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End-of-day quote
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5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 1.720 THB | +0.58% |
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+2.99% | -3.91% |
| 06-15 | Origin Property Opens ORI-W2 Warrants Conversion | MT |
| 05-15 | Origin Property posts qtrly profit attributable of 103.5 million baht | RE |
Projected Income Statement: Origin Property
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 15,260 | 13,341 | 13,866 | 10,644 | 8,052 | 9,078 | 9,884 | 10,634 |
| Change | - | -12.57% | 3.93% | -23.23% | -24.36% | 12.75% | 8.87% | 7.59% |
| EBITDA 1 | 4,080 | 4,227 | 3,627 | 1,398 | 580.7 | 1,184 | 1,283 | 1,147 |
| Change | - | 3.62% | -14.2% | -61.46% | -58.46% | 103.88% | 8.39% | -10.62% |
| EBIT 1 | 3,897 | 3,928 | 3,106 | 739.5 | 112.5 | 240 | 550 | 319 |
| Change | - | 0.78% | -20.91% | -76.19% | -84.79% | 113.37% | 129.17% | -42% |
| Interest Paid 1 | - | -389.8 | -459.6 | -677.2 | -818.3 | -742 | -653.5 | -679 |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 4,242 | 5,159 | 3,968 | 1,585 | 950.1 | 610 | 600.5 | 707 |
| Change | - | 21.62% | -23.09% | -60.07% | -40.04% | -35.8% | -1.56% | 17.74% |
| Net income 1 | 3,194 | 3,775 | 2,718 | 1,052 | 719.9 | 851 | 754.2 | 807.4 |
| Change | - | 18.18% | -27.98% | -61.31% | -31.55% | 18.2% | -11.38% | 7.06% |
| Announcement Date | 2/28/22 | 2/28/23 | 2/29/24 | 2/28/25 | 3/5/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Balance Sheet: Origin Property
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | 13,506 | 19,662 | 34,148 | 34,663 | 24,853 | 21,368 | - | - |
| Change | - | 45.58% | 73.68% | 1.51% | -28.3% | -14.02% | - | - |
| Announcement Date | 2/28/22 | 2/28/23 | 2/29/24 | 2/28/25 | 3/5/26 | - | - | - |
Cash Flow Forecast: Origin Property
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX 1 | 256.9 | 701.4 | 1,666 | 239.4 | 261.2 | 1,761 | 62 | 63 |
| Change | - | 172.99% | 137.48% | -85.63% | 9.1% | 574.28% | -96.48% | 1.61% |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | 452.7 | -7,124 | -11,758 | -595.7 | -862.9 | -2,574 | -1,272 | -2,838 |
| Change | - | -1,673.69% | -65.06% | 94.93% | -44.86% | -198.31% | 50.58% | -123.11% |
| Announcement Date | 2/28/22 | 2/28/23 | 2/29/24 | 2/28/25 | 3/5/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Financial Ratios: Origin Property
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
| EBITDA Margin (%) | 26.74% | 31.69% | 26.16% | 13.13% | 7.21% | 13.04% | 12.98% | 10.79% |
| EBIT Margin (%) | 25.54% | 29.44% | 22.4% | 6.95% | 1.4% | 2.64% | 5.56% | 3% |
| EBT Margin (%) | 27.8% | 38.67% | 28.62% | 14.89% | 11.8% | 6.72% | 6.08% | 6.65% |
| Net margin (%) | 20.93% | 28.29% | 19.6% | 9.88% | 8.94% | 9.37% | 7.63% | 7.59% |
| FCF margin (%) | 2.97% | -53.4% | -84.8% | -5.6% | -10.72% | -28.35% | -12.87% | -26.69% |
| FCF / Net Income (%) | 14.17% | -188.73% | -432.57% | -56.63% | -119.85% | -302.48% | -168.66% | -351.5% |
Profitability | ||||||||
| ROA | 7.05% | 9.04% | 4.8% | 1.62% | 1.12% | 1.84% | 1.26% | 1.83% |
| ROE | 24.17% | 22.83% | 14.62% | 5.48% | 3.63% | 4.02% | 3.5% | 3.7% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 3.31x | 4.65x | 9.41x | 24.8x | 42.8x | 18.05x | - | - |
| Debt / Free cash flow | 29.84x | -2.76x | -2.9x | -58.19x | -28.8x | -8.3x | - | - |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
| CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 1.68% | 5.26% | 12.01% | 2.25% | 3.24% | 19.4% | 0.63% | 0.59% |
| CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 6.3% | 16.59% | 45.92% | 17.12% | 44.97% | 148.73% | 4.83% | 5.49% |
| CAPEX / FCF (%) | 56.76% | -9.85% | -14.17% | -40.19% | -30.27% | -68.41% | -4.87% | -2.22% |
Items per share | ||||||||
| Cash flow per share 1 | 0.2893 | -1.467 | -2.869 | 1.076 | - | - | - | - |
| Change | - | -607.22% | -95.5% | 137.51% | - | - | - | - |
| Dividend per Share 1 | 0.54 | 0.72 | 0.46 | - | 0.02 | 0.0955 | 0.078 | 0.099 |
| Change | - | 33.33% | -36.11% | - | - | 377.5% | -18.32% | 26.92% |
| Book Value Per Share 1 | 6.09 | 7.388 | 7.763 | 7.877 | 8.299 | 8.56 | 8.76 | 9.01 |
| Change | - | 21.31% | 5.07% | 1.47% | 5.36% | 3.14% | 2.34% | 2.85% |
| EPS 1 | 1.302 | 1.538 | 1.108 | 0.4286 | 0.2933 | 0.3 | 0.235 | 0.33 |
| Change | - | 18.13% | -27.99% | -61.3% | -31.57% | 2.28% | -21.67% | 40.43% |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 2,452,862 | 2,454,122 | 2,454,122 | 2,454,122 | 2,454,122 | 2,454,122 | 2,454,122 | 2,454,122 |
| Announcement Date | 2/28/22 | 2/28/23 | 2/29/24 | 2/28/25 | 3/5/26 | - | - | - |
| 2026 * | 2027 * | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E | 5.73x | 7.32x |
| PBR | 0.2x | 0.2x |
| EV / Sales | 2.82x | 0.43x |
| Yield | 5.55% | 4.53% |
EPS & Dividend
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
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Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise
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