Projected Income Statement: Keyera Corp.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Keyera Corp.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 3,682 3,904 4,266 3,782 3,965 7,549 7,176 6,496
Change - 6.03% 9.27% -11.35% 4.84% 90.4% -4.94% -9.48%
Announcement Date 2/16/22 2/15/23 2/14/24 2/13/25 2/12/26 - - -
1CAD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Keyera Corp.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 516.6 895.9 336.2 252.3 495.1 887.9 751.1 493.1
Change - 73.42% -62.48% -24.94% 96.21% 79.34% -15.4% -34.35%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 213.2 - 639.3 1,013 279.4 504 1,055 1,516
Change - - - 58.52% -72.43% 80.36% 109.33% 43.65%
Announcement Date 2/16/22 2/15/23 2/14/24 2/13/25 2/12/26 - - -
1CAD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Keyera Corp.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 19.17% 14.62% 17.18% 17.86% 16.51% 18.95% 20.16% 20.35%
EBIT Margin (%) 14.01% 10.97% 12.61% 12.93% 11.04% 11.94% 14.26% 14.79%
EBT Margin (%) 8.55% 6.14% 7.75% 8.9% 8.3% 6.26% 11.12% 11.37%
Net margin (%) 6.5% 4.65% 6.01% 6.82% 6.31% 4.78% 8.13% 8.42%
FCF margin (%) 4.28% - 9.06% 14.2% 4.08% 5.93% 9.68% 13.36%
FCF / Net Income (%) 65.77% - 150.78% 208.26% 64.64% 124.05% 119.04% 158.72%

Profitability

        
ROA 4.13% 3.93% 4.89% 5.55% 3.96% 2.25% 5.3% 5%
ROE 11.97% 11.99% 15.15% 17.35% 15.45% 10.51% 16.71% 16.63%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 3.85x 3.78x 3.52x 2.97x 3.5x 4.69x 3.27x 2.81x
Debt / Free cash flow 17.27x - 6.67x 3.73x 14.19x 14.98x 6.8x 4.29x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 10.36% 12.69% 4.77% 3.53% 7.22% 10.45% 6.89% 4.35%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 54.05% 86.78% 27.74% 19.79% 43.76% 55.13% 34.19% 21.36%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 242.28% - 52.58% 24.9% 177.17% 176.17% 71.2% 32.54%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 2.642 4.182 4.257 5.524 3.724 4.403 5.407 5.87
Change - 58.27% 1.8% 29.76% -32.58% 18.23% 22.79% 8.57%
Dividend per Share 1 1.92 1.92 1.96 2.04 3.35 2.206 2.294 2.366
Change - 0% 2.08% 4.08% 64.22% -34.14% 3.98% 3.12%
Book Value Per Share 1 12.02 12.74 - - 12.06 19.22 18.11 18.7
Change - 5.94% - - - 59.4% -5.78% 3.26%
EPS 1 1.47 1.48 1.85 2.12 1.89 1.518 3.094 3.262
Change - 0.68% 25% 14.59% -10.85% -19.67% 103.8% 5.42%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 221,023 229,153 229,153 229,153 229,283 293,441 293,441 293,441
Announcement Date 2/16/22 2/15/23 2/14/24 2/13/25 2/12/26 - - -
1CAD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 37.8x 18.5x
PBR 2.99x 3.17x
EV / Sales 2.87x 2.2x
Yield 3.85% 4%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AAA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
14
Last Close Price
57.38CAD
Average target price
62.93CAD
Spread / Average Target
+9.67%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. KEY Stock
  4. Financials Keyera Corp.