www.numis.com

Oil & Gas

For FSA purposes this is a Marketing Communication

16 January 2012

BUY

Current Share Price 258p

Providence Resources

Company Update

Taking a bigger slice of Barryroe and Dragon

Target Price 446p

Market Capitalisation £129m

Shares In Issue 50m RIC/BLBG PVR.L/PVR LN Avg. Daily Volume (3M) 107,155

Net Cash (Debt) (12/11F) €(44.8)m

Current share price(s) timed at 4:30PM on 13/01/12

Share Price (p)

350

300

250

200

150

Jan-11 Apr-11 Jul-11 Oct-11 Jan-12

Providence Resources

Relative to FTSE (ALL SHARE)

Performance % 1M 3M 12M

Absolute 23 62 -4

Relative 19 56 3

Source: Datastream

Analysts

Matthew Lambourne

+44 (0) 20 7260 1217 m.lambourne@numis.com

Sanjeev Bahl

+44 (0)20 7260 1279 s.bahl@numis.com

This research was prepared and approved by

Numis Securities Ltd

The London Stock Exchange Building

10 Paternoster Square London EC4M 7LT, UK Tel +44 (0)20 7260 1000

Fax +44 (0)20 7260 1010

Email mail@numiscorp.com

We update our Providence NAV to reflect increased stakes in the Barryroe and Dragon appraisal assets. The net impact, in addition to rebasing our valuation to 2012, is a 9% (+73p) increase in our NAV to 891p/sh. We believe Providence remains undervalued - the portfolio offers several very high impact exploration wells that could unlock value many times the current share price, and in our view the risks of potential farmdown dilution and near-term appraisal drilling are overpriced. Our price target moves from 400p to 446p, and we retain our Buy rating.