Projected Income Statement: Orion Oyj

Forecast Balance Sheet: Orion Oyj

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 -108 -119 93.3 122 144 -100 -352 -633
Change - -10.19% 178.4% 30.76% 18.03% -169.25% -252% -79.83%
Announcement Date 2/10/22 2/9/23 2/13/24 2/25/25 2/12/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Orion Oyj

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 85.4 73.1 116.8 86.9 97.6 95.08 109.6 113.9
Change - -14.4% 59.78% -25.6% 12.31% -2.58% 15.27% 3.89%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 130.3 324.8 53.4 206.5 219.2 482.6 501.3 609.4
Change - 149.27% -83.56% 286.7% 6.15% 120.16% 3.87% 21.57%
Announcement Date 2/10/22 2/9/23 2/13/24 2/25/25 2/12/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Orion Oyj

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 27.77% 36.33% 27.44% 33.03% 36.43% 36.23% 37.24% 38.05%
EBIT Margin (%) 23.37% 32.79% 23.11% 27.01% 33.43% 32.48% 34.88% 35.7%
EBT Margin (%) 23.28% 32.84% 22.85% 26.78% 33.23% 33.07% 34.23% 35.4%
Net margin (%) 18.62% 26.07% 18.22% 21.39% 26.48% 26.59% 27.42% 28.43%
FCF margin (%) 12.52% 24.23% 4.49% 13.39% 11.6% 23.23% 21.47% 24.02%
FCF / Net Income (%) 67.23% 92.93% 24.63% 62.59% 43.81% 87.36% 78.3% 84.49%

Profitability

        
ROA 17.38% 26.7% 14.74% - - - - -
ROE 26.2% 42.2% 24.1% 34.8% 43.7% 38.44% 36.22% 33.27%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - 0.29x 0.24x 0.21x - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - 1.75x 0.59x 0.66x - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 8.2% 5.45% 9.82% 5.63% 5.17% 4.58% 4.69% 4.49%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 29.54% 15.01% 35.78% 17.06% 14.18% 12.63% 12.6% 11.79%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 65.54% 22.51% 218.73% 42.08% 44.53% 19.7% 21.86% 18.68%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 1.535 3.09 0.8478 2.088 2.252 3.788 4.352 4.8
Change - 101.3% -72.56% 146.26% 7.87% 68.2% 14.87% 10.3%
Dividend per Share 1 1.5 1.6 1.62 1.64 1.8 1.907 2.113 2.358
Change - 6.67% 1.25% 1.23% 9.76% 5.93% 10.84% 11.58%
Book Value Per Share 1 5.32 6.48 6.34 7.15 9.13 11.31 14 16.94
Change - 21.8% -2.16% 12.78% 27.69% 23.91% 23.71% 21.06%
EPS 1 1.38 2.49 1.54 2.35 3.56 3.907 4.612 5.142
Change - 80.43% -38.15% 52.6% 51.49% 9.75% 18.04% 11.5%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 140,563 140,202 140,351 140,501 140,693 140,866 140,866 140,866
Announcement Date 2/10/22 2/9/23 2/13/24 2/25/25 2/12/26 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 19.8x 16.8x
PBR 6.84x 5.53x
EV / Sales 5.2x 4.52x
Yield 2.46% 2.73%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
6
Last Close Price
77.40EUR
Average target price
74.33EUR
Spread / Average Target
-3.96%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise