Projected Income Statement: Stockland

Forecast Balance Sheet: Stockland

Fiscal Period: June 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 3,592 4,094 3,636 4,011 4,532 4,966 5,114 5,227
Change - 13.98% -11.19% 10.31% 12.99% 9.58% 2.98% 2.21%
Announcement Date 8/19/21 8/18/22 8/23/23 8/21/24 8/19/25 - - -
1AUD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Stockland

Fiscal Period: June 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 406 22 386 538 310 618.5 547.4 576.2
Change - -94.58% 1,654.55% 39.38% -42.38% 99.53% -11.51% 5.27%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 641 896 309 33 325 254 677.9 730.6
Change - 39.78% -65.51% -89.32% 884.85% -21.84% 166.87% 7.77%
Announcement Date 8/19/21 8/18/22 8/23/23 8/21/24 8/19/25 - - -
1AUD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Stockland

Fiscal Period: June 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 28.92% 27.54% 31.27% 28.04% 28.17% 25.88% 26.14% 27.04%
EBIT Margin (%) 28.45% 26.94% 30.66% 27.5% 27.6% 25.51% 25.63% 26.36%
EBT Margin (%) 39.11% 52.23% 18.34% 11.31% 28.14% 23.24% 23.51% 24.27%
Net margin (%) 40.09% 48.51% 15.6% 10.2% 26.38% 21.55% 22.52% 23.24%
FCF margin (%) 23.26% 31.47% 11% 1.1% 10.38% 6.35% 16.56% 17.12%
FCF / Net Income (%) 58.01% 64.88% 70.55% 10.82% 39.35% 29.44% 73.56% 73.67%

Profitability

        
ROA 5.75% 3.77% 2.36% 3.89% 4.16% 5.1% 5.18% 5.29%
ROE 11.84% 7.5% 4.27% 6.54% 7.22% 8.18% 8.02% 8.28%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 4.51x 5.22x 4.14x 4.79x 5.14x 4.79x 4.78x 4.53x
Debt / Free cash flow 5.6x 4.57x 11.77x 121.55x 13.94x 19.55x 7.54x 7.15x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 14.73% 0.77% 13.75% 18% 9.9% 15.45% 13.38% 13.5%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 50.94% 2.81% 43.96% 64.2% 35.15% 59.71% 51.16% 49.92%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 63.34% 2.46% 124.92% 1,630.3% 95.38% 243.52% 80.75% 78.87%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.4376 0.3838 0.1383 0.0474 0.1361 0.1577 0.3238 0.3802
Change - -12.29% -63.97% -65.73% 187.13% 15.9% 105.26% 17.43%
Dividend per Share 1 0.246 0.266 0.262 0.246 0.252 0.2513 0.25 0.2564
Change - 8.13% -1.5% -6.11% 2.44% -0.28% -0.52% 2.57%
Book Value Per Share 1 4.021 4.348 4.272 4.153 4.254 4.408 4.589 4.8
Change - 8.14% -1.74% -2.78% 2.43% 3.62% 4.09% 4.6%
EPS 1 0.462 0.577 0.183 0.127 0.343 0.3611 0.3786 0.4022
Change - 24.89% -68.28% -30.6% 170.08% 5.28% 4.84% 6.24%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 2,382,024 2,383,654 2,382,994 2,381,896 2,394,542 2,425,901 2,425,901 2,425,901
Announcement Date 8/19/21 8/18/22 8/23/23 8/21/24 8/19/25 - - -
1AUD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 11.3x 10.8x
PBR 0.93x 0.89x
EV / Sales 3.71x 3.67x
Yield 6.16% 6.13%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
10
Last Close Price
4.080AUD
Average target price
4.960AUD
Spread / Average Target
+21.57%

Annual profits - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. SGP Stock
  4. Financials Stockland