Projected Income Statement: Osotspa

Forecast Balance Sheet: Osotspa

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 -1,713 421 1,018 441 -2,705 -4,212 -5,889 -7,549
Change - 124.58% 141.81% -56.68% -713.38% -55.7% -39.81% -28.19%
Announcement Date 2/23/22 2/22/23 2/28/24 2/26/25 2/25/26 - - -
1THB in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Osotspa

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 2,678 1,273 1,228 880.4 764.3 734.2 857.6 841.3
Change - -52.48% -3.51% -28.3% -13.19% -3.94% 16.81% -1.89%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 1,844 868.9 714.9 2,593 5,337 4,163 4,456 4,371
Change - -52.88% -17.72% 262.63% 105.84% -21.99% 7.04% -1.91%
Announcement Date 2/23/22 2/22/23 2/28/24 2/26/25 2/25/26 - - -
1THB in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Osotspa

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 19.06% 14.59% 17.3% 13.89% 20.78% 23.08% 23.13% 22.96%
EBIT Margin (%) 13.49% 7.58% 10.8% 11.64% 14.9% 17.22% 17.52% 17.56%
EBT Margin (%) 14.11% 8.41% 10.95% 7.96% 17.16% 17.92% 18% 18.08%
Net margin (%) 11.93% 7.09% 9.22% 6.05% 14.34% 14.76% 14.78% 14.81%
FCF margin (%) 6.76% 3.19% 2.74% 9.58% 20.88% 16.47% 16.98% 16.23%
FCF / Net Income (%) 56.65% 44.93% 29.76% 158.26% 145.54% 111.53% 114.88% 109.63%

Profitability

        
ROA 12.28% 7.26% 9.5% 6.61% 14.75% 14.91% 14.4% 13.97%
ROE 16.65% 10.09% 13.81% 10.3% 22.66% 20.9% 20.64% 20.12%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - 0.11x 0.23x 0.12x - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - 0.48x 1.42x 0.17x - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 9.82% 4.67% 4.71% 3.25% 2.99% 2.9% 3.27% 3.12%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 51.5% 31.98% 27.23% 23.41% 14.39% 12.58% 14.13% 13.61%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 145.23% 146.46% 171.74% 33.96% 14.32% 17.64% 19.25% 19.25%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 1.505 0.7087 0.6468 1.156 2.195 1.695 1.745 1.828
Change - -52.92% -8.73% 78.76% 89.87% -22.79% 2.95% 4.73%
Dividend per Share 1 1.1 0.9 1.65 0.6 0.8 0.8282 0.9465 0.9873
Change - -18.18% 83.33% -63.64% 33.33% 3.53% 14.28% 4.31%
Book Value Per Share 1 6.62 6.147 5.435 5.158 5.617 6.063 6.427 6.856
Change - -7.14% -11.58% -5.1% 8.9% 7.95% 5.99% 6.68%
EPS 1 1.08 0.64 0.8 0.55 1.22 1.242 1.288 1.332
Change - -40.74% 25% -31.25% 121.82% 1.79% 3.74% 3.37%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 3,003,750 3,003,750 3,003,750 3,003,750 3,003,750 3,003,750 3,003,750 3,003,750
Announcement Date 2/23/22 2/22/23 2/28/24 2/26/25 2/25/26 - - -
1THB
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 13x 12.6x
PBR 2.67x 2.52x
EV / Sales 1.76x 1.63x
Yield 5.11% 5.84%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
18
Last Close Price
16.20THB
Average target price
19.43THB
Spread / Average Target
+19.95%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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