Projected Income Statement: Nippon Steel Corporation

Forecast Balance Sheet: Nippon Steel Corporation

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 2,199,766 2,102,300 2,028,940 2,262,751 1,834,966 4,311,847 4,010,040 4,221,240
Change - -4.43% -3.49% 11.52% -18.91% 134.98% -7% 5.27%
Announcement Date 5/7/21 5/10/22 5/10/23 5/9/24 5/9/25 - - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Nippon Steel Corporation

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 459,811 466,902 470,018 466,345 597,938 829,427 868,164 900,656
Change - 1.54% 0.67% -0.78% 28.22% 38.71% 4.67% 3.74%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 14,150 236,700 191,256 299,505 516,165 -2,348,250 -187,033 -33,520
Change - 1,572.79% -19.2% 56.6% 72.34% -554.94% 92.04% 82.08%
Announcement Date 5/7/21 5/10/22 5/10/23 5/9/24 5/9/25 - - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Nippon Steel Corporation

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 8.3% 18.95% 15.34% 12.87% 12.29% 10.03% 11.69% 12.02%
EBIT Margin (%) 0.24% 12.35% 11.08% 8.78% 6.3% 2.36% 6.26% 6.55%
EBT Margin (%) -0.18% 11.99% 10.87% 8.61% 6.03% 1.83% 5.67% 5.99%
Net margin (%) -0.67% 9.36% 8.7% 6.19% 4.03% -0.11% 3.7% 3.94%
FCF margin (%) 0.29% 3.48% 2.4% 3.38% 5.94% -23.59% -1.73% -0.3%
FCF / Net Income (%) -43.63% 37.14% 27.56% 54.52% 147.38% 20,696.34% -46.8% -7.57%

Profitability

        
ROA -0.12% 10% 9.46% 7.53% 4.84% 1.7% 3.27% 3.24%
ROE -1.2% 20.5% 18.1% 12.3% 6.9% 0.21% 7.43% 7.79%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 5.49x 1.63x 1.66x 1.98x 1.72x 4.32x 3.18x 3.13x
Debt / Free cash flow 155.46x 8.88x 10.61x 7.55x 3.55x -1.84x -21.44x -125.93x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 9.52% 6.86% 5.89% 5.26% 6.88% 8.33% 8.04% 8.02%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 114.69% 36.19% 38.41% 40.85% 55.97% 83.05% 68.74% 66.75%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 3,249.55% 197.25% 245.75% 155.71% 115.84% -35.32% -464.18% -2,686.92%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 56.14 210.2 224.6 198.2 147.4 76.67 183.4 222
Change - 274.53% 6.83% -11.78% -25.62% -47.98% 139.23% 21.02%
Dividend per Share 1 2 32 36 32 32 24 25.4 27.11
Change - 1,500% 12.5% -11.11% 0% -25% 5.83% 6.74%
Book Value Per Share 1 599.5 752.9 908.1 1,037 1,030 1,020 1,060 1,119
Change - 25.59% 20.61% 14.24% -0.71% -0.98% 3.89% 5.56%
EPS 1 -7.044 138.4 150.7 119.3 70.18 0.2395 74.93 84.56
Change - 2,065.25% 8.89% -20.84% -41.18% -99.66% 31,185.54% 12.84%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 4,603,833 4,603,744 4,604,254 4,604,085 5,225,998 5,226,350 5,226,350 5,226,350
Announcement Date 5/7/21 5/10/22 5/10/23 5/9/24 5/9/25 - - -
1JPY
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 2,754x 8.8x
PBR 0.65x 0.62x
EV / Sales 0.78x 0.69x
Yield 3.64% 3.85%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
11
Last Close Price
659.50JPY
Average target price
680.00JPY
Spread / Average Target
+3.11%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. 5401 Stock
  4. Financials Nippon Steel Corporation