Projected Income Statement: DHL Group

Forecast Balance Sheet: DHL Group

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 16,366 15,856 17,739 18,998 21,516 22,619 22,826 22,740
Change - -3.12% 11.88% 7.1% 13.25% 5.13% 0.92% -0.38%
Announcement Date 3/9/22 3/9/23 3/6/24 3/6/25 3/5/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: DHL Group

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 3,546 4,123 3,370 3,066 2,950 2,881 3,259 3,363
Change - 16.27% -18.26% -9.02% -3.78% -2.35% 13.12% 3.2%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 4,092 3,067 2,942 5,656 2,295 3,642 3,728 3,998
Change - -25.05% -4.08% 92.25% -59.42% 58.7% 2.34% 7.25%
Announcement Date 3/9/22 3/9/23 3/6/24 3/6/25 3/5/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: DHL Group

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 14.37% 13.36% 13.24% 12.6% 13.24% 13.54% 13.69% 13.8%
EBIT Margin (%) 9.76% 8.93% 7.76% 6.99% 7.37% 7.83% 8% 8.15%
EBT Margin (%) 9% 8.38% 6.75% 6.01% 6.33% 6.78% 6.93% 7.08%
Net margin (%) 6.18% 5.67% 4.5% 3.96% 4.23% 4.48% 4.61% 4.73%
FCF margin (%) 5.01% 3.25% 3.6% 6.72% 2.77% 4.16% 4.14% 4.29%
FCF / Net Income (%) 80.98% 57.23% 80.01% 169.75% 65.55% 92.85% 89.81% 90.71%

Profitability

        
ROA 8.5% 8.13% 7.98% 7.41% 4.97% 5.3% 5.78% 5.97%
ROE 30.8% 25.35% 19.22% 17.71% 16% 16.76% 17.4% 17.77%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.39x 1.26x 1.64x 1.79x 1.96x 1.91x 1.85x 1.77x
Debt / Free cash flow 4x 5.17x 6.03x 3.36x 9.38x 6.21x 6.12x 5.69x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 4.34% 4.37% 4.12% 3.64% 3.56% 3.29% 3.62% 3.61%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 30.19% 32.69% 31.14% 28.91% 26.89% 24.33% 26.43% 26.13%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 86.66% 134.43% 114.55% 54.21% 128.54% 79.09% 87.42% 84.12%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 8.11 9.03 7.79 7.343 7.928 6.579 7.15 7.208
Change - 11.34% -13.73% -5.74% 7.97% -17.01% 8.67% 0.81%
Dividend per Share 1 1.8 1.85 1.85 1.85 1.9 1.988 2.081 2.179
Change - 2.78% 0% 0% 2.7% 4.63% 4.68% 4.69%
Book Value Per Share 1 15.45 19.14 16.01 15.95 19.6 21 22.14 23.79
Change - 23.91% -16.36% -0.4% 22.93% 7.16% 5.43% 7.44%
EPS 1 4.01 4.33 3.04 2.81 3.04 3.465 3.754 4.033
Change - 7.98% -29.79% -7.57% 8.19% 13.98% 8.33% 7.43%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,224,639 1,205,059 1,182,263 1,153,116 1,121,383 1,107,368 1,107,368 1,107,368
Announcement Date 3/9/22 3/9/23 3/6/24 3/6/25 3/5/26 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 15.9x 14.7x
PBR 2.63x 2.49x
EV / Sales 0.96x 0.93x
Yield 3.6% 3.77%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
20
Last Close Price
55.20EUR
Average target price
54.73EUR
Spread / Average Target
-0.85%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise