Projected Income Statement: Toll Brothers, Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Toll Brothers, Inc.

Fiscal Period: October 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 1,925 1,834 1,460 1,380 1,492 1,099 1,017 749
Change - -4.73% -20.39% -5.48% 8.12% -26.36% -7.46% -26.35%
Announcement Date 12/7/21 12/6/22 12/5/23 12/9/24 12/8/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Toll Brothers, Inc.

Fiscal Period: October 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 66.88 71.73 72.96 73.64 86.2 75.64 78.5 84
Change - 7.25% 1.72% 0.93% 17.04% -12.25% 3.78% 7.01%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 1,236 915.1 1,193 936.5 1,026 1,334 1,070 -
Change - -25.98% 30.42% -21.53% 9.58% 29.94% -19.76% -100%
Announcement Date 12/7/21 12/6/22 12/5/23 12/9/24 12/8/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Toll Brothers, Inc.

Fiscal Period: October 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 15.87% 19.31% 21.01% 20.6% 18.8% 17.56% 17.58% 18.2%
EBIT Margin (%) 11.61% 14.68% 17.26% 18.81% 15.69% 14.74% 15.05% 15.57%
EBT Margin (%) 12.52% 16.58% 18.43% 19.23% 16.33% 15.73% 15.68% 16.09%
Net margin (%) 9.48% 12.52% 13.73% 14.49% 12.28% 11.69% 11.66% 12.04%
FCF margin (%) 14.06% 8.91% 11.94% 8.63% 9.36% 12.77% 9.49% -
FCF / Net Income (%) 148.3% 71.13% 86.98% 59.61% 76.21% 109.19% 81.36% -

Profitability

        
ROA 7.38% 10.8% 11.06% 12.14% 9.66% 8.38% 9% -
ROE 16.39% 22.77% 21.43% 21.72% 17.39% 14.32% 14.38% 14.68%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.38x 0.92x 0.7x 0.62x 0.72x 0.6x 0.51x 0.35x
Debt / Free cash flow 1.56x 2x 1.22x 1.47x 1.45x 0.82x 0.95x -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 0.76% 0.7% 0.73% 0.68% 0.79% 0.72% 0.7% 0.71%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 4.8% 3.62% 3.47% 3.3% 4.18% 4.13% 3.96% 3.89%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 5.41% 7.84% 6.11% 7.86% 8.4% 5.67% 7.34% -

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 10.36 8.365 11.41 9.649 11.15 14.41 0.2667 -
Change - -19.25% 36.39% -15.42% 15.54% 29.28% -98.15% -
Dividend per Share 1 0.62 0.77 0.83 0.9 0.98 1.015 1.035 1.073
Change - 24.19% 7.79% 8.43% 8.89% 3.57% 1.97% 3.7%
Book Value Per Share 1 44.08 54.79 65.49 76.87 87.25 93.62 103.1 117
Change - 24.3% 19.53% 17.38% 13.5% 7.3% 10.17% 13.39%
EPS 1 6.63 10.9 12.36 15.01 13.49 12.85 14.3 16.06
Change - 64.4% 13.39% 21.44% -10.13% -4.75% 11.27% 12.35%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 121,717 113,330 107,479 100,972 96,383 95,003 95,003 95,003
Announcement Date 12/7/21 12/6/22 12/5/23 12/9/24 12/8/25 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 11.6x 10.4x
PBR 1.59x 1.44x
EV / Sales 1.41x 1.3x
Yield 0.68% 0.7%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BBB
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
17
Last Close Price
148.54USD
Average target price
154.13USD
Spread / Average Target
+3.77%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. TOL Stock
  4. Financials Toll Brothers, Inc.