Projected Income Statement: Origin Property

Forecast Balance Sheet: Origin Property

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 13,506 19,662 34,148 34,663 24,853 21,368 - -
Change - 45.58% 73.68% 1.51% -28.3% -14.02% - -
Announcement Date 2/28/22 2/28/23 2/29/24 2/28/25 3/5/26 - - -
1THB in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Origin Property

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 256.9 701.4 1,666 239.4 261.2 1,761 62 63
Change - 172.99% 137.48% -85.63% 9.1% 574.28% -96.48% 1.61%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 452.7 -7,124 -11,758 -595.7 -862.9 -1,116 -1,849 -923
Change - -1,673.69% -65.06% 94.93% -44.86% -29.34% -65.68% 50.08%
Announcement Date 2/28/22 2/28/23 2/29/24 2/28/25 3/5/26 - - -
1THB in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Origin Property

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 26.74% 31.69% 26.16% 13.13% 7.21% 11.95% 13.8% 11.01%
EBIT Margin (%) 25.54% 29.44% 22.4% 6.95% 1.4% 1.19% 5.73% 2.74%
EBT Margin (%) 27.8% 38.67% 28.62% 14.89% 11.8% 6.24% 6.3% 6.48%
Net margin (%) 20.93% 28.29% 19.6% 9.88% 8.94% 9.58% 8% 7.58%
FCF margin (%) 2.97% -53.4% -84.8% -5.6% -10.72% -13.24% -20.12% -9.01%
FCF / Net Income (%) 14.17% -188.73% -432.57% -56.63% -119.85% -138.22% -251.55% -118.87%

Profitability

        
ROA 7.05% 9.04% 4.8% 1.62% 1.12% 1.6% 1.21% 1.7%
ROE 24.17% 22.83% 14.62% 5.48% 3.63% 3.92% 3.41% 3.56%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 3.31x 4.65x 9.41x 24.8x 42.8x 21.2x - -
Debt / Free cash flow 29.84x -2.76x -2.9x -58.19x -28.8x -19.15x - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 1.68% 5.26% 12.01% 2.25% 3.24% 20.88% 0.67% 0.61%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 6.3% 16.59% 45.92% 17.12% 44.97% 174.7% 4.89% 5.59%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 56.76% -9.85% -14.17% -40.19% -30.27% -157.8% -3.35% -6.83%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.2893 -1.467 -2.869 1.076 - - - -
Change - -607.22% -95.5% 137.51% - - - -
Dividend per Share 1 0.54 0.72 0.46 - 0.02 0.0905 0.0763 0.096
Change - 33.33% -36.11% - - 352.5% -15.66% 25.77%
Book Value Per Share 1 6.09 7.388 7.763 7.877 8.299 8.54 8.7 8.94
Change - 21.31% 5.07% 1.47% 5.36% 2.9% 1.87% 2.76%
EPS 1 1.302 1.538 1.108 0.4286 0.2933 0.25 0.225 0.3
Change - 18.13% -27.99% -61.3% -31.57% -14.76% -10% 33.33%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 2,452,862 2,454,122 2,454,122 2,454,122 2,454,122 2,454,122 2,454,122 2,454,122
Announcement Date 2/28/22 2/28/23 2/29/24 2/28/25 3/5/26 - - -
1THB
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 7.12x 7.91x
PBR 0.21x 0.2x
EV / Sales 3.05x 0.48x
Yield 5.08% 4.29%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
4
Last Close Price
1.780THB
Average target price
2.020THB
Spread / Average Target
+13.48%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. ORI Stock
  4. Financials Origin Property