Projected Income Statement: MPLX LP

Forecast Balance Sheet: MPLX LP

Forecast Balance Sheet - MPLX LP
Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 18,558 19,558 19,383 19,429 23,516 25,278 26,181 27,031
Change - 5.39% -0.89% 0.24% 21.04% 7.49% 3.57% 3.25%
Announcement Date 2/2/22 1/31/23 1/30/24 2/4/25 2/3/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: MPLX LP

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 596 806 937 1,056 1,808 3,122 2,112 1,831
Change - 35.23% 16.25% 12.7% 71.21% 72.67% -32.35% -13.3%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 4,399 4,213 4,135 3,942 1,033 2,958 4,277 4,976
Change - -4.23% -1.85% -4.67% -73.8% 186.34% 44.59% 16.36%
Announcement Date 2/2/22 1/31/23 1/30/24 2/4/25 2/3/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: MPLX LP

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 55.45% 49.73% 55.57% 56.68% 53.99% 55.31% 55.79% 55.6%
EBIT Margin (%) 39.81% 42.29% 43.44% 44.31% 45.72% 42.41% 43.36% 42.88%
EBT Margin (%) 31.05% 34.32% 35.25% 36.6% 38.16% 34.2% 36.01% 36.55%
Net margin (%) 29.28% 32.85% 33.94% 35.95% 37.79% 33.68% 35.25% 35.52%
FCF margin (%) 43.87% 36.28% 36.65% 33.03% 7.95% 22.52% 30.35% 33.21%
FCF / Net Income (%) 149.83% 110.43% 107.99% 91.89% 21.03% 66.87% 86.08% 93.5%

Profitability

        
ROA 8.16% 10.72% 10.61% 11.59% 12.2% 10.59% 11.61% 12.55%
ROE 23.89% 27.15% 29.75% 32.96% 35.24% 31.42% 35.85% 38.81%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 3.34x 3.39x 3.09x 2.87x 3.35x 3.48x 3.33x 3.24x
Debt / Free cash flow 4.22x 4.64x 4.69x 4.93x 22.76x 8.55x 6.12x 5.43x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 5.94% 6.94% 8.31% 8.85% 13.91% 23.77% 14.99% 12.22%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 10.72% 13.96% 14.95% 15.61% 25.77% 42.97% 26.86% 21.98%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 13.55% 19.13% 22.66% 26.79% 175.02% 105.55% 49.39% 36.8%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 4.782 4.969 5.386 5.847 5.799 6.253 6.441 -
Change - 3.92% 8.39% 8.55% -0.82% 7.83% 3.01% -
Dividend per Share 1 3.36 2.96 3.25 3.613 4.066 4.548 5.13 5.527
Change - -11.9% 9.8% 11.17% 12.54% 11.86% 12.78% 7.75%
Book Value Per Share 1 11.5 12.31 12.66 13.35 14.09 14.14 14.35 14.53
Change - 7.06% 2.86% 5.4% 5.56% 0.36% 1.48% 1.24%
EPS 1 2.86 3.75 3.8 4.21 4.82 4.311 4.877 5.238
Change - 31.12% 1.33% 10.79% 14.49% -10.55% 13.12% 7.41%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,019,864 1,003,243 1,001,217 1,018,812 1,017,065 1,013,858 1,013,858 1,013,858
Announcement Date 2/2/22 1/31/23 1/30/24 2/4/25 2/3/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 13.5x 11.9x
PBR 4.11x 4.05x
EV / Sales 6.41x 6.04x
Yield 7.83% 8.83%

EPS & Dividend

EPS & Dividend - MPLX LP


Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Valuation ratios - P/E - MPLX LP
 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Valuation ratios - Yield - MPLX LP
Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
MarketScreener Ratings - MPLX LP
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
15
Last Close Price
58.93USD
Average target price
62.92USD
Spread / Average Target
+6.78%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

Rate of surprise - Net sales - Quarterly - MPLX LP