Projected Income Statement: Steel Dynamics, Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Steel Dynamics, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 1,862 814 949 2,494 3,372 2,411 469 -2,828
Change - -56.28% 16.58% 162.8% 35.2% -28.5% -80.55% -702.99%
Announcement Date 1/24/22 1/25/23 1/23/24 1/22/25 1/26/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Steel Dynamics, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 1,006 908.9 1,658 1,868 948 589.1 569.8 653.1
Change - -9.67% 82.41% 12.67% -49.25% -37.86% -3.27% 14.62%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 1,198 3,552 1,862 -23.5 501.5 2,067 3,309 3,068
Change - 196.48% -47.57% -101.26% 2,233.81% 312.07% 60.12% -7.28%
Announcement Date 1/24/22 1/25/23 1/23/24 1/22/25 1/26/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Steel Dynamics, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 25.25% 24.6% 19.49% 14.22% 11.83% 16.98% 18.5% 16.88%
EBIT Margin (%) 23.36% 22.87% 16.77% 11.08% 8.12% 13.68% 14.99% 13.59%
EBT Margin (%) 22.86% 22.56% 17.13% 11.3% 8.21% 13.3% 14.99% 14.36%
Net margin (%) 17.46% 17.35% 13.04% 8.76% 6.52% 10.23% 11.35% 10.87%
FCF margin (%) 6.51% 15.95% 9.91% -0.13% 2.76% 8.74% 14.06% 13.04%
FCF / Net Income (%) 37.27% 91.94% 75.97% -1.53% 42.3% 85.45% 123.9% 119.89%

Profitability

        
ROA 29.49% - 16.86% 10.3% 7.56% 13.69% 14.27% -
ROE 60.36% 53.52% 28.84% 17.27% 13.25% 24.17% 22.96% 17.51%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.4x 0.15x 0.26x 1x 1.57x 0.6x 0.11x -
Debt / Free cash flow 1.55x 0.23x 0.51x -106.1x 6.72x 1.17x 0.14x -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 5.47% 4.08% 8.82% 10.65% 5.22% 2.49% 2.42% 2.77%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 21.65% 16.6% 45.26% 74.91% 44.08% 14.68% 13.08% 16.44%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 84% 25.59% 89.04% -7,947.95% 189.03% 28.5% 17.22% 21.29%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 10.67 24.16 21.02 11.81 9.768 20.94 24.93 29.17
Change - 126.47% -12.98% -43.81% -17.32% 114.35% 19.09% 16.99%
Dividend per Share 1 1.04 1.36 1.7 1.84 2 2.12 2.245 2.301
Change - 30.77% 25% 8.24% 8.7% 6% 5.92% 2.49%
Book Value Per Share 1 30.74 44.33 55.41 57.22 60.36 72.99 86.23 110.8
Change - 44.23% 24.99% 3.27% 5.48% 20.93% 18.15% 28.43%
EPS 1 15.56 20.92 14.64 9.84 7.99 16.84 18.97 18.15
Change - 34.45% -30.02% -32.79% -18.8% 110.74% 12.65% -4.31%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 198,451 175,571 161,816 152,245 146,035 143,328 143,328 143,328
Announcement Date 1/24/22 1/25/23 1/23/24 1/22/25 1/26/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 14.4x 12.8x
PBR 3.32x 2.81x
EV / Sales 1.57x 1.49x
Yield 0.88% 0.93%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
14
Last Close Price
242.06USD
Average target price
271.21USD
Spread / Average Target
+12.04%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. STLD Stock
  4. Financials Steel Dynamics, Inc.
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