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Projected Income Statement: Merck & Co., Inc.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 47,994 | 48,704 | 59,283 | 60,115 | 64,168 | 64,763 | 68,205 | 71,777 |
| Change | - | 1.48% | 21.72% | 1.4% | 6.74% | 0.93% | 5.31% | 5.24% |
| EBITDA 1 | 20,570 | 20,910 | 26,431 | 10,083 | 27,897 | 30,301 | 30,981 | 34,331 |
| Change | - | 1.65% | 26.4% | -61.85% | 176.67% | 8.62% | 2.24% | 10.81% |
| EBIT 1 | 16,945 | 17,696 | 22,522 | 6,211 | 23,398 | 26,838 | 26,619 | 30,986 |
| Change | - | 4.43% | 27.27% | -72.42% | 276.72% | 14.7% | -0.82% | 16.4% |
| Interest Paid 1 | -772 | -770 | -805 | -781 | -856 | -804 | -577.5 | -72 |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 8,791 | 13,879 | 16,444 | 1,889 | 19,936 | 22,622 | 16,908 | 30,093 |
| Change | - | 57.88% | 18.48% | -88.51% | 955.37% | 13.47% | -25.26% | 77.98% |
| Net income 1 | 7,067 | 13,049 | 14,519 | 365 | 17,117 | 19,470 | 18,394 | 24,512 |
| Change | - | 84.65% | 11.27% | -97.49% | 4,589.59% | 13.74% | -5.53% | 33.26% |
| Announcement Date | 2/4/21 | 2/3/22 | 2/2/23 | 2/1/24 | 2/4/25 | - | - | - |
Forecast Balance Sheet: Merck & Co., Inc.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | 23,729 | 25,006 | 17,499 | 27,962 | 23,869 | 25,340 | 14,675 | -2,214 |
| Change | - | 5.38% | -30.02% | 59.79% | -14.64% | 6.16% | -42.09% | -115.09% |
| Announcement Date | 2/4/21 | 2/3/22 | 2/2/23 | 2/1/24 | 2/4/25 | - | - | - |
Cash Flow Forecast: Merck & Co., Inc.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX 1 | 4,684 | 4,448 | 4,388 | 3,863 | 3,372 | 3,112 | 3,215 | 3,333 |
| Change | - | -5.04% | -1.35% | -11.96% | -12.71% | -7.71% | 3.32% | 3.66% |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | 5,569 | 8,674 | 14,707 | 9,143 | 18,096 | 25,211 | 23,144 | 25,180 |
| Change | - | 55.76% | 69.55% | -37.83% | 97.92% | 39.32% | -8.2% | 8.8% |
| Announcement Date | 2/4/21 | 2/3/22 | 2/2/23 | 2/1/24 | 2/4/25 | - | - | - |
Forecast Financial Ratios: Merck & Co., Inc.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
| EBITDA Margin (%) | 42.86% | 42.93% | 44.58% | 16.77% | 43.47% | 46.79% | 45.42% | 47.83% |
| EBIT Margin (%) | 35.31% | 36.33% | 37.99% | 10.33% | 36.46% | 41.44% | 39.03% | 43.17% |
| EBT Margin (%) | 18.32% | 28.5% | 27.74% | 3.14% | 31.07% | 34.93% | 24.79% | 41.92% |
| Net margin (%) | 14.72% | 26.79% | 24.49% | 0.61% | 26.68% | 30.06% | 26.97% | 34.15% |
| FCF margin (%) | 11.6% | 17.81% | 24.81% | 15.21% | 28.2% | 38.93% | 33.93% | 35.08% |
| FCF / Net Income (%) | 78.8% | 66.47% | 101.29% | 2,504.93% | 105.72% | 129.49% | 125.83% | 102.73% |
Profitability | ||||||||
| ROA | 17.14% | 13.23% | 17.69% | 3.56% | 17.38% | 16.7% | 13.56% | 17.43% |
| ROE | 58.89% | 41.1% | 45.16% | 9.18% | 46.35% | 45.14% | 32.88% | 38.61% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 1.15x | 1.2x | 0.66x | 2.77x | 0.86x | 0.84x | 0.47x | - |
| Debt / Free cash flow | 4.26x | 2.88x | 1.19x | 3.06x | 1.32x | 1.01x | 0.63x | - |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
| CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 9.76% | 9.13% | 7.4% | 6.43% | 5.25% | 4.81% | 4.71% | 4.64% |
| CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 22.77% | 21.27% | 16.6% | 38.31% | 12.09% | 10.27% | 10.38% | 9.71% |
| CAPEX / FCF (%) | 84.11% | 51.28% | 29.84% | 42.25% | 18.63% | 12.34% | 13.89% | 13.24% |
Items per share | ||||||||
| Cash flow per share 1 | 4.035 | 5.17 | 7.512 | 5.106 | 8.449 | 9.992 | 8.859 | 12.33 |
| Change | - | 28.13% | 45.29% | -32.02% | 65.45% | 18.27% | -11.34% | 39.17% |
| Dividend per Share 1 | 2.48 | 2.64 | 2.8 | 2.96 | 3.12 | 3.234 | 3.382 | 3.537 |
| Change | - | 6.45% | 6.06% | 5.71% | 5.41% | 3.66% | 4.58% | 4.56% |
| Book Value Per Share 1 | 10.01 | 15.11 | 18.12 | 14.84 | 18.29 | 21.7 | 26.3 | 32.96 |
| Change | - | 50.98% | 19.96% | -18.09% | 23.22% | 18.62% | 21.2% | 25.34% |
| EPS 1 | 2.78 | 5.14 | 5.71 | 0.14 | 6.74 | 7.739 | 7.467 | 9.942 |
| Change | - | 84.89% | 11.09% | -97.55% | 4,714.29% | 14.82% | -3.51% | 33.14% |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 2,530,034 | 2,525,944 | 2,535,396 | 2,534,023 | 2,529,636 | 2,482,023 | 2,482,023 | 2,482,023 |
| Announcement Date | 2/4/21 | 2/3/22 | 2/2/23 | 2/1/24 | 2/4/25 | - | - | - |
| 2025 * | 2026 * | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E ratio | 12.9x | 13.4x |
| PBR | 4.6x | 3.79x |
| EV / Sales | 4.21x | 3.84x |
| Yield | 3.24% | 3.39% |
EPS & Dividend
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
Trader
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Investor
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Global
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Quality
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Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise
- Stock Market
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- MRK Stock
- Financials Merck & Co., Inc.
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