Financials Harley-Davidson, Inc.

Equities

HOG

US4128221086

Auto & Truck Manufacturers

Market Closed - Nyse 16:00:02 2024-04-26 EDT 5-day change 1st Jan Change
34.75 USD +4.57% Intraday chart for Harley-Davidson, Inc. -8.65% -5.67%

Valuation

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Capitalization 1 5,738 5,625 5,800 6,081 5,131 4,675 - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 12,349 11,355 10,685 11,798 10,618 10,125 10,538 10,983
P/E ratio 13.9 x 3,670 x 9 x 8.39 x 7.56 x 7.67 x 7.3 x 6.93 x
Yield 4.03% 1.2% 1.59% 1.51% 1.79% 1.96% 2.08% 2.25%
Capitalization / Revenue 1.25 x 1.72 x 1.28 x 1.24 x 1.06 x 1 x 0.97 x 0.97 x
EV / Revenue 2.7 x 3.48 x 2.35 x 2.41 x 2.19 x 2.17 x 2.18 x 2.28 x
EV / EBITDA 13.3 x 32.5 x 10.8 x 11.1 x 11.3 x 11.4 x 10.8 x 10.9 x
EV / FCF 18 x 10.8 x 12.5 x 29.7 x 19.4 x 13.8 x 16.2 x 22.1 x
FCF Yield 5.56% 9.22% 8.01% 3.36% 5.16% 7.27% 6.17% 4.53%
Price to Book 3.17 x 3.26 x 2.27 x 2.12 x 1.61 x 1.35 x 1.2 x 1.05 x
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 154,292 153,279 153,877 146,184 139,270 134,525 - -
Reference price 2 37.19 36.70 37.69 41.60 36.84 34.75 34.75 34.75
Announcement Date 20-01-28 21-02-02 22-02-08 23-02-02 24-02-08 - - -
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net sales 1 4,573 3,264 4,540 4,888 4,845 4,656 4,835 4,828
EBITDA 1 928.7 349.9 992 1,061 937.2 889.4 975.1 1,008
EBIT 1 696.1 164.1 826.9 908.7 779.1 695.7 778.3 886
Operating Margin 15.22% 5.03% 18.21% 18.59% 16.08% 14.94% 16.1% 18.35%
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 557.4 -15.73 819.2 931.2 866.9 779.2 805 807.9
Net income 1 423.6 1.298 650 741 706.6 601.9 625.5 634.6
Net margin 9.26% 0.04% 14.32% 15.16% 14.59% 12.93% 12.93% 13.14%
EPS 2 2.680 0.0100 4.190 4.960 4.870 4.532 4.761 5.018
Free Cash Flow 1 686.8 1,047 855.5 396.8 547.5 736.4 649.9 498
FCF margin 15.02% 32.07% 18.84% 8.12% 11.3% 15.82% 13.44% 10.32%
FCF Conversion (EBITDA) 73.96% 299.22% 86.24% 37.41% 58.42% 82.8% 66.65% 49.39%
FCF Conversion (Net income) 162.13% 80,650.23% 131.61% 53.55% 77.48% 122.34% 103.91% 78.48%
Dividend per Share 2 1.500 0.4400 0.6000 0.6300 0.6600 0.6820 0.7214 0.7821
Announcement Date 20-01-28 21-02-02 22-02-08 23-02-02 24-02-08 - - -
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)

Fiscal Period: December 2021 Q3 2021 Q4 2022 Q1 2022 Q2 2022 Q3 2022 Q4 2023 Q1 2023 Q2 2023 Q3 2023 Q4 2024 Q1 2024 Q2 2024 Q3 2024 Q4 2025 Q1
Net sales 1 1,161 816 1,303 1,266 1,437 918.7 1,558 1,198 1,297 791.6 1,476 1,283 1,201 781.9 1,468
EBITDA 1 271.5 37.64 328.5 315.7 376.2 40.63 - 259.2 249.7 24.37 303.4 289.5 234.5 39.94 367.9
EBIT 1 230.4 -5.059 289.2 277.6 338.7 3.558 369.6 221.3 209.3 -21.15 263.1 237.6 194.1 1.354 300.6
Operating Margin 19.85% -0.62% 22.19% 21.92% 23.57% 0.39% 23.73% 18.47% 16.14% -2.67% 17.82% 18.52% 16.16% 0.17% 20.48%
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 197.5 5.544 290.6 276.4 341.7 22.57 392 232 238.3 4.57 290.4 252.2 210.1 14.37 307.2
Net income 1 163 21.57 222.5 215.8 261.2 42 304.1 178 198.6 25.81 234.9 208.4 160.1 10.93 244.9
Net margin 14.04% 2.64% 17.07% 17.04% 18.18% 4.57% 19.52% 14.86% 15.32% 3.26% 15.92% 16.23% 13.33% 1.4% 16.68%
EPS 2 1.050 0.1400 1.450 1.460 1.780 0.2800 2.040 1.220 1.380 0.1800 1.720 1.456 1.196 0.1104 1.800
Dividend per Share 2 0.1500 0.1500 0.1575 0.1575 0.1575 0.1575 0.1650 0.1650 0.1650 0.1650 0.1675 0.1747 0.1747 0.1747 0.1996
Announcement Date 21-10-27 22-02-08 22-04-27 22-07-28 22-10-26 23-02-02 23-04-27 23-07-27 23-10-26 24-02-08 24-04-25 - - - -
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates

Balance Sheet Analysis

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net Debt 1 6,611 5,730 4,886 5,717 5,487 5,451 5,863 6,308
Net Cash position 1 - - - - - - - -
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 7.119 x 16.38 x 4.925 x 5.39 x 5.855 x 6.129 x 6.013 x 6.256 x
Free Cash Flow 1 687 1,047 856 397 547 736 650 498
ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) 23.7% 6.7% 30.5% 27.2% 22.9% 17.4% 15.9% 15.9%
ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) 4% 1.05% 5.66% 6.57% 5.98% 5% 5.2% 5.4%
Assets 1 10,597 123.6 11,484 11,272 11,817 12,038 12,028 11,751
Book Value Per Share 2 11.70 11.30 16.60 19.60 22.80 25.80 28.90 33.00
Cash Flow per Share 2 5.600 - 6.300 3.670 5.200 8.910 6.540 5.140
Capex 1 181 131 120 152 207 227 246 217
Capex / Sales 3.97% 4.01% 2.65% 3.1% 4.28% 4.88% 5.09% 4.5%
Announcement Date 20-01-28 21-02-02 22-02-08 23-02-02 24-02-08 - - -
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
C+
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
17
Last Close Price
34.75 USD
Average target price
43.61 USD
Spread / Average Target
+25.50%
Consensus
  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. HOG Stock
  4. Financials Harley-Davidson, Inc.