Projected Income Statement: Scentre Group

Forecast Balance Sheet: Scentre Group

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 14,677 14,785 14,791 16,312 14,365 12,620 12,602 12,565
Change - 0.74% 0.04% 10.28% -11.94% -12.15% -0.14% -0.29%
Announcement Date 2/22/22 2/21/23 2/20/24 2/25/25 2/23/26 - - -
1AUD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Scentre Group

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 301 439.3 446.6 411 378.3 418.6 337.6 303.3
Change - 45.95% 1.66% -7.97% -7.96% 10.65% -19.35% -10.15%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 586.2 643.2 624.1 660.2 674.2 1,654 1,098 1,172
Change - 9.72% -2.97% 5.78% 2.12% 145.39% -33.62% 6.7%
Announcement Date 2/22/22 2/21/23 2/20/24 2/25/25 2/23/26 - - -
1AUD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Scentre Group

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 67.38% 71.29% - 75.35% 76.82% 96.23% 96.91% 96.39%
EBIT Margin (%) 67.38% 71.29% 76.07% 75.35% 76.82% 96.75% 97.13% 96.66%
EBT Margin (%) 41.09% 14.09% 7.41% 41.73% 67.69% 69.35% 63.31% 62.89%
Net margin (%) 38.93% 12.23% 6.97% 39.81% 66.24% 74.11% 68.57% 67.89%
FCF margin (%) 25.7% 26.17% 24.86% 25.04% 25.11% 79.87% 51.71% 52.73%
FCF / Net Income (%) 66.02% 213.97% 356.83% 62.89% 37.91% 107.78% 75.41% 77.67%

Profitability

        
ROA 2.27% 2.78% 2.97% 3.12% 4.96% 4.55% 4.79% 4.83%
ROE 4.49% 5.46% 5.94% 6.26% 9.64% 6.33% 6.35% 6.28%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 9.55x 8.44x - 8.21x 6.96x 6.33x 6.12x 5.87x
Debt / Free cash flow 25.04x 22.99x 23.7x 24.71x 21.31x 7.63x 11.48x 10.72x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 13.2% 17.87% 17.79% 15.59% 14.09% 20.21% 15.9% 13.65%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 19.59% 25.07% - 20.68% 18.34% 21% 16.4% 14.16%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 51.35% 68.3% 71.56% 62.25% 56.11% 25.3% 30.74% 25.89%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.1705 0.2204 0.2065 0.2054 0.2132 0.2281 0.2469 0.2515
Change - 29.27% -6.31% -0.53% 3.8% 7% 8.24% 1.84%
Dividend per Share 1 0.1425 0.1575 0.166 0.172 0.1772 0.1839 0.193 0.2005
Change - 10.53% 5.4% 3.61% 3.02% 3.77% 4.96% 3.88%
Book Value Per Share 1 3.665 3.574 3.442 3.469 3.629 3.82 4.042 4.278
Change - -2.46% -3.72% 0.8% 4.6% 5.28% 5.81% 5.83%
EPS 1 0.1707 0.0578 0.0336 0.2013 0.3401 0.2662 0.2801 0.2881
Change - -66.14% -41.87% 499.11% 68.95% -21.73% 5.21% 2.85%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 5,184,178 5,184,178 5,184,178 5,195,548 5,210,217 5,222,590 5,222,590 5,222,590
Announcement Date 2/22/22 2/21/23 2/20/24 2/25/25 2/23/26 - - -
1AUD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 13x 12.4x
PBR 0.91x 0.86x
EV / Sales 14.8x 14.4x
Yield 5.31% 5.58%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
12
Last Close Price
3.460AUD
Average target price
4.028AUD
Spread / Average Target
+16.42%

Annual profits - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. SCG Stock
  4. Financials Scentre Group
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