Projected Income Statement: China Three Gorges Renewables (Group) Co.,Ltd.

Forecast Balance Sheet: China Three Gorges Renewables (Group) Co.,Ltd.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 - 114,159 - 177,505 195,329 193,150 191,501 186,045
Change - - - - 10.04% -1.12% -0.85% -2.85%
Announcement Date 3/10/22 2/7/23 1/19/24 4/29/25 3/31/26 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: China Three Gorges Renewables (Group) Co.,Ltd.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 29,903 27,715 40,607 30,865 32,065 27,090 26,840 23,782
Change - -7.32% 46.52% -23.99% 3.89% -15.52% -0.92% -11.39%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -21,086 -10,844 -26,190 -11,976 -11,127 1,781 2,183 1,617
Change - 48.57% -141.52% 54.27% 7.1% 116.01% 22.57% -25.93%
Announcement Date 3/10/22 2/7/23 1/19/24 4/29/25 3/31/26 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: China Three Gorges Renewables (Group) Co.,Ltd.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 94.77% 71.79% 85.23% 67.8% 65.92% 83.92% 85.68% 89.31%
EBIT Margin (%) 43.67% 38.71% 33.95% 28.69% 17.88% 20.92% 24.11% 19.64%
EBT Margin (%) 42.74% 38.09% 34.05% 28.81% 17.72% 20.24% 24.54% 22.5%
Net margin (%) 36.35% 30.05% 27.11% 20.57% 13.08% 13.96% 17.2% 16.78%
FCF margin (%) -136.04% -45.54% -98.89% -40.3% -39.18% 6.12% 6.44% 4.64%
FCF / Net Income (%) -374.26% -151.55% -364.71% -195.97% -299.56% 43.86% 37.48% 27.66%

Profitability

        
ROA - 2.73% 1.89% 1.83% 0.99% 1.2% 1.4% 1.5%
ROE 10.13% 9.72% 8.99% 7.22% 4.23% 4.13% 6.06% 5.47%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - 6.68x - 8.81x 10.43x 7.91x 6.6x 5.98x
Debt / Free cash flow - -10.53x - -14.82x -17.55x 108.45x 87.72x 115.06x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 192.92% 116.39% 153.32% 103.86% 112.91% 93.13% 79.24% 68.27%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 203.58% 162.13% 179.88% 153.19% 171.29% 110.98% 92.48% 76.45%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -141.82% -255.58% -155.05% -257.71% -288.18% 1,521.04% 1,229.49% 1,470.73%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.3086 0.5895 0.5037 0.6603 0.7324 0.9 1.115 -
Change - 91.02% -14.55% 31.09% 10.92% 22.88% 23.89% -
Dividend per Share 1 0.0212 0.076 0.078 0.067 0.041 0.0446 0.0538 0.065
Change - 258.15% 2.63% -14.1% -38.81% 8.88% 20.61% 20.73%
Book Value Per Share 1 2.41 2.692 2.88 3.03 3.1 3.195 3.425 3.435
Change - 11.71% 6.97% 5.21% 2.31% 3.06% 7.2% 0.29%
EPS 1 0.2271 0.2501 0.2509 0.2135 0.1298 0.1395 0.1916 0.1875
Change - 10.13% 0.32% -14.91% -39.2% 7.46% 37.4% -2.16%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 28,571,000 28,619,530 28,622,959 28,619,739 28,587,650 28,587,650 28,587,650 28,587,650
Announcement Date 3/10/22 2/7/23 1/19/24 4/29/25 3/31/26 - - -
1CNY
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 27x 19.7x
PBR 1.18x 1.1x
EV / Sales 10.3x 8.84x
Yield 1.18% 1.43%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
7
Last Close Price
3.770CNY
Average target price
3.367CNY
Spread / Average Target
-10.70%

Annual profits - Rate of surprise

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  4. Financials China Three Gorges Renewables (Group) Co.,Ltd.