Projected Income Statement: Elis

Forecast Balance Sheet: Elis

Forecast Balance Sheet - Elis
Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 3,599 3,663 3,026 3,038 3,020 3,293 3,087 2,914
Change - 1.78% -17.39% 0.4% -0.59% 9.03% -6.26% -5.6%
Announcement Date 3/9/22 3/8/23 3/7/24 3/6/25 3/11/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Elis

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 552.8 673.3 797.1 860.8 874.7 932.1 981.5 1,020
Change - 21.8% 18.39% 7.99% 1.61% 6.57% 5.3% 3.95%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 408.8 417.9 303.6 346.4 358.6 390.3 411.7 425.2
Change - 2.23% -27.35% 14.1% 3.52% 8.85% 5.48% 3.28%
Announcement Date 3/9/22 3/8/23 3/7/24 3/6/25 3/11/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Elis

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 34.51% 32.97% 34.22% 35.2% 35.44% 35.33% 35.49% 35.68%
EBIT Margin (%) 12.74% 14.23% 15.85% 16.03% 15.98% 15.81% 15.98% 16.11%
EBT Margin (%) 5.61% 7.46% 8.65% 10.19% 10.28% 10.08% 10.77% 11.19%
Net margin (%) 3.76% 5.35% 6.09% 7.39% 7.64% 7.36% 7.71% 8.04%
FCF margin (%) 13.41% 10.94% 7.05% 7.57% 7.48% 7.73% 7.81% 7.76%
FCF / Net Income (%) 357.03% 204.25% 115.66% 102.55% 97.82% 105.02% 101.32% 96.51%

Profitability

        
ROA 2.8% 2.46% 2.93% 3.61% 3.87% 4.34% 4.52% 4.75%
ROE 7.65% 11.35% 12.96% 12.62% 12.61% 12.91% 12.97% 12.97%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 3.42x 2.91x 2.05x 1.89x 1.78x 1.85x 1.65x 1.49x
Debt / Free cash flow 8.8x 8.77x 9.97x 8.77x 8.42x 8.44x 7.5x 6.85x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 18.13% 17.62% 18.5% 18.82% 18.24% 18.46% 18.62% 18.61%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 52.54% 53.45% 54.05% 53.47% 51.45% 52.25% 52.47% 52.16%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 135.23% 161.12% 262.55% 248.5% 243.92% 238.8% 238.4% 239.95%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 4.283 4.587 5.353 5.572 5.83 5.854 6.131 6.453
Change - 7.09% 16.71% 4.09% 4.63% 0.42% 4.73% 5.25%
Dividend per Share 1 0.37 0.41 0.43 0.45 0.48 0.5156 0.5549 0.5926
Change - 10.81% 4.88% 4.65% 6.67% 7.41% 7.62% 6.8%
Book Value Per Share 1 13.45 13.97 14.85 15.38 16.29 16.54 17.73 19.14
Change - 3.84% 6.32% 3.52% 5.96% 1.51% 7.2% 7.97%
EPS 1 0.51 0.86 1.06 1.35 1.46 1.57 1.739 1.912
Change - 68.63% 23.26% 27.36% 8.15% 7.53% 10.77% 9.96%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 223,957 230,009 233,899 236,468 232,609 214,549 214,549 214,549
Announcement Date 3/9/22 3/8/23 3/7/24 3/6/25 3/11/26 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 14.1x 12.7x
PBR 1.33x 1.24x
EV / Sales 1.59x 1.48x
Yield 2.34% 2.52%

EPS & Dividend

EPS & Dividend - Elis


Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Valuation ratios - P/E - Elis
 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Valuation ratios - Yield - Elis
Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BBB
MarketScreener Ratings - Elis
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
16
Last Close Price
22.06EUR
Average target price
29.96EUR
Spread / Average Target
+35.79%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

Rate of surprise - Net sales - Quarterly - Elis