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Market Closed -
Other stock markets
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5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 184.10 GBX | -0.59% |
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+1.99% | -3.41% |
| 07-29 | FirstGroup expects lower adjusted earnings as sells Mistral to Tracsis | AN |
| 07-29 | FirstGroup to Sell Mistral Data Services to Tracsis in GBP48 Million Deal | MT |
Projected Income Statement: FirstGroup plc
| Fiscal Period: March | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 4,592 | 4,755 | 4,715 | 5,066 | 4,752 | 4,215 | 2,100 | 2,184 |
| Change | - | 3.55% | -0.84% | 7.45% | -6.21% | -11.3% | -50.17% | 4.01% |
| EBITDA 1 | 731.2 | 762.4 | 748.6 | 780.4 | 700.8 | 624.7 | 330.4 | 343.9 |
| Change | - | 4.27% | -1.81% | 4.25% | -10.2% | -10.86% | -47.11% | 4.09% |
| EBIT 1 | 106.1 | 161 | 204.3 | 222.8 | 219.4 | 199.2 | 161 | 170.9 |
| Change | - | 51.74% | 26.89% | 9.06% | -1.53% | -9.19% | -19.2% | 6.16% |
| Interest Paid 1 | -152 | -56.8 | -82 | -57.7 | -62.7 | -43.5 | -28 | -24 |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | -17.7 | 97.1 | -18.8 | 164.9 | 156.7 | 157 | 126 | 140 |
| Change | - | 648.59% | -119.36% | 977.13% | -4.97% | 0.19% | -19.75% | 11.11% |
| Net income 1 | 636.4 | 87.1 | -15.9 | 127.5 | 118.3 | 113 | 98.5 | 113.5 |
| Change | - | -86.31% | -118.25% | 901.89% | -7.22% | -4.48% | -12.83% | 15.23% |
| Announcement Date | 6/14/22 | 6/8/23 | 6/11/24 | 6/10/25 | 6/18/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Balance Sheet: FirstGroup plc
| Fiscal Period: March | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | 619 | 1,269 | 1,145 | 975 | 725 | 514 | 414 | 360 |
| Change | - | 105.01% | -9.77% | -14.85% | -25.64% | -29.13% | -19.46% | -13.04% |
| Announcement Date | 6/14/22 | 6/8/23 | 6/11/24 | 6/10/25 | 6/18/26 | - | - | - |
Cash Flow Forecast: FirstGroup plc
| Fiscal Period: March | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX 1 | 251.6 | 177.9 | 216.9 | 150.7 | 241.8 | 141 | 92 | 98 |
| Change | - | -29.29% | 21.92% | -30.52% | 60.45% | -41.69% | -34.75% | 6.52% |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | -186.2 | 395.9 | 326.4 | 603.5 | 373.8 | 99.23 | 141.2 | 112.1 |
| Change | - | 312.62% | -17.55% | 84.9% | -38.06% | -73.45% | 42.35% | -20.62% |
| Announcement Date | 6/14/22 | 6/8/23 | 6/11/24 | 6/10/25 | 6/18/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Financial Ratios: FirstGroup plc
| Fiscal Period: March | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
| EBITDA Margin (%) | 15.92% | 16.03% | 15.88% | 15.4% | 14.75% | 14.82% | 15.73% | 15.74% |
| EBIT Margin (%) | 2.31% | 3.39% | 4.33% | 4.4% | 4.62% | 4.73% | 7.67% | 7.82% |
| EBT Margin (%) | -0.39% | 2.04% | -0.4% | 3.25% | 3.3% | 3.72% | 6% | 6.41% |
| Net margin (%) | 13.86% | 1.83% | -0.34% | 2.52% | 2.49% | 2.68% | 4.69% | 5.2% |
| FCF margin (%) | -4.05% | 8.33% | 6.92% | 11.91% | 7.87% | 2.35% | 6.73% | 5.13% |
| FCF / Net Income (%) | -29.26% | 454.54% | -2,052.83% | 473.33% | 315.98% | 87.81% | 143.4% | 98.78% |
Profitability | ||||||||
| ROA | - | 1.91% | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| ROE | 1.61% | 9.74% | 16.12% | 17.41% | 16.01% | 15.4% | 12.7% | 13.9% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 0.85x | 1.66x | 1.53x | 1.25x | 1.03x | 0.82x | 1.25x | 1.05x |
| Debt / Free cash flow | -3.32x | 3.21x | 3.51x | 1.62x | 1.94x | 5.18x | 2.93x | 3.21x |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
| CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 5.48% | 3.74% | 4.6% | 2.97% | 5.09% | 3.35% | 4.38% | 4.49% |
| CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 34.41% | 23.33% | 28.97% | 19.31% | 34.5% | 22.57% | 27.85% | 28.5% |
| CAPEX / FCF (%) | -135.12% | 44.94% | 66.45% | 24.97% | 64.69% | 142.1% | 65.14% | 87.41% |
Items per share | ||||||||
| Cash flow per share 1 | 0.06 | 0.7515 | 0.8196 | 1.211 | 1.071 | 0.465 | 0.489 | 0.5023 |
| Change | - | 1,152.57% | 9.06% | 47.78% | -11.61% | -56.57% | 5.16% | 2.72% |
| Dividend per Share 1 | 0.011 | 0.038 | 0.055 | 0.065 | 0.072 | 0.0738 | 0.0756 | 0.0791 |
| Change | - | 245.45% | 44.74% | 18.18% | 10.77% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 4.71% |
| Book Value Per Share 1 | 0.829 | 1.046 | 1.013 | 1.232 | 1.308 | 1.41 | 1.575 | 1.73 |
| Change | - | 26.15% | -3.13% | 21.6% | 6.23% | 7.76% | 11.7% | 9.84% |
| EPS 1 | 0.602 | 0.114 | -0.024 | 0.205 | 0.206 | 0.198 | 0.201 | 0.248 |
| Change | - | -81.06% | -121.05% | 954.17% | 0.49% | -3.88% | 1.52% | 23.38% |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 734,762 | 710,477 | 627,001 | 570,558 | 543,129 | 529,055 | 529,055 | 529,055 |
| Announcement Date | 6/14/22 | 6/8/23 | 6/11/24 | 6/10/25 | 6/18/26 | - | - | - |
| 2027 * | 2028 * | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E | 9.3x | 9.16x |
| PBR | 1.31x | 1.17x |
| EV / Sales | 0.35x | 0.66x |
| Yield | 4.01% | 4.1% |
EPS & Dividend
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
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Annual profits - Rate of surprise
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