Projected Income Statement: MODEC, Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet: MODEC, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 -44,074 -13,172 -67,083 -112,996 -141,921 101,318 101,318 101,318
Change - 70.11% -409.28% -68.44% -25.6% 171.39% 0% 0%
Announcement Date 2/10/22 2/14/23 2/14/24 2/13/25 2/13/26 - - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: MODEC, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 3,401 914.9 1,131 1,878 1,124 3,719 3,719 3,719
Change - -73.1% 23.58% 66.14% -40.18% 231.01% 0% 0%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 14,235 - - 67,034 38,152 78,012 79,260 -
Change - - - - -43.09% 104.48% 1.6% -100%
Announcement Date 2/10/22 2/14/23 2/14/24 2/13/25 2/13/26 - - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: MODEC, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) -7.11% 4.2% 6.98% 8.46% 10.16% 11.67% 12.49% 11.88%
EBIT Margin (%) -8.14% -3.1% 5.4% 7.71% 6.65% 10.71% 11.48% 11.55%
EBT Margin (%) -8.83% 2% 6% 7.36% 11.1% 11.57% 11.89% 12.61%
Net margin (%) -9.33% 1.36% 2.7% 5.26% 7.87% 8.34% 8.74% 8.96%
FCF margin (%) 3.17% - - 10.12% 5.32% 10.48% 10.48% -
FCF / Net Income (%) -34.01% - - 192.31% 67.58% 125.71% 119.94% -

Profitability

        
ROA -11.14% 1.14% 2.83% 7.72% 10.92% 11.3% 7.8% 7.2%
ROE -54.84% 5.9% 11% 21.3% 27.3% 26.13% 22.69% 19.21%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - - 1.17x 1.07x 1.17x
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - - 1.3x 1.28x -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 0.76% 0.25% 0.22% 0.28% 0.16% 0.5% 0.49% 0.51%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) -10.66% 5.99% 3.2% 3.36% 1.54% 4.28% 3.94% 4.28%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 23.89% - - 2.8% 2.95% 4.77% 4.69% -

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 -658.7 181.2 311.8 1,257 916 - - -
Change - 127.52% 72.03% 303.19% -27.14% - - -
Dividend per Share 1 15 - 20 80 140 220 237.8 240
Change - - - 300% 75% 57.14% 8.1% 0.92%
Book Value Per Share 1 1,014 1,911 2,061 2,733 3,328 3,711 4,388 5,061
Change - 88.41% 7.88% 32.58% 21.75% 11.52% 18.25% 15.33%
EPS 1 -742.8 88 219.4 510.3 826.2 907.8 967.1 957.9
Change - 111.85% 149.26% 132.64% 61.91% 9.87% 6.53% -0.94%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 56,363 56,370 68,307 68,307 68,341 68,344 68,344 68,344
Announcement Date 2/10/22 2/14/23 2/14/24 2/13/25 2/13/26 - - -
1JPY
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 11.6x 10.9x
PBR 2.83x 2.4x
EV / Sales 1.1x 1.08x
Yield 2.09% 2.26%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
4
Last Close Price
10,510.00JPY
Average target price
13,550.00JPY
Spread / Average Target
+28.92%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. 6269 Stock
  4. Financials MODEC, Inc.