Projected Income Statement: Orion Oyj

Forecast Balance Sheet: Orion Oyj

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 -108 -119 93.3 122 144 -89.8 -333 -603
Change - -10.19% 178.4% 30.76% 18.03% -162.19% -270.82% -81.08%
Announcement Date 2/10/22 2/9/23 2/13/24 2/25/25 2/12/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Orion Oyj

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 85.4 73.1 116.8 86.9 97.6 95.24 109.1 113.3
Change - -14.4% 59.78% -25.6% 12.31% -2.42% 14.55% 3.81%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 130.3 324.8 53.4 206.5 219.2 493 515.8 628
Change - 149.27% -83.56% 286.7% 6.15% 124.92% 4.61% 21.75%
Announcement Date 2/10/22 2/9/23 2/13/24 2/25/25 2/12/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Orion Oyj

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 27.77% 36.33% 27.44% 33.03% 36.43% 36.77% 37.91% 39.19%
EBIT Margin (%) 23.37% 32.79% 23.11% 27.01% 33.43% 33.76% 34.99% 36.49%
EBT Margin (%) 23.28% 32.84% 22.85% 26.78% 33.23% 33.56% 34.89% 36.45%
Net margin (%) 18.62% 26.07% 18.22% 21.39% 26.48% 26.93% 27.9% 29.18%
FCF margin (%) 12.52% 24.23% 4.49% 13.39% 11.6% 23.52% 21.79% 24.56%
FCF / Net Income (%) 67.23% 92.93% 24.63% 62.59% 43.81% 87.34% 78.1% 84.15%

Profitability

        
ROA 17.38% 26.7% 14.74% - - - - -
ROE 26.2% 42.2% 24.1% 34.8% 43.7% 39.22% 36.52% 34.03%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - 0.29x 0.24x 0.21x - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - 1.75x 0.59x 0.66x - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 8.2% 5.45% 9.82% 5.63% 5.17% 4.54% 4.61% 4.43%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 29.54% 15.01% 35.78% 17.06% 14.18% 12.36% 12.16% 11.3%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 65.54% 22.51% 218.73% 42.08% 44.53% 19.32% 21.15% 18.04%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 1.535 3.09 0.8478 2.088 2.252 3.851 4.414 4.9
Change - 101.3% -72.56% 146.26% 7.87% 71.01% 14.59% 11.02%
Dividend per Share 1 1.5 1.6 1.62 1.64 1.8 1.945 2.168 2.47
Change - 6.67% 1.25% 1.23% 9.76% 8.06% 11.48% 13.91%
Book Value Per Share 1 5.32 6.48 6.34 7.15 9.13 11.41 14.15 17.28
Change - 21.8% -2.16% 12.78% 27.69% 24.95% 24.06% 22.07%
EPS 1 1.38 2.49 1.54 2.35 3.56 4.012 4.692 5.298
Change - 80.43% -38.15% 52.6% 51.49% 12.69% 16.96% 12.91%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 140,563 140,202 140,351 140,501 140,693 140,866 140,866 140,866
Announcement Date 2/10/22 2/9/23 2/13/24 2/25/25 2/12/26 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 20.3x 17.4x
PBR 7.15x 5.77x
EV / Sales 5.44x 4.72x
Yield 2.38% 2.66%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
6
Last Close Price
81.60EUR
Average target price
76.67EUR
Spread / Average Target
-6.05%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise