Projected Income Statement: Orion Oyj

Forecast Balance Sheet: Orion Oyj

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 -108 -119 93.3 122 - -129 -300 -543
Change - -10.19% 178.4% 30.76% - - -132.56% -81%
Announcement Date 2/10/22 2/9/23 2/13/24 2/25/25 2/12/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Orion Oyj

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 85.4 73.1 116.8 86.9 92.16 103.2 107.6
Change - -14.4% 59.78% -25.6% - 12% 4.22%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 130.3 324.8 53.4 206.5 486 480.7 567.3
Change - 149.27% -83.56% 286.7% - -1.1% 18.03%
Announcement Date 2/10/22 2/9/23 2/13/24 2/25/25 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Orion Oyj

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 27.77% 36.33% 27.44% 33.03% 36.43% 35.45% 37.05% 38.38%
EBIT Margin (%) 23.37% 32.79% 23.11% 27.01% 33.43% 32.37% 33.91% 35.48%
EBT Margin (%) 23.28% 32.84% 22.85% 26.78% 33.23% 32.17% 33.77% 35.42%
Net margin (%) 18.62% 26.07% 18.22% 21.39% 26.48% 25.84% 27.03% 28.36%
FCF margin (%) 12.52% 24.23% 4.49% 13.39% - 24.37% 21.82% 23.78%
FCF / Net Income (%) 67.23% 92.93% 24.63% 62.59% - 94.32% 80.74% 83.85%

Profitability

        
ROA 17.38% 26.7% 14.74% - - - - -
ROE 26.2% 42.2% 24.1% 34.8% - 36.47% 35.1% 33.1%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - 0.29x 0.24x - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - 1.75x 0.59x - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 8.2% 5.45% 9.82% 5.63% - 4.62% 4.69% 4.51%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 29.54% 15.01% 35.78% 17.06% - 13.03% 12.65% 11.75%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 65.54% 22.51% 218.73% 42.08% - 18.96% 21.47% 18.96%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 1.535 3.09 0.8478 2.088 - 3.785 4.117 4.4
Change - 101.3% -72.56% 146.26% - - 8.79% 6.86%
Dividend per Share 1 1.5 1.6 1.62 1.64 - 1.868 2.015 2.345
Change - 6.67% 1.25% 1.23% - - 7.85% 16.38%
Book Value Per Share 1 5.32 6.48 6.34 7.15 - 11.08 13.51 16.48
Change - 21.8% -2.16% 12.78% - - 21.88% 21.95%
EPS 1 1.38 2.49 1.54 2.35 3.56 3.661 4.229 4.806
Change - 80.43% -38.15% 52.6% 51.49% 2.83% 15.51% 13.66%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 140,563 140,202 140,351 140,501 140,693 140,693 140,693 140,693
Announcement Date 2/10/22 2/9/23 2/13/24 2/25/25 2/12/26 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 18.6x 16.1x
PBR 6.15x 5.04x
EV / Sales 4.74x 4.21x
Yield 2.74% 2.96%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
6
Last Close Price
68.15EUR
Average target price
72.33EUR
Spread / Average Target
+6.14%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise