in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: XP Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 34.69% 30.45% 31.84% 34.96% 34.06% 33.79% 34.48% 34.83%
EBIT Margin (%) 32.77% 28.91% 30.15% 33.41% 32.41% 32.13% 33.14% 33.55%
EBT Margin (%) 36.28% 25.81% 26.49% 29.2% 29.59% 30.48% 32.2% 32.99%
Net margin (%) 29.72% 26.82% 26.24% 26.44% 28.07% 28.43% 28.74% 29.25%
FCF margin (%) -36.21% 12.56% 53.37% 63.52% 64.28% 34.46% 68.56% 46.58%
FCF / Net Income (%) -121.84% 46.84% 203.41% 240.28% 228.97% 121.22% 238.53% 159.24%

Profitability

        
ROA 3.05% 2.16% 2.5% 1.51% 1.39% 1.34% 1.34% 1.33%
ROE 28.36% 22.76% 21.4% 23% 23.72% 23.16% 23.83% 24.15%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 6.78x 1.26x 1.19x 0.6x - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow -6.49x 3.07x 0.71x 0.33x - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 2.92% 0.95% 1.32% 1.93% 2.66% 3.76% 2.89% 2.92%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 8.43% 3.12% 4.15% 5.53% 7.81% 11.14% 8.37% 8.4%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -8.07% 7.57% 2.47% 3.04% 4.14% 10.92% 4.21% 6.28%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 -7.01 3.148 14.93 20.39 22.64 30.89 0.2946 11.68
Change - 144.91% 374.38% 36.52% 11.05% 36.43% -99.05% 3,863.95%
Dividend per Share 1 - - 6.459 3.774 - 7.567 8.278 8.722
Change - - - -41.57% - - 9.39% 5.37%
Book Value Per Share 1 25.77 30.67 35.46 37.13 43.71 49.25 55.18 62.55
Change - 19.04% 15.62% 4.7% 17.71% 12.69% 12.05% 13.34%
EPS 1 6.259 6.25 7.16 8.231 9.719 10.93 12.48 14.01
Change - -0.14% 14.56% 14.96% 18.07% 12.47% 14.21% 12.24%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 559,549 560,294 548,083 537,004 528,220 507,483 507,483 507,483
Announcement Date 2/8/22 2/16/23 2/27/24 2/18/25 2/12/26 - - -
1BRL
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 14x 12.3x
PBR 3.12x 2.78x
EV / Sales 2.71x 2.39x
Yield 4.93% 5.39%

EPS & Dividend

EPS & Dividend - XP Inc.


Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Valuation ratios - P/E - XP Inc.
 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Valuation ratios - Yield - XP Inc.
Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
MarketScreener Ratings - XP Inc.
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
13
Last Close Price
153.57BRL
Average target price
132.75BRL
Spread / Average Target
-13.55%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

Rate of surprise - Net sales - Quarterly - XP Inc.