General





The following management discussion and analysis provides information which
management believes is relevant to an assessment and understanding of our
financial condition and results of operations. This discussion should be read in
conjunction with the financial statements included herewith and notes to the
financial statements and our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended
September 30, 2021 ("Fiscal 2021"), including the financial statements,
accompanying notes and the risk factors contained herein.





           CAUTIONARY STATEMENTS REGARDING FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS



This quarterly report on Form 10-Q of Southwest Iowa Renewable Energy, LLC (the
"Company," "SIRE," "we," or "us") contains historical information, as well as
forward-looking statements that involve known and unknown risks and relate to
future events, our future financial performance, or our expected future
operations and actions. In some cases, you can identify forward-looking
statements by terminology such as "may," "will," "should," "expect," "plan,"
"anticipate," "believe," "estimate," "future," "intend," "could,"
"hope," "predict," "target," "potential," or "continue" or the negative of these
terms or other similar expressions. These forward-looking statements are only
our predictions based on current information and involve numerous assumptions,
risks and uncertainties. Our actual results or actions may differ materially
from these forward-looking statements for many reasons, including the reasons
described in this report. While it is impossible to identify all such factors,
factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those
estimated by us include, without limitation:



• Changes in the availability and price of corn, natural gas, and steam;

• Negative impacts resulting from reductions in, or other modifications to, the

renewable fuel volume requirements under the Renewable Fuel Standard;

• Our inability to comply with our credit agreements required to continue our

operations;

• Negative impacts that our hedging activities may have on our operations;




  • Decreases in the market prices of ethanol, distillers grains;

• Ethanol supply exceeding demand and corresponding ethanol price reductions;

• Changes in the environmental regulations that apply to our plant operations;

• Changes in plant production capacity or technical difficulties in operating

the plant;

• Changes in general economic conditions or the occurrence of certain events

causing an economic impact in the agriculture, oil or automobile industries;

• Changes in other federal or state laws and regulations relating to the


    production and use of ethanol;


  • Changes and advances in ethanol production technology;

• Competition from larger producers as well as competition from alternative fuel

additives;

• Changes in interest rates and lending conditions of our loan covenants;




  • Volatile commodity and financial markets;

• Decreases in export demand due to the imposition of duties and tariffs by

foreign governments on ethanol and distiller grains produced in the United

States;

• Disruptions, failures or security breaches relating to our information

technology infrastructure;

• Trade actions by the Biden Administration, particularly those affecting the

biofuels and agricultural sectors and related industries; and

• Disruption caused by health epidemics, such as the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic,

and the adverse impact of such epidemics on global economic and business


    conditions.




These forward-looking statements are based on management's estimates,
projections and assumptions as of the date hereof and include various
assumptions that underlie such statements.  Any expectations based on these
forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties and other
important factors, including those discussed in the management discussion and
analysis, in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for Fiscal 2021 under the section
entitled "Risk Factors" and in our other prior Securities and Exchange
Commission filings. These and many other factors could affect our future
financial condition and operating results and could cause actual results to
differ materially from expectations set forth in the forward-looking statements
made in this document or elsewhere by Company or on its behalf. We undertake no
obligation to revise or update any forward-looking statements. The
forward-looking statements contained in this quarterly report on Form 10-Q are
included in the safe harbor protection provided by Section 27A of the Securities
Act of 1933, as amended, and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934,
as amended (the "Exchange Act").



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General Overview and Recent Developments





The Company is an Iowa limited liability company, located in Council Bluffs,
Iowa, formed in March 2005. The Company is permitted to produce 140 million
gallons of ethanol annually. We began producing ethanol in February 2009 and
sell our ethanol, distillers grains, distillers corn oil, corn condensed
distillers solubles ("syrup") and carbon dioxide, in the continental United
States, Mexico, and the Pacific Rim.



On November 26, 2019, the Environmental Protection Agency (the "EPA") approved
the Company's petition as an "Efficient Producer" to increase the D-6 RINs
generated by our facility to 147 million gallons of ethanol produced annually,
provided the non-grandfathered ethanol produced satisfies the 20% lifecycle GHG,
or greenhouse gas impacts reduction requirements specified in the Clean Air Act
for renewable fuel. The Company must comply with all registration provisions in
order to register for the production of non-grandfathered ethanol, and the
registration application must be accepted by the EPA before the facility is
eligible to generate RIN's for non-grandfathered ethanol produced. The Company
completed the registration process before the end of the second quarter in the
fiscal year ending September 30, 2022 ("Fiscal 2022").



On February 10, 2022, our Board of Directors declared a distribution of $1,250
per unit to its members. The distribution was paid on February 17, 2022 to
members of record on February 10, 2022. With 8,975 shares outstanding at the
time of the distribution declaration, the total cash paid for the distribution
was $11.2 million.


On May 23, 2022, the Company received $3.1 million from the USDA's Biofuel Producer Program. This amount was deemed "other income" to the Company and there are no additional requirements the Company must fulfill to keep the funds.

Ongoing Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on our Business





At present, municipalities, regulators, and other government actors continue to
deal with the COVID-19 pandemic and its effects. The situation surrounding
COVID-19 continues to evolve rapidly and the ultimate duration and impact of the
pandemic, including the spread of variants, remains highly uncertain and subject
to change. We continue to monitor the impact of COVID-19 on our business,
including how it will impact our employees, customers, vendors and business
partners.



Although we continue to regularly monitor the financial health of companies in
our supply chain, financial hardship on our suppliers or sub-suppliers caused by
the COVID-19 pandemic could cause a disruption in our ability to obtain raw
materials or components required to produce our products, adversely affecting
our operations. Additionally, restrictions or disruptions of transportation,
such as reduced availability of truck, rail or air transport, port closures and
increased border controls or closures, may result in higher costs and delays,
both on obtaining raw materials and shipping finished products to customers,
which could harm our profitability, make our products less competitive, or cause
our customers to seek alternative suppliers.



On April 14, 2020 and January 28, 2021, the Company received two $1.1 million
loans under the PPP Loan legislation. These PPP loans were eligible for
forgiveness based upon various factors, including, without limitation, our
payroll cost over an eight-to-twenty-four-week period starting upon the receipt
of the funds. As discussed in greater detail in Note 4 to our financial
statements included herein, the Company applied for forgiveness of the PPP loans
from the SBA and was notified on December 24, 2021 that the loans had been
forgiven in full. Due to the PPP loans being forgiven in the first three months
of Fiscal 2022, we recognized one-time income of $2.2 million, during the nine
months ended June 30, 2022.

.

Market Factors Impacting Operations





For the nine months ended June 30, 2022  compared to the nine months ended June
30, 2021, the average price per gallon of ethanol sold increased by 50.6% due to
reduced stocks and increasing demand. There have also been increased prices for
crude oil and gasoline in the first nine months of Fiscal 2022 compared to the
first nine months of 2021 due to reduced supply world-wide, and an increase in
driving compared to the beginning of Fiscal 2021 when there were lockdown orders
and restrictions on travel imposed by many authorities in response to the COVID
pandemic.



Corn prices increased 20.7% when comparing the first nine months of Fiscal
2022 to the first nine months of Fiscal 2021 which is a continuation of the high
price of corn we experienced during the latter half of Fiscal 2021. Weather,
world supply and demand, current and anticipated stocks, agricultural policy and
other factors can contribute to volatility in corn prices. Such changes have a
material effect on our cost of goods sold with corn being one of our primary
inputs.



Management anticipates that ethanol prices will continue to change in relation
to changes in corn and energy prices. If corn, crude oil and gasoline prices
remain high or further increase, that could have a significant impact on the
market price of ethanol and our net income, particularly should ethanol stocks
remain low.



During Fiscal 2021, the Company faced significant challenges with respect to
transportation and logistics. Like many companies, the ongoing impacts of the
COVID-19 pandemic on coastal ports, the trucking industry and more recently,
rail transportation, had a material effect on our ability to timely,
economically, and consistently ship products both domestically and abroad.
Management continues to explore various options to mitigate these challenges,
but expects them to continue to be a factor through Fiscal 2022. Management does
not know when these logistics challenges will dissipate.



The average market price per ton of distillers grains sold in the first
nine months of Fiscal 2022 increased by 26% compared to the average price per
ton of distillers grains sold for the same period in Fiscal 2021. This increase
in the market price of distillers grains is primarily due to higher corn and
soybean meal prices which resulted in end users seeking out distillers grains as
the lower cost alternative. Management anticipates that distillers grains prices
will continue to be affected by the price of corn and soybean meal. An increase
in supply as certain ethanol plants return to higher production levels as
operating conditions improve could have a negative effect on distillers grains
prices.



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Key Operating Measures



The following table provides comparative data relating to certain operating
measures during the three and nine months ended June 30, 2022, and June 30,
2021.



                                           Three Months      Three Months       Nine Months       Nine Months
                                            Ended June        Ended June        Ended June        Ended June
              Description                    30, 2022          30, 2021          30, 2022          30, 2021
Production (Den gal) (in millions)                 26.09             32.09             91.89             96.78
Ethanol Yield (den gal/bu)                          2.96              2.95              2.96              2.94
Ethanol Price (per gal)                    $        2.57     $        2.06     $        2.47     $        1.64
Corn Price (per bu)                        $        7.39     $        5.88     $        6.12     $        5.07
Corn Oil Yield (lbs/bu)                             1.12              0.96              1.10              0.93
BTU's/gallon                                      21,716            21,637            21,788            22,697
Steam/Nat Gas cost per MMBTU               $        3.56     $        3.22     $        3.81     $        3.24
kWh/gallon                                          0.75              0.64              0.68              0.63
Chemical Cost ($/gal)                      $        0.16     $        0.09     $        0.13     $        0.09




As the table above indicates, during the three and nine months ended June 30,
2022 our performance against the operating measures improved in some categories,
but was met with challenges in other categories. The price per gallon of ethanol
increased significantly over the same period last year due to supply shortages
and increased demand for both gasoline and ethanol. The yield we obtained for
both ethanol and distillers corn oil increased in the first nine months of
Fiscal 2022, with distillers corn oil having a significant increase and impact
on revenue. We continue to focus on operating the plant more efficiently, and
that can be seen in our continued reduction of BTU's per gallon in the
year-to-date total. The three months ended June 30, 2022 BTU amount was impacted
by the annual plant shutdown which decreased the amount of ethanol gallons
produced. Inflation has impacted various components during the first nine months
of Fiscal 2022, notably in the cost of chemicals. These changes directly
increase our cost of goods sold, and we do not expect them to decrease in the
near future.


The impact of inflation on chemical costs, the price of labor and other durable goods, indicate that maintaining the achievement generated in Fiscal 2021 will prove to be a significant challenge. Our management team continues to explore opportunities to reduce costs and more efficient and effective means of operating the Company.





Cost Per Gallon     YTD 2022      FY 2021      FY 2020      FY 2019
       Variable        0.270        0.217        0.207        0.244
          Fixed        0.160        0.107        0.129        0.121
            G&A        0.060        0.044        0.043        0.038
          Total        0.490        0.368        0.379        0.403




Our management team also continues to evaluate opportunities to add value to our
production process by diversifying into high protein feed along with measures to
reduce the carbon index ("CI") of the ethanol we produce. We believe that
consolidation and innovation within the ethanol industry, coupled with our
location, good operating efficiencies and our solid team may provide new
opportunities for our plant.



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Regulatory Developments



Renewable Fuel Standard



The ethanol industry receives support through the Federal Renewable Fuels
Standard (the "RFS") which has been, and continues to be, a driving factor in
the growth of ethanol usage. The RFS requires that each year a certain amount of
renewable fuels must be used in the United States. The RFS is a national program
that allows refiners to use renewable fuel blends in those areas of the country
where it is most cost-effective. The EPA is responsible for revising and
implementing regulations to ensure that transportation fuel sold in the United
States contains a minimum volume of renewable fuel. The RFS statutory volume
requirement increases incrementally each year until the United States is
statutorily required to use 36 billion gallons of renewable fuels by calendar
year 2022. The EPA has the authority, however, to waive the RFS statutory volume
requirements, in whole or in part, provided that there is either inadequate
domestic renewable fuel supply or the implementation of the requirement would
severely harm the economy or environment of a state, region or the United
States.



Annually, the EPA is required by statute to pass a rule that establishes the
number of gallons of different types of renewable fuels that must be used in the
United States which is called the renewable volume obligation. For 2020, 2021,
and 2022 the statutory volume requirements for renewable fuels were 30 billion
gallons, 33 billion gallons, and 36 billion gallons, respectively. On June 3,
2022, the EPA released the final rules for the renewable volume obligations
("RVOs") for 2020, 2021 and 2022 and set the RVOs at 17.13 billion gallons for
2020, 18.84 billion gallons for 2021 and 20.63 billion gallons for 2022. An
additional 250 million supplemental gallons were added to the RVOs for 2022 in
order to address the court-ordered remand of previously lowered RVOs for
2014-2016.



 Federal regulations supporting the use of renewable fuels like the RFS are a
significant driver of ethanol demand in the U.S. Under the RFS, the EPA assigns
individual refiners, blenders, and importers the volume of renewable fuels they
are obligated to use based on their percentage of total domestic transportation
fuel sales. The mechanism that provides accountability in RFS compliance is the
Renewable Identification Number ("RIN"). RINs are a tradeable commodity given
that if refiners (obligated parties) need additional RINs to be compliant, they
have to purchase them from those that have excess. Thus, there is an economic
incentive to use renewable fuels like ethanol, or in the alternative, buy RINs.
Obligated parties use RINs to show compliance with RFS-regulated volumes. RINs
are attached to renewable fuels by ethanol producers and detached when the
renewable fuel is blended with transportation fuel or traded in the open market.
The market price of detached RINs affects the price of ethanol in certain
markets and influences the purchasing decisions by obligated parties.



Although renewable volume obligations establish the number of gallons of
renewable fuel that must be blended into the nation's fuel supply, these
obligations do not take into account waivers granted by the EPA to small
refiners for "hardship."  The EPA can, in consultation with the Department of
Energy, waive the obligation for individual smaller refineries that are
suffering "disproportionate economic hardship" due to compliance with the RFS.
To qualify for this "small refinery waiver," the refineries must be under total
throughput of 75,000 barrels per day and state their case for an exemption in an
application to the EPA each year. On June 3, 2022, the EPA announced the denial
of 69 petitions from small refineries seeking small refinery exemptions (SREs)
from the RFS program for one or more of the compliance years between 2016 and
2021. Having a final conclusion to this issue that has been ongoing for many
years will help provide more stability within the RIN's market.



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State Initiatives



In 2006, Iowa passed legislation promoting the use of renewable fuels in
Iowa. One of the most significant provisions of the Iowa renewable fuels
legislation was a renewable fuels targeted set of tax credits encouraging an
escalating percentage of the gasoline sold in Iowa to consist of, be blended
with, or be replaced by, renewable fuels. To receive the tax credit, retailers
of gasoline are required to reach escalating annual targets of the percentage of
their gasoline sales that consist of, are blended with, or are replaced by,
renewable fuels. This renewable fuel tax credit originally required 10% of the
gasoline that retailers sold to fall within the renewable fuels definitions to
receive the credit and has increased incrementally to 25% as of January 1, 2020.
This tax credit automatically repealed itself on January 1, 2021 for tax years
beginning on or after that date.



Industry Factors Affecting our Results of Operations





Ethanol prices increased 50.6% during the nine months ended June 30, 2022, as
compared to the same period in the previous fiscal year. This increase was
partially offset by a decrease of 17.1% in ethanol shipments during the
nine months ended June 30, 2022, as compared to the prior year. The reduction in
shipments was due to our increased shipments of undenatured ethanol. Management
believes the volume of undenatured ethanol sales will continue at similar rates
in the future.



The latest outlook of supply and demand provided by the United States Department
of Agriculture (the "USDA") estimate for United States 2021/22 corn production
is 15.115 billion bushels. The yield projection is 177 bushels per acre. Both
were unchanged from the previous report. The projection for the 2022/23 crop
year is 14.46 billion bushels and a 177 yield projection. The USDA did
increase the corn used for ethanol for the 2021/2022 crop year to 5.375 billion
bushels. Their previous estimate was 5.35 billion bushels. For the 2022/23 crop
year, the estimated usage for ethanol is 5.375 billion bushels. The USDA
increased their corn price estimates for fiscal 2022 to $5.95 per bushel, up
from the previous estimate of $5.80. For the 2022/23 crop year, the USDA is
anticipating the average corn price to be $6.75. The USDA estimated in their
July World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) report that in
2021/22 there were 93.4 million acres of corn planted which is up slightly from
their original projection of 90.7 million acres, but is unchanged from their
April report. The USDA is estimating for 2022/23 there will be 89.5 million corn
acres planted. Export projections have decreased from 2.5 million bushels to
2.45 million bushels for the 2021/22 crop year and is estimated to be 2.4
million bushels for the 2022/23 crop year.



The US Energy Information Administration ("EIA") released its Short-Term Energy
Outlook report in July 2022 and indicated that US ethanol production increased
in 2021 from 2020, but still remained lower than 2019. Ethanol production was 8%
higher in 2021 compared to 2020. The EIA estimates an increase of 4% over 2021
levels in 2022 and 2% in 2023. Ethanol consumption increased 10% in 2021
compared to 2020, and the EIA anticipates ethanol consumption will rise 1% in
2022 and 1.4% in 2023 compared to 2021.



We currently believe that our margins will decrease to more normal levels after
reaching historic highs during the first three months of Fiscal 2022.  As
discussed in greater depth above, in December, 2021, the EPA issued a
long-awaited biofuel blending proposal that cut the RVOs for 2020 and 2021, but
restored 2022's RVO, allowing it to be satisfied with up to 15 billion gallons
of ethanol and an additional 5.77 billion gallons of other advanced biofuels. In
January 2022, rumors circulated in the market that this 15 billion gallon
number for 2022 may be rolled back in the final rule. This market
speculation reduced RIN prices after the rebound RIN prices experienced in
response to the December EPA announcement. Uncertainty with biofuel regulations
will continue to cause fluctuations in our margins. Lower supply and challenges
with transportation and logistics resulting from the long-term impact of the
COVID pandemic will also have a direct impact on our margins as we continue to
face challenges with delays in shipment of our products to both domestic and
international markets.



Our distiller grain margins have been impacted positively in the short term due
to the current high corn prices which has resulted in increased demand for our
dried distiller grains ("DDG") and wet distiller grains ("WDG"). We experienced
a price increase of 26% for the nine months ended June 30, 2022, as compared to
the nine months ended June 30, 2021 on a 1.2% decrease in tons sold for those
same periods. In 2019, the U.S. implemented tariffs on a cross section of
Chinese products, and China did not order products from the U.S., including DDG.
In January 2020, the U.S. and China signed a "Phase One Agreement" where the
U.S. lowered tariffs in exchange for China reinstating orders for U.S. products,
including agriculture products. We cannot forecast how much demand from China
will come back into the marketplace, or if additional demand can be created from
other foreign markets or domestically. In 2020, China re-entered the DDG import
market, but did not reach the levels necessary to be included in the top 10
countries of DDG imports.



On December 18, 2019, Congress extended the biodiesel tax credit through 2022
with retroactive application to January 1, 2018. The extension of the tax credit
has increased demand for distillers corn oil, which is a feedstock for renewable
diesel, and could continue to have a positive impact on distillers corn oil
prices for the remainder of Fiscal 2022



On July 27, 2022 the Inflation Reduction Act of 2022 (the "IRA") was introduced
in the U.S. Senate. Although we are still evaluating the IRA, if enacted as
proposed, it could have several potential impacts on our business operations.
The proposed legislation includes tax incentives that support biofuel production
and infrastructure as well as an extension of the biodiesel tax credit which
could result in continued positive impact on the value of our distillers corn
oil.



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Results of Operations


The following table shows our results of operations, stated as a percentage of revenue for the three months ended June 30, 2022, and 2021.





                                                 Three Months Ended June 30, 2022             Three Months Ended June 30, 2021
                                                 Amounts                 % of Revenues        Amounts            % of Revenues
                                                 in 000's                                     in 000's
Income Statement Data
Revenues                                   $             87,530                   100.0 %    $   87,869                   100.0 %
Cost of Goods Sold
Material Costs                                           61,738                    70.5 %        65,268                    74.3 %
Variable Production Expense                               8,985                    10.3 %         6,592                     7.5 %
Fixed Production Expense                                  7,178                     8.2 %         7,441                     8.5 %
Gross Margin                                              9,629                   11.00 %         8,568                     9.8 %
General and Administrative Expenses                       1,765                    2.02 %         1,305                     1.5 %
Interest and other (income) expense, net                 (2,648 )                 (3.03 )%          509                     0.6 %
Net Income (Loss)                          $             10,512                   12.01 %    $    6,754                     7.7 %



The following table shows our results of operations, stated as a percentage of revenue for the nine months ended June 30, 2022, and 2021.





                                             Nine Months Ended June 30, 2022        Nine Months Ended June 30, 2021
                                             Amounts            % of Revenues        Amounts         % of Revenues
                                            in 000's                                 in 000's
Income Statement Data
Revenues                                   $   285,132                     100 %       213,280                100.0 %
Cost of Goods Sold
Material Costs                                 201,825                    70.8 %       164,699                 77.2 %
Variable Production Expense                     16,087                     5.6 %        19,958                  9.4 %
Fixed Production Expense                        13,516                     4.7 %        19,462                  9.1 %
Gross Margin                                    53,704                    18.8 %         9,161                  4.3 %
General and Administrative Expenses              5,206                     1.8 %         3,940                  1.8 %
Interest and other (income) expense, net        (4,504 )                  (1.6 )%          502                  0.2 %
Net Income (Loss)                          $    53,002                    18.6 %    $    4,719                  2.2 %




Revenues



Our revenue from operations is derived from three primary sources: sales of
ethanol, distillers grains, and distillers corn oil. The chart below displays
statistical information regarding our revenues. During the three months ended
June 30, 2022, the average price per gallon of ethanol increased by 24.8% as
compared to the same period in 2021, offset by a 35.9% decrease in gallons of
ethanol sold, primarily due an extended annual shutdown timeframe. The net
effect was a 5.6% decrease in ethanol revenue for the three months ended June
30, 2022.



An increase in the average price per ton of distillers grains of approximately
22% which was partially offset by a 5% decrease in volume sold resulted in an
increase of 2.8% in revenue for this category in the three months ended June 30,
2022 as compared to the same three month period in Fiscal 2021.



Distillers corn oil revenue increased 56.1% in the three months ended June 30,
2022, compared to the three months ended June 30, 2021 with a 57.5% increase in
price, offset by a lower volume of 0.3%. Distillers corn oil prices increased
principally as a result of increased biodiesel production. Our market for
distillers corn oil is primarily local middlemen that compete for our available
supply.



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                                            Three Months Ended June 30, 2022       Three Months Ended June 30, 2021
                                           Amounts in                             Amounts in
                                              000's            % of Revenues         000's            % of Revenues
Product Revenue Information
Denatured and Undenatured Ethanol          $    63,858                     73 %   $    67,645                   77.0 %
Distillers Grains                               15,031                   17.2 %        14,615                   16.6 %
Distillers Corn Oil                              8,284                    9.5 %         5,307                    6.0 %
Other                                              357                    0.4 %           302                    0.3 %




                                             Nine Months Ended June 30, 2022         Nine Months Ended June 30, 2021
                                           Amounts in                              Amounts in
                                              000's             % of Revenues         000's             % of Revenues
Product Revenue Information
Denatured and Undenatured Ethanol          $   212,977                    74.7 %   $   159,507                    74.8 %
Distillers Grains                               47,030                    16.5 %        40,452                    19.0 %
Distillers Corn Oil                             23,698                     8.3 %        12,431                     5.8 %
Other                                            1,427                     0.5 %           890                     0.4 %




Cost of Goods Sold



Our cost of goods sold as a percentage of our revenues was 89.0% and 90.2% for
the three months ended June 30, 2022, and 2021, respectively. Our two primary
costs of producing ethanol and distillers grains are corn and energy, with steam
and natural gas as our primary energy sources.  Cost of goods sold also includes
net (gains) or losses from derivatives and hedging relating to corn.  The
average price of corn used in ethanol production per bushel increased 25.7% in
the three months ended June 30, 2022, compared to the three months ended June
30, 2021. Due to operational challenges, the volume of ethanol produced
decreased by 18.7% for the three months ended June 30, 2022, as compared to the
same period in Fiscal 2021.



Realized and unrealized gains (losses) related to our derivatives and hedging
related to corn resulted in a $1.05 million increase to our cost of goods sold
for the three months ended June 30, 2022, compared to a decrease of 0.8 million
for the three months ended June 30, 2021. We recognize the gains or losses that
result from the changes in the value of our derivative instruments related to
corn in cost of goods sold as the changes occur.  As corn prices fluctuate, the
value of our derivative instruments is impacted, which affects our financial
performance.  We anticipate continued volatility in our cost of goods sold due
to the timing of the changes in value of the derivative instruments relative to
the cost and use of the commodity being hedged.



Variable production expenses increased 36.3% when comparing the three months
ended June 30, 2022, to the three months ended June 30, 2021due to an increase
in the cost of chemicals and utilities.



Fixed production expenses decreased 3.5% for the three months ended June 30,
2022, compared to the three months ended June 30, 2021,due to a decrease in our
rail car maintenance expense year over year and ability to capitalize plant
maintenance expenses incurred during the third quarter of Fiscal 2022 based on
the nature of the repairs.



General and administrative expenses include salaries and benefits of
administrative employees, professional fees and other general administrative
costs. Our general and administrative expenses for the three months ended June
30, 2022, increased 35.2% compared to the three months ended June 30,
2021,primarily due to increased payroll expenses, insurance expenses and legal
and accounting fees associated with being registered with the Securities and
Exchange Commission.


Interest and Other (Income) Expense, Net





Our interest and other (income) expenses, net, were $ (2.6)  million for three
months ended June 30, 2022, and $509 thousand for the three months ended June
30, 2021. The difference was the receipt of the USDA Biofuels Producer grant
received in May of 2022.



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Selected Financial Data



Modified EBITDA is defined as net income plus interest expense net of interest
income, plus depreciation and amortization, or EBITDA, as adjusted for
unrealized hedging (gains) losses.  Modified EBITDA is not required by or
presented in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles in the
United States of America ("GAAP") and should not be considered as an alternative
to net income, operating income or any other performance measure derived in
accordance with GAAP, or as an alternative to cash flow from operating
activities or as a measure of our liquidity.



We present modified EBITDA because we consider it to be an important supplemental measure of our operating performance and it is considered by our management and Board of Directors as an important operating metric in their assessment of our performance.





We believe modified EBITDA allows us to better compare our current operating
results with corresponding historical periods and with the operational
performance of other companies in our industry because it does not give effect
to potential differences caused by variations in capital structures (affecting
relative interest expense, including the impact of write-offs of deferred
financing costs when companies refinance their indebtedness), the amortization
of intangibles (affecting relative amortization expense), unrealized hedging
(gains) losses and other items that are unrelated to underlying operating
performance. We also present modified EBITDA because we believe it is frequently
used by securities analysts and investors as a measure of performance.  There
are a number of material limitations to the use of modified EBITDA as an
analytical tool, including the following:



• Modified EBITDA does not reflect our interest expense or the cash requirements

to pay our principal and interest. Because we have borrowed money to finance

our operations, interest expense is a necessary element of our costs and our


    ability to generate profits and cash flows. Therefore, any measure that
    excludes interest expense may have limitations.





• Although depreciation and amortization are non-cash expenses in the period

recorded, the assets being depreciated and amortized may have to be replaced

in the future, and modified EBITDA does not reflect the cash requirements for


    such replacement.  Because we use capital assets, depreciation and
    amortization expense is a necessary element of our costs and ability to
    generate profits. Therefore, any measure that excludes depreciation and
    amortization expense may have limitations.




We compensate for these limitations by relying heavily on our GAAP financial
measures and by using modified EBITDA as supplemental information. We believe
that consideration of modified EBITDA, together with a careful review of our
GAAP financial measures, is the most informed method of analyzing our
operations. Because modified EBITDA is not a measurement determined in
accordance with GAAP and is susceptible to varying calculations, modified
EBITDA, as presented, may not be comparable to other similarly titled measures
of other companies. The following table provides a reconciliation of modified
EBITDA to net income (in thousands except per unit data):



                                                                 Three           Nine           Nine
                                                                 Months         Months         Months
                                       Three Months Ended        Ended          Ended          Ended
                                                                June 30,       June 30,       June 30,
                                         June 30, 2022            2021           2022           2021

EBITDA
Net Income (Loss)                     $             10,512     $    6,754     $   53,002     $    4,719
Interest Expense                                       415            524          1,194          1,522
Depreciation                                         2,842          2,764          8,521          8,290
EBITDA                                              13,769         10,042         62,717         14,531

Unrealized Hedging (Gain) Loss                       2,826         (1,578 )       (1,754 )       (1,302 )

Modified EBITDA                       $             16,595     $    8,464     $   60,963     $   13,229




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Liquidity and Capital Resources





The Company has certain loan agreements with Farm Credit Services of America,
FLCA, ("FLCA"), Farm Credit Services of America, PCA ("PCA") and CoBank, ACB
("CoBank") (collectively, the "FCSA Credit Facility"), which provide the Company
with a term loan in the amount of $30 million (the "Term Loan"), a revolving
term loan in the amount of $40 million (the "Revolving Term Loan") and a $10
million revolving line of credit (the "Revolving Credit Loan"). The FCSA Credit
Facility is secured by a security interest on all of the Company's assets.



The Term Loan provides for semi-annual payments by the Company to FCSA of $3.75
million, on March 1 and September 1, beginning September 1, 2020. The Term Loan
was amended in February 2021 to only require a single principal payment of $3.75
during 2021. All remaining amounts due under the Term Note are due and payable
on the maturity date of November 15, 2024. As of June 30, 2022, there was an
outstanding balance of $18.75 million on the Term Loan.



As of June 30, 2022, there was an outstanding balance of $12.6 million on the
Revolving Term Loan. Any outstanding amounts due under the Revolving Term Loan
are due and payable on the maturity date of November 15, 2024.



As of June 30, 2022, there was no outstanding balance under the Revolving Credit
Loan. Effective February 25, 2022, we amended the terms of the Revolving Credit
Loan to extend the maturity date from March 1, 2022 to February 1, 2023.



           Under the FCSA Credit Facility, the interest rates utilize the 

Daily


Simple SOFR Rate with a Daily Simple SOFR Rate Spread of 3.45% per annum.  The
interest rate at June 30, 2022 applicable to each of the loans under the FSCA
Credit Facility was 5.06%.



As of June 30, 2022, we had a cash balance of $0.01 million, $27.4 million available under the Revolving Term Loan and $10 million available under the Revolving Credit Loan.

As stated in Note 4 to the financial statements, the loan agreements were amended as of July 18, 2022.





Primary Working Capital Needs



During the fourth quarter of Fiscal 2022, we estimate that we will require cash
of approximately $68 million for our primary input of corn and $4 million for
our energy sources of electricity, steam, and natural gas. Capital expenditure
requirements for the fourth quarter are expected to be $2 million.



Although there is uncertainty related to the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on
our future results, management believes that the Company has sufficient cash
available to fund operations for the next twelve months generated by cash from
our continuing operations and available cash under our Revolving Term Loan. We
cannot estimate the availability of funds for hedging in the future.



Commodity Price Risk



Our operations are highly dependent on commodity prices, especially prices for
corn, ethanol and distillers grains and the spread between them (the "crush
margin"). As a result of price volatility for these commodities, our operating
results may fluctuate substantially. The price and availability of corn are
subject to significant fluctuations depending upon a number of factors that
affect commodity prices in general, including crop conditions, weather,
governmental programs and foreign purchases. We may experience increasing costs
for corn and natural gas and decreasing prices for ethanol and distillers grains
which could significantly impact our operating results. Because the market price
of ethanol is not directly related to corn prices, ethanol producers are
generally not able to compensate for increases in the cost of corn through
adjustments in prices for ethanol. We continue to monitor corn and ethanol
prices and manage the "crush margin" to affect our longer-term profitability.



We enter into various derivative contracts with the primary objective of
managing our exposure to adverse price movements in the commodities used for,
and produced in, our business operations and, to the extent we have working
capital available and available market conditions are appropriate, we engage in
hedging transactions which involve risks that could harm our business. We
measure and review our net commodity positions on a daily basis. Our daily net
agricultural commodity position consists of inventory, forward purchase and sale
contracts, over-the-counter and exchange traded derivative instruments.  The
effectiveness of our hedging strategies is dependent upon the cost of
commodities and our ability to sell sufficient products to use all of the
commodities for which we have futures contracts. Although we actively manage our
risk and adjust hedging strategies as appropriate, there is no assurance that
our hedging activities will successfully reduce the risk caused by market
volatility which may leave us vulnerable to high commodity prices.
Alternatively, we may choose not to engage in hedging transactions in the
future. As a result, our future results of operations and financial conditions
may also be adversely affected during periods in which price changes in corn,
ethanol and distillers grain do not work in our favor.



In addition, as described above, hedging transactions expose us to the risk of
counterparty non-performance where the counterparty to the hedging contract
defaults on its contract or, in the case of over-the-counter or exchange-traded
contracts, where there is a change in the expected differential between the
price of the commodity underlying the hedging agreement and the actual prices
paid or received by us for the physical commodity bought or sold. We have, from
time to time, experienced instances of counterparty non-performance but losses
incurred in these situations were not significant.



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Although we believe our hedge positions accomplish an economic hedge against our
future purchases and sales, management has chosen not to use hedge accounting,
which would match any gain or loss on our hedge positions to the specific
commodity purchase being hedged. We are using fair value accounting for our
hedge positions, which means as the current market price of our hedge positions
changes, the realized or unrealized gains and losses are immediately recognized
in the current period (commonly referred to as the "mark to market" method). The
immediate recognition of hedging gains and losses under fair value accounting
can cause net income to be volatile from quarter to quarter due to the timing of
the change in the value of the derivative instruments relative to the cost and
use of the commodity being hedged. As corn prices move in reaction to market
trends and information, our income statement will be affected depending on the
impact such market movements have on the value of our derivative
instruments. Depending on market movements, crop prospects and weather, our
hedging strategies may cause immediate adverse effects, but are expected to
produce long-term positive impact.



In the event we do not have sufficient working capital to enter into hedging
strategies to manage our commodities price risk, we may be forced to purchase
our corn and market our ethanol at spot prices and as a result, we could be
further exposed to market volatility and risk. However, during the past year,
the spot market has been advantageous.



Credit and Counterparty Risks



Through our normal business activities, we are subject to significant credit and
counterparty risks that arise through normal commercial sales and purchases,
including forward commitments to buy and sell, and through various other
over-the-counter (OTC) derivative instruments that we utilize to manage risks
inherent in our business activities. We define credit and counterparty risk as a
potential financial loss due to the failure of a counterparty to honor its
obligations. The exposure is measured based upon several factors, including
unpaid accounts receivable from counterparties and unrealized gains (losses)
from OTC derivative instruments (including forward purchase and sale
contracts). We actively monitor credit and counterparty risk through credit
analysis (by our marketing agent).



Impact of Hedging Transactions on Liquidity





Our operations and cash flows are highly impacted by commodity prices, including
prices for corn, ethanol, distillers grains and natural gas. We attempt to
reduce the market risk associated with fluctuations in commodity prices through
the use of derivative instruments, including forward corn contracts and
over-the-counter exchange-traded futures and option contracts. Our liquidity
position may be positively or negatively affected by changes in the underlying
value of our derivative instruments. When the value of our open derivative
positions decrease, we may be required to post margin deposits with our brokers
to cover a portion of the decrease or we may require significant liquidity with
little advanced notice to meet margin calls. Conversely, when the value of our
open derivative positions increase, our brokers may be required to deliver
margin deposits to us for a portion of the increase. We continuously monitor and
manage our derivative instruments portfolio and our exposure to margin calls and
while we believe we will continue to maintain adequate liquidity to cover such
margin calls from operating results and borrowings, we cannot estimate the
actual availability of funds from operations or borrowings for hedging
transactions in the future.



The effects, positive or negative, on liquidity resulting from our hedging
activities tend to be mitigated by offsetting changes in cash prices in our
business. For example, in a period of rising corn prices, gains resulting from
long grain derivative positions would generally be offset by higher cash prices
paid to farmers and other suppliers in local corn markets. These offsetting
changes do not always occur, however, in the same amounts or in the same period.



We expect that a $1.00 per bushel fluctuation in market prices for corn would
impact our cost of goods sold by approximately $45 million, or $0.34 per gallon,
assuming our plant operates at 100% of our capacity. We expect the annual impact
to our results of operations due to a $0.50 decrease in ethanol prices will
result in approximately a $65 million decrease in revenue.



Critical Accounting Estimates





For a discussion of the Critical Accounting Estimates material to an
understanding of our business and financial results, members should carefully
review the discussion of such estimates in our annual report on Form 10-K for
the year ended September 30, 2021, in Part II, Item 7, "Management's Discussion
and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations," under "Summary
of Critical Accounting Policies and Estimates." At this time, there have been no
material changes to the estimates disclosed in our annual report on Form 10-K
for the year ended September 30, 2021, nor have the material facts underlying
those estimates changed in any manner.

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