Projected Income Statement: Telenor ASA

Forecast Balance Sheet: Telenor ASA

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 110,400 100,783 97,875 79,781 86,788 85,728 88,170 87,747
Change - -8.71% -2.89% -18.49% 8.78% -1.22% 2.85% -0.48%
Announcement Date 2/2/21 2/2/22 2/2/23 2/7/24 2/6/25 - - -
1NOK in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Telenor ASA

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 21,440 19,447 19,298 14,728 13,383 12,029 11,936 11,936
Change - -9.3% -0.77% -23.68% -9.13% -10.12% -0.77% -0%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 22,596 22,825 19,924 14,392 18,098 15,949 16,288 17,189
Change - 1.01% -12.71% -27.77% 25.75% -11.88% 2.13% 5.54%
Announcement Date 2/2/21 2/2/22 2/2/23 2/7/24 2/6/25 - - -
1NOK in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Telenor ASA

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 46.02% 44.6% 42.82% 42.96% 43.76% 44.87% 45.59% 46.27%
EBIT Margin (%) 22.36% 21.13% 19.31% 21.09% 23.3% 23.98% 25.2% 26.37%
EBT Margin (%) 20.88% 15.5% 10.85% 1.36% 31.11% 22.64% 24.65% 26.58%
Net margin (%) 14.12% 1.39% 45.39% 17.07% 23.91% 14.86% 16.54% 17.52%
FCF margin (%) 18.4% 20.7% 20.13% 17.89% 22.64% 19.92% 20.36% 21.09%
FCF / Net Income (%) 130.3% 1,493.78% 44.36% 104.79% 94.72% 134.06% 123.08% 120.4%

Profitability

        
ROA 5.52% 0.63% 19.32% 6% 8.54% 5.32% 6.03% 6.64%
ROE 36.52% 29.36% 30.1% 6.13% 27.23% 16% 18.97% 20.75%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.95x 2.05x 2.31x 2.31x 2.48x 2.39x 2.42x 2.33x
Debt / Free cash flow 4.89x 4.42x 4.91x 5.54x 4.8x 5.38x 5.41x 5.1x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 17.46% 17.64% 19.5% 18.31% 16.74% 15.02% 14.92% 14.65%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 37.93% 39.56% 45.54% 42.61% 38.26% 33.48% 32.73% 31.65%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 94.88% 85.2% 96.86% 102.33% 73.95% 75.42% 73.28% 69.44%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 31.29 30.15 28.03 20.99 22.87 20.48 19.86 21.4
Change - -3.61% -7.06% -25.1% 8.95% -10.44% -3.05% 7.76%
Dividend per Share 1 9 9.3 9.4 9.4 9.6 9.664 9.827 9.975
Change - 3.33% 1.08% 0% 2.13% 0.66% 1.69% 1.51%
Book Value Per Share 1 27.36 18.79 42.97 46.56 55.44 50.62 50.84 51.87
Change - -31.34% 128.72% 8.34% 19.08% -8.69% 0.43% 2.03%
EPS 1 12.32 1.09 32.09 9.9 13.88 8.513 9.722 10.59
Change - -91.15% 2,844.04% -69.15% 40.2% -38.67% 14.2% 8.9%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,379,663 1,399,458 1,398,973 1,384,365 1,367,829 1,366,784 1,366,784 1,366,784
Announcement Date 2/2/21 2/2/22 2/2/23 2/7/24 2/6/25 - - -
1NOK
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 16.8x 14.7x
PBR 2.83x 2.82x
EV / Sales 3.51x 3.55x
Yield 6.75% 6.86%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AAA
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
17
Last Close Price
143.20NOK
Average target price
166.12NOK
Spread / Average Target
+16.00%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. TEL Stock
  4. Financials Telenor ASA