Projected Income Statement: Scentre Group

Forecast Balance Sheet: Scentre Group

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 14,677 14,785 14,791 16,312 14,365 13,295 13,255 13,671
Change - 0.74% 0.04% 10.28% -11.94% -7.45% -0.3% 3.14%
Announcement Date 2/22/22 2/21/23 2/20/24 2/25/25 2/23/26 - - -
1AUD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Scentre Group

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 301 439.3 446.6 411 378.3 455.4 374 324
Change - 45.95% 1.66% -7.97% -7.96% 20.38% -17.89% -13.36%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 586.2 643.2 624.1 660.2 674.2 1,453 1,058 1,061
Change - 9.72% -2.97% 5.78% 2.12% 115.54% -27.18% 0.25%
Announcement Date 2/22/22 2/21/23 2/20/24 2/25/25 2/23/26 - - -
1AUD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Scentre Group

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 67.38% 71.29% - 75.35% 76.82% 96.18% 96.31% 95.95%
EBIT Margin (%) 67.38% 71.29% 76.07% 75.35% 76.82% 96.29% 96.17% 95.67%
EBT Margin (%) 41.09% 14.09% 7.41% 41.73% 67.69% 60.16% 60.5% 60.99%
Net margin (%) 38.93% 12.23% 6.97% 39.81% 66.24% 57.03% 64.26% 60.23%
FCF margin (%) 25.7% 26.17% 24.86% 25.04% 25.11% 68.4% 47.81% 45.9%
FCF / Net Income (%) 66.02% 213.97% 356.83% 62.89% 37.91% 119.93% 74.39% 76.2%

Profitability

        
ROA 2.27% 2.78% 2.97% 3.12% 4.96% 3.8% 4.1% 4.18%
ROE 4.49% 5.46% 5.94% 6.26% 9.64% 6.4% 6.44% 6.32%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 9.55x 8.44x - 8.21x 6.96x 6.51x 6.22x 6.16x
Debt / Free cash flow 25.04x 22.99x 23.7x 24.71x 21.31x 9.15x 12.53x 12.89x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 13.2% 17.87% 17.79% 15.59% 14.09% 21.44% 16.89% 14.02%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 19.59% 25.07% - 20.68% 18.34% 22.29% 17.54% 14.61%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 51.35% 68.3% 71.56% 62.25% 56.11% 31.34% 35.34% 30.54%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.1705 0.2204 0.2065 0.2054 0.2132 0.2263 0.2346 0.2351
Change - 29.27% -6.31% -0.53% 3.8% 6.16% 3.64% 0.24%
Dividend per Share 1 0.1425 0.1575 0.166 0.172 0.1772 0.1834 0.192 0.2004
Change - 10.53% 5.4% 3.61% 3.02% 3.5% 4.69% 4.4%
Book Value Per Share 1 3.665 3.574 3.442 3.469 3.629 3.765 4.012 4.245
Change - -2.46% -3.72% 0.8% 4.6% 3.75% 6.56% 5.82%
EPS 1 0.1707 0.0578 0.0336 0.2013 0.3401 0.2334 0.2424 0.2513
Change - -66.14% -41.87% 499.11% 68.95% -31.38% 3.87% 3.68%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 5,184,178 5,184,178 5,184,178 5,195,548 5,210,217 5,222,590 5,222,590 5,222,590
Announcement Date 2/22/22 2/21/23 2/20/24 2/25/25 2/23/26 - - -
1AUD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 15.7x 15.1x
PBR 0.97x 0.91x
EV / Sales 15.3x 14.6x
Yield 5% 5.23%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
12
Last Close Price
3.670AUD
Average target price
4.101AUD
Spread / Average Target
+11.74%

Annual profits - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. SCG Stock
  4. Financials Scentre Group