Financials Pan African Resources PLC OTC Markets

Equities

PAFRY

US69774R1095

Gold

Delayed OTC Markets Other stock markets 09:30:03 2024-02-13 EST			5-day change	1st Jan Change
4.5 ^USD	+12.22%		-.--%	+11.39%

05-21	UBS lifts Schroders; Barclays likes Wise	AN
05-09	Pan African Resources predicts "robust" yearly production	AN

Valuation

Fiscal Period: June	2019	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
Capitalization ¹	192.8	338.4	332.4	397.7	239.9	489.7	-	-
Enterprise Value (EV) ¹	296.9	397.2	360.6	409	257.6	556.6	524.6	364.6
P/E ratio	6.33 x	9.81 x	6.17 x	6.13 x	4.9 x	6.95 x	5.71 x	4.84 x
Yield	1.27%	3.73%	5.31%	4.35%	6.11%	3.01%	4.13%	4.34%
Capitalization / Revenue	1.11 x	1.59 x	1.25 x	1.22 x	0.93 x	1.59 x	1.35 x	1.13 x
EV / Revenue	1.7 x	1.87 x	1.35 x	1.25 x	1 x	1.81 x	1.45 x	0.84 x
EV / EBITDA	6.53 x	5.9 x	3.47 x	3.41 x	2.79 x	4.34 x	2.96 x	1.85 x
EV / FCF	-26.3 x	-	13.2 x	17.2 x	-25.6 x	-16.4 x	7.71 x	2.89 x
FCF Yield	-3.8%	-	7.57%	5.8%	-3.91%	-6.09%	13%	34.6%
Price to Book	-	-	1.62 x	1.55 x	1.02 x	1.63 x	1.21 x	0.96 x
Nbr of stocks (in thousands)	1,928,329	1,928,329	1,928,329	1,916,504	1,916,504	1,916,504	-	-
Reference price ²	0.1000	0.1755	0.1724	0.2075	0.1252	0.2555	0.2555	0.2555
Announcement Date	19-09-18	20-09-16	21-09-15	22-09-14	23-09-13	-	-	-

¹GBP in Million²GBP

Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)

Fiscal Period: June	2019	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
Net sales ¹	174.2	212.9	266.4	326.6	257.7	307.3	361.5	432.5
EBITDA ¹	45.5	67.27	104.1	120	92.15	128.3	177	197.3
EBIT ¹	32.5	50.55	92.42	96.42	75.41	103.3	144.8	186.6
Operating Margin	18.65%	23.75%	34.7%	29.52%	29.26%	33.6%	40.05%	43.15%
Earnings before Tax (EBT) ¹	37.03	40.59	75.7	92.75	68.55	94.03	134.2	179.3
Net income ¹	30.45	34.45	53.94	65.09	48.99	67.79	97.13	129.6
Net margin	17.48%	16.19%	20.25%	19.93%	19.01%	22.06%	26.87%	29.96%
EPS ²	0.0158	0.0179	0.0279	0.0338	0.0256	0.0368	0.0448	0.0528
Free Cash Flow ¹	-11.29	-	27.29	23.71	-10.07	-33.92	68.06	126.2
FCF margin	-6.48%	-	10.25%	7.26%	-3.91%	-11.04%	18.83%	29.18%
FCF Conversion (EBITDA)	-	-	26.23%	19.76%	-	-	38.45%	63.98%
FCF Conversion (Net income)	-	-	50.6%	36.43%	-	-	70.07%	97.41%
Dividend per Share ²	0.001270	0.006550	0.009150	0.009030	0.007650	0.007690	0.0106	0.0111
Announcement Date	19-09-18	20-09-16	21-09-15	22-09-14	23-09-13	-	-	-

¹GBP in Million²GBP

Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)

Fiscal Period: June	2020 S1	2020 S2	2021 S1	2021 S2	2022 S1	2022 S2	2023 S1	2023 S2	2024 S1	2024 S2
Net sales ¹	102	109.7	132.1	133.7	143	158.6	129.7	132.1	154.5	154.6
EBITDA	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
EBIT	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Operating Margin	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Earnings before Tax (EBT)	-	19.43	-	32.36	-	-	-	37.25	-	-
Net income ¹	-	17.41	-	24.5	-	25.12	-	25.66	33.93	28.58
Net margin	-	15.87%	-	18.32%	-	15.84%	-	19.42%	21.95%	18.49%
EPS	0.008750	0.009020	0.0152	0.0127	-	-	-	0.0134	0.0177	-
Dividend per Share	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Announcement Date	20-02-18	20-09-16	21-02-16	21-09-15	22-02-16	22-09-14	23-02-10	23-09-13	24-02-14	-

¹GBP in Million

Estimates

Balance Sheet Analysis

Fiscal Period: June	2019	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
Net Debt ¹	104	58.8	28.2	11.3	17.6	66.9	34.9	-
Net Cash position ¹	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	125
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA)	2.287 x	0.8739 x	0.2706 x	0.094 x	0.191 x	0.5219 x	0.1972 x	-
Free Cash Flow ¹	-11.3	-	27.3	23.7	-10.1	-33.9	68.1	126
ROE (net income / shareholders' equity)	20.7%	24.1%	-	26%	20.7%	22.7%	19.8%	21.9%
ROA (Net income/ Total Assets)	9.68%	-	17.5%	16%	12.8%	14%	19%	-
Assets ¹	314.6	-	307.5	407.2	383.8	484.2	511.2	-
Book Value Per Share ²	-	-	0.1100	0.1300	0.1200	0.1600	0.2100	0.2700
Cash Flow per Share ²	0.0200	0.0200	0.0300	0.0500	0.0400	0.0500	0.0700	0.0700
Capex ¹	42.1	27	32.1	71.8	90.2	122	58.8	34.6
Capex / Sales	24.17%	12.69%	12.05%	21.97%	35%	39.78%	16.26%	8.01%
Announcement Date	19-09-18	20-09-16	21-09-15	22-09-14	23-09-13	-	-	-

¹GBP in Million²GBP

Estimates

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Ratings for Pan African Resources PLC

Trading Rating

Investor Rating

ESG Refinitiv

More Ratings

Analysts' Consensus

Sell

Buy

Mean consensus

BUY

Number of Analysts

Last Close Price

0.2555 GBP

Average target price

0.2875 GBP

Spread / Average Target

+12.52%

Consensus

EPS Revisions

Estimates Revisions

Quarterly earnings - Rate of surprise

Company calendar

Sector Gold Mining

	1st Jan change	Capi.
NEWMONT CORPORATION	+0.94%	48.28B
AGNICO EAGLE MINES LIMITED	+25.27%	34.18B
BARRICK GOLD CORPORATION	-2.26%	30.09B
WHEATON PRECIOUS METALS CORP.	+17.75%	25.51B
NORTHERN STAR RESOURCES LIMITED	+5.13%	10.66B
ANGLOGOLD ASHANTI PLC	+30.44%	10.3B
KINROSS GOLD CORPORATION	+38.40%	9.98B
POLYUS	-.--%	8.8B
ROYAL GOLD, INC.	+5.68%	8.4B

Gold Mining