Projected Income Statement: Sogefi S.p.A.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Sogefi S.p.A.

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net Debt 1 256 359 258 224 266 46.6 28.8 8.83
Change - 40.23% -28.13% -13.18% 18.75% -82.49% -38.2% -69.34%
Announcement Date 20-02-24 21-02-26 22-02-25 23-03-09 24-02-23 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Sogefi S.p.A.

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
CAPEX 1 127.7 108.2 109.7 98.76 94.67 68.7 70.6 72.55
Change - -15.25% 1.38% -9.99% -4.14% -27.44% 2.77% 2.76%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 8.4 -22.21 32.4 29.3 37.9 242.6 31.5 37.1
Change - -364.4% -245.88% -9.57% 29.35% 540.11% -87.02% 17.78%
Announcement Date 20-02-24 21-02-26 22-02-25 23-03-09 24-02-23 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Sogefi S.p.A.

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 11.41% 13.04% 14.58% 12.54% 13.6% 12.61% 12.9% 12.81%
EBIT Margin (%) 2.61% 0.6% 4.42% 4.4% 6.46% 4.9% 5.24% 5.29%
EBT Margin (%) 1.05% -1.3% 3.19% 3.19% 5.23% 3.44% 4.13% 4.55%
Net margin (%) 0.21% -2.92% 0.15% 1.91% 3.55% 15.11% 2.49% 2.74%
FCF margin (%) 0.55% -1.85% 2.45% 1.89% 2.33% 23.54% 3.02% 3.44%
FCF / Net Income (%) 262.5% 63.28% 1,620% 98.99% 65.57% 155.76% 121.06% 125.44%

Profitability

        
ROA - - - - - - - -
ROE 1.68% -21.8% 19.28% 16.59% 22.95% 54.8% 8% 9%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.48x 2.29x 1.34x 1.15x 1.2x 0.36x 0.21x 0.06x
Debt / Free cash flow 30.5x -16.17x 7.97x 7.66x 7.02x 0.19x 0.91x 0.24x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 8.41% 9% 8.31% 6.36% 5.82% 6.66% 6.77% 6.73%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 73.64% 68.98% 57% 50.72% 42.76% 52.85% 52.43% 52.57%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 1,520.24% -487.31% 338.65% 337.06% 249.8% 28.32% 224.13% 195.55%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 1.207 0.729 1.199 1.141 1.089 1.985 - -
Change - -39.62% 64.52% -4.83% -4.61% 82.34% - -
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - 0.2 0.1 0.12 0.14
Change - - - - - -50% 20% 16.67%
Book Value Per Share 1 1.601 1.127 1.589 1.952 2.272 2.5 2.6 2.7
Change - -29.63% 41.03% 22.83% 16.39% 10.04% 4% 3.85%
EPS 1 0.027 -0.298 0.017 0.25 0.487 1.302 0.237 0.2705
Change - -1,203.7% -105.7% 1,370.59% 94.8% 167.35% -81.8% 14.14%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 117,742 117,954 118,042 118,144 118,308 118,745 118,745 118,745
Announcement Date 20-02-24 21-02-26 22-02-25 23-03-09 24-02-23 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2024 *2025 *
P/E ratio 1.45x 7.96x
PBR 0.75x 0.73x
EV / Sales 0.26x 0.24x
Yield 5.3% 6.36%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
3
Last Close Price
1.886EUR
Average target price
2.633EUR
Spread / Average Target
+39.63%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. SO Stock
  4. Financials Sogefi S.p.A.
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