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5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 61.45 CNY | -0.65% |
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-1.17% | +0.41% |
| 25-10-27 | Tsingtao Brewery's Q3 Profit Rises 2%; Hong Kong Shares Down 3% | MT |
| 25-10-27 | Tsingtao Brewery Q3 net profit up 1.6% y/y | RE |
Projected Income Statement: Tsingtao Brewery Company Limited
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 27,760 | 30,167 | 32,172 | 33,937 | 32,138 | 32,771 | 33,721 | 34,753 |
| Change | - | 8.67% | 6.65% | 5.49% | -5.3% | 1.97% | 2.9% | 3.06% |
| EBITDA 1 | 4,373 | 5,546 | 6,078 | 6,865 | 7,023 | 6,789 | 7,221 | 7,658 |
| Change | - | 26.84% | 9.59% | 12.94% | 2.3% | -3.33% | 6.36% | 6.05% |
| EBIT 1 | 3,250 | 4,455 | 5,001 | 5,737 | 5,843 | 5,648 | 6,137 | 6,537 |
| Change | - | 37.07% | 12.26% | 14.72% | 1.85% | -3.34% | 8.66% | 6.53% |
| Interest Paid 1 | -470.9 | - | - | 457.1 | 567.8 | -430.3 | -479.6 | -517 |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 3,240 | 4,479 | 5,006 | 5,746 | 5,881 | 6,344 | 6,802 | 7,269 |
| Change | - | 38.26% | 11.77% | 14.79% | 2.35% | 7.86% | 7.23% | 6.86% |
| Net income 1 | 2,201 | 3,155 | 3,711 | 4,268 | 4,345 | 4,694 | 5,013 | 5,346 |
| Change | - | 43.34% | 17.59% | 15.02% | 1.81% | 8.02% | 6.81% | 6.63% |
| Announcement Date | 3/5/21 | 3/28/22 | 3/22/23 | 3/26/24 | 3/30/25 | - | - | - |
Forecast Balance Sheet: Tsingtao Brewery Company Limited
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | -17,722 | -14,303 | -17,580 | -19,232 | -17,937 | -19,108 | -20,282 | -20,976 |
| Change | - | 19.29% | -22.91% | -9.4% | 6.73% | -6.53% | -6.14% | -3.42% |
| Announcement Date | 3/5/21 | 3/28/22 | 3/22/23 | 3/26/24 | 3/30/25 | - | - | - |
Cash Flow Forecast: Tsingtao Brewery Company Limited
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX 1 | 1,275 | 1,602 | 1,738 | 895.4 | 1,941 | 1,469 | 1,373 | 1,383 |
| Change | - | 25.67% | 8.49% | -48.48% | 116.82% | -24.31% | -6.55% | 0.72% |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | 3,679 | 4,441 | 3,141 | 1,882 | 3,213 | 3,910 | 4,566 | 4,880 |
| Change | - | 20.73% | -29.28% | -40.07% | 70.72% | 21.67% | 16.78% | 6.89% |
| Announcement Date | 3/5/21 | 3/28/22 | 3/22/23 | 3/26/24 | 3/30/25 | - | - | - |
Forecast Financial Ratios: Tsingtao Brewery Company Limited
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
| EBITDA Margin (%) | 15.75% | 18.39% | 18.89% | 20.23% | 21.85% | 20.72% | 21.41% | 22.03% |
| EBIT Margin (%) | 11.71% | 14.77% | 15.54% | 16.9% | 18.18% | 17.23% | 18.2% | 18.81% |
| EBT Margin (%) | 11.67% | 14.85% | 15.56% | 16.93% | 18.3% | 19.36% | 20.17% | 20.92% |
| Net margin (%) | 7.93% | 10.46% | 11.53% | 12.58% | 13.52% | 14.32% | 14.87% | 15.38% |
| FCF margin (%) | 13.25% | 14.72% | 9.76% | 5.55% | 10% | 11.93% | 13.54% | 14.04% |
| FCF / Net Income (%) | 167.11% | 140.75% | 84.64% | 44.1% | 73.96% | 83.3% | 91.07% | 91.29% |
Profitability | ||||||||
| ROA | 5.58% | 7.17% | 7.66% | 8.57% | 8.63% | 8.98% | 9.22% | 9.3% |
| ROE | 11.13% | 14.47% | 15.3% | 16.12% | 15.38% | 15.52% | 15.95% | 15.98% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Debt / Free cash flow | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
| CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 4.59% | 5.31% | 5.4% | 2.64% | 6.04% | 4.48% | 4.07% | 3.98% |
| CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 29.15% | 28.88% | 28.59% | 13.04% | 27.64% | 21.64% | 19.02% | 18.06% |
| CAPEX / FCF (%) | 34.65% | 36.07% | 55.34% | 47.57% | 60.41% | 37.58% | 30.08% | 28.34% |
Items per share | ||||||||
| Cash flow per share 1 | 3.631 | 3.26 | 3.576 | 2.036 | 3.778 | 4.03 | 4.888 | 4.657 |
| Change | - | -10.22% | 9.7% | -43.07% | 85.58% | 6.65% | 21.31% | -4.73% |
| Dividend per Share 1 | 0.75 | 1.1 | 1.8 | 2 | 2.2 | 2.369 | 2.534 | 2.641 |
| Change | - | 46.67% | 63.64% | 11.11% | 10% | 7.7% | 6.96% | 4.2% |
| Book Value Per Share 1 | 15.12 | 16.86 | 18.69 | 20.12 | 21.3 | 21.93 | 23.34 | 24.81 |
| Change | - | 11.51% | 10.84% | 7.67% | 5.87% | 2.94% | 6.42% | 6.34% |
| EPS 1 | 1.629 | 2.324 | 2.728 | 3.132 | 3.187 | 3.447 | 3.671 | 3.907 |
| Change | - | 42.66% | 17.38% | 14.81% | 1.76% | 8.15% | 6.49% | 6.43% |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 1,364,183 | 1,364,355 | 1,364,233 | 1,364,197 | 1,364,197 | 1,364,195 | 1,364,195 | 1,364,195 |
| Announcement Date | 3/5/21 | 3/28/22 | 3/22/23 | 3/26/24 | 3/30/25 | - | - | - |
| 2025 * | 2026 * | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E ratio | 17.8x | 16.7x |
| PBR | 2.8x | 2.63x |
| EV / Sales | 1.63x | 1.55x |
| Yield | 3.86% | 4.12% |
EPS & Dividend
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
Trader
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Investor
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This composite rating is the result of an average of the rankings based on the following ratings: Fundamentals (Composite), Valuation (Composite), Financial Estimates Revisions (Composite), Consensus (Composite), and Visibility (Composite). The company must be covered by at least 4 of these 5 ratings for the calculation to be performed. We recommend that you carefully review the associated descriptions.
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This composite rating is the result of an average of the rankings based on the following ratings: Capital Efficiency (Composite), Quality of Financial Reporting (Composite), and Financial Health (Composite). The company must be covered by at least 2 of these 3 ratings for the calculation to be performed. We recommend that you carefully review the associated descriptions.
Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise
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- Financials Tsingtao Brewery Company Limited
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