Projected Income Statement: Southern Company

Forecast Balance Sheet: Southern Company

Forecast Balance Sheet - Southern Company
Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 51,919 - 61,252 63,754 70,952 77,849 86,351 91,953
Change - - - 4.08% 11.29% 9.72% 10.92% 6.49%
Announcement Date 2/17/22 2/16/23 2/15/24 2/20/25 2/19/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Southern Company

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 7,240 9,095 8,955 12,737 16,227 19,332 17,834
Change - - -1.54% 42.23% 27.4% 19.14% -7.75%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -1,071 -1,542 833 -2,935 -1,723 -2,567 139
Change - - 154.02% -452.34% 41.29% -48.98% 105.41%
Announcement Date 2/17/22 2/15/24 2/20/25 2/19/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Southern Company

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 39.47% 31.71% 40.99% 44.24% 43.26% 45.53% 46.74% 48.46%
EBIT Margin (%) 24.05% 19.2% 23.07% 26.45% 24.65% 26.24% 27.75% 29.12%
EBT Margin (%) 11.15% 14.42% 17.21% 19.57% 16.92% 19.04% 20.15% 21.09%
Net margin (%) 10.35% 12.04% 15.74% 16.47% 14.69% 16.34% 17.26% 17.95%
FCF margin (%) -4.63% - -6.11% 3.12% -9.93% -5.57% -7.84% 0.4%
FCF / Net Income (%) -44.76% - -38.78% 18.93% -67.61% -34.1% -45.4% 2.21%

Profitability

        
ROA 2.89% - 2.9% 3.09% 3.16% 3.08% 3.2% 3.31%
ROE 12.96% - 12.86% 13.61% 13.71% 13.41% 13.34% 13.5%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 5.69x - 5.92x 5.39x 5.55x 5.53x 5.64x 5.42x
Debt / Free cash flow -48.48x - -39.72x 76.54x -24.17x -45.18x -33.64x 661.53x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 31.32% - 36.02% 33.51% 43.1% 52.48% 59.01% 50.97%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 79.36% - 87.87% 75.74% 99.62% 115.27% 126.27% 105.18%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -676% - -589.82% 1,075.03% -433.97% -941.79% -753.11% 12,830.01%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 5.776 - 6.879 8.882 8.887 10.13 10.7 -
Change - - - 29.12% 0.05% 13.97% 5.66% -
Dividend per Share 1 2.62 - 2.78 2.86 2.94 3.039 3.133 3.232
Change - - - 2.88% 2.8% 3.36% 3.1% 3.15%
Book Value Per Share 1 26.3 - 28.82 30.27 32.77 35.24 37.89 40.75
Change - - - 5.03% 8.26% 7.54% 7.51% 7.55%
EPS 1 2.26 3.28 3.64 3.99 3.92 4.452 4.91 5.325
Change - 45.13% 10.98% 9.62% -1.75% 13.57% 10.29% 8.45%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,059,804 1,087,673 1,090,619 1,095,684 1,101,105 1,150,363 1,150,363 1,150,363
Announcement Date 2/17/22 2/16/23 2/15/24 2/20/25 2/19/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 20.1x 18.2x
PBR 2.54x 2.36x
EV / Sales 5.84x 5.77x
Yield 3.4% 3.51%

EPS & Dividend

EPS & Dividend - Southern Company


Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Valuation ratios - P/E - Southern Company
 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Valuation ratios - Yield - Southern Company
Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
MarketScreener Ratings - Southern Company
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
23
Last Close Price
89.38USD
Average target price
96.76USD
Spread / Average Target
+8.26%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

Rate of surprise - Net sales - Quarterly - Southern Company
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