Projected Income Statement: Crest Nicholson Holdings plc

Forecast Balance Sheet: Crest Nicholson Holdings plc

Fiscal Period: October 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 -142 -253 -277 -64.9 8.5 56.4 49.9 40.4
Change - -78.17% -9.49% 76.57% 113.1% 563.53% -11.52% -19.04%
Announcement Date 1/26/21 1/19/22 1/17/23 1/23/24 2/4/25 - - -
1GBP in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Crest Nicholson Holdings plc

Fiscal Period: October 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 0.3 0.2 0.1 1.8 1.4 1.629 1.771 1.843
Change - -33.33% -50% 1,700% -22.22% 16.33% 8.77% 4.03%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 113.9 126.3 51.6 -167.4 -69.2 -43.62 20.8 14.55
Change - 10.89% -59.14% -424.42% 58.66% 36.96% 147.68% -30.05%
Announcement Date 1/26/21 1/19/22 1/17/23 1/23/24 2/4/25 - - -
1GBP in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Crest Nicholson Holdings plc

Fiscal Period: October 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 9.47% 15% 15.67% 7.15% 5.5% 7.3% 8.85% 10.4%
EBIT Margin (%) 8.42% 14.57% 15.42% 6.72% 5.06% 6.82% 8.61% 10.43%
EBT Margin (%) -1.99% 11.05% 3.59% 3.51% -23.24% 5.13% 7.13% 9.3%
Net margin (%) -1.58% 9.01% 2.89% 2.72% -16.74% 3.69% 5.07% 6.62%
FCF margin (%) 16.8% 16.06% 5.65% -25.46% -11.19% -7.15% 3.19% 2.05%
FCF / Net Income (%) -1,064.49% 178.14% 195.45% -935.2% 66.86% -193.73% 62.92% 30.94%

Profitability

        
ROA -0.7% 4.61% 1.66% 2.02% 0.97% 1.55% 2.35% 3.27%
ROE 4.44% 8.21% 2.96% 3.61% 1.82% 3.03% 4.41% 5.92%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - 0.25x 1.27x 0.86x 0.55x
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - -0.12x -1.29x 2.4x 2.78x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 0.04% 0.03% 0.01% 0.27% 0.23% 0.27% 0.27% 0.26%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 0.47% 0.17% 0.07% 3.83% 4.12% 3.66% 3.07% 2.49%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 0.26% 0.16% 0.19% -1.08% -2.02% -3.73% 8.52% 12.67%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.4447 0.4906 0.2006 -0.645 -0.2645 -0.1619 0.0469 0.0676
Change - 10.33% -59.11% -421.54% 58.99% 38.8% 128.96% 44.28%
Dividend per Share 1 - 0.136 0.17 0.17 0.022 0.0354 0.0517 0.0724
Change - - 25% 0% -87.06% 60.73% 46.18% 40.1%
Book Value Per Share 1 3.238 3.515 3.448 - 2.837 2.868 2.963 3.082
Change - 8.56% -1.9% - - 1.09% 3.32% 4.03%
EPS 1 -0.042 0.275 0.102 0.07 -0.404 0.0878 0.1285 0.1828
Change - 754.76% -62.91% -31.37% -677.14% 121.75% 46.27% 42.22%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 256,776 256,736 256,531 256,132 256,320 256,350 256,350 256,350
Announcement Date 1/26/21 1/19/22 1/17/23 1/23/24 2/4/25 - - -
1GBP
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 15.8x 10.8x
PBR 0.48x 0.47x
EV / Sales 0.68x 0.62x
Yield 2.55% 3.72%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
11
Last Close Price
1.389GBP
Average target price
2.077GBP
Spread / Average Target
+49.55%
Consensus

Annual profits - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. CRST Stock
  4. Financials Crest Nicholson Holdings plc
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