Financials China Education Group Holdings Limited

Equities

839

KYG2163M1033

School, College & University

Market Closed - Hong Kong S.E. 04:09:00 2024-05-03 EDT 5-day change 1st Jan Change
4.75 HKD 0.00% Intraday chart for China Education Group Holdings Limited +11.50% -3.06%

Valuation

Fiscal Period: August 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Capitalization 1 21,489 28,952 27,717 14,352 15,750 11,522 - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 22,259 30,702 32,724 18,450 19,179 16,109 16,062 18,802
P/E ratio 36.5 x 43.4 x 22.6 x 9.73 x 11.2 x 5.35 x 4.81 x 4.3 x
Yield 1.06% 1.72% 2.68% 5.58% 4.85% 7.98% 8.96% 10.1%
Capitalization / Revenue 11 x 10.8 x 7.53 x 3.02 x 2.8 x 1.77 x 1.54 x 1.36 x
EV / Revenue 11.4 x 11.5 x 8.89 x 3.88 x 3.42 x 2.48 x 2.15 x 2.22 x
EV / EBITDA 19.8 x 19.9 x 15.6 x 6.46 x 5.71 x 4.42 x 3.89 x 4.24 x
EV / FCF 40.6 x 457 x -105 x 23.7 x 18.7 x 216 x 6.6 x 5.97 x
FCF Yield 2.46% 0.22% -0.95% 4.22% 5.36% 0.46% 15.2% 16.8%
Price to Book 3.26 x 3.18 x 2.48 x 1.07 x 0.99 x 0.66 x 0.6 x 0.55 x
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 2,020,202 2,150,222 2,272,952 2,387,070 2,551,540 2,618,313 - -
Reference price 2 10.64 13.46 12.19 6.012 6.173 4.401 4.401 4.401
Announcement Date 19-11-26 20-11-24 21-11-24 22-11-28 23-11-27 - - -
1CNY in Million2CNY
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)

Fiscal Period: August 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net sales 1 1,955 2,678 3,682 4,756 5,616 6,508 7,475 8,476
EBITDA 1 1,122 1,542 2,094 2,856 3,361 3,648 4,124 4,439
EBIT 1 796.2 1,207 1,725 2,114 2,493 2,841 3,165 3,516
Operating Margin 40.73% 45.07% 46.84% 44.45% 44.39% 43.65% 42.34% 41.48%
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 668.3 729.6 1,511 1,969 1,561 2,372 2,759 3,143
Net income 1 592.6 633.2 1,444 1,845 1,380 2,047 2,291 2,576
Net margin 30.31% 23.64% 39.21% 38.79% 24.57% 31.45% 30.65% 30.39%
EPS 2 0.2916 0.3105 0.5402 0.6177 0.5522 0.8223 0.9143 1.024
Free Cash Flow 1 548 67.18 -311 779 1,028 74.5 2,434 3,152
FCF margin 28.03% 2.51% -8.44% 16.38% 18.3% 1.14% 32.56% 37.19%
FCF Conversion (EBITDA) 48.85% 4.36% - 27.28% 30.59% 2.04% 59.01% 71%
FCF Conversion (Net income) 92.48% 10.61% - 42.22% 74.49% 3.64% 106.24% 122.35%
Dividend per Share 2 0.1123 0.2321 0.3270 0.3357 0.2991 0.3512 0.3945 0.4454
Announcement Date 19-11-26 20-11-24 21-11-24 22-11-28 23-11-27 - - -
1CNY in Million2CNY
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)

Fiscal Period: August 2020 S1 2020 S2 2021 S1 2021 S2 2022 S1 2022 S2 2023 S1 2023 S2 2024 S2
Net sales 1 1,315 1,363 1,823 1,859 - 2,405 - 2,841 3,306
EBITDA 1 - 801.7 - - - 1,449 - 1,685 1,860
EBIT 1 - 644.3 880.9 843.8 - 1,072 - 1,236 1,368
Operating Margin - 47.28% 48.31% 45.39% - 44.57% - 43.51% 41.39%
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 - 179.7 - - - 740.8 - 492 1,181
Net income 1 - 135.6 - - 1,168 676.5 977 403 1,078
Net margin - 9.95% - - - 28.13% - 14.19% 32.61%
EPS - - - - 0.3321 - 0.4006 - -
Dividend per Share - - - - - - - - -
Announcement Date 20-04-22 20-11-24 21-04-27 21-11-24 22-04-29 22-11-28 23-04-27 23-11-27 -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Balance Sheet Analysis

Fiscal Period: August 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net Debt 1 770 1,750 5,008 4,098 3,429 4,587 4,540 7,280
Net Cash position 1 - - - - - - - -
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.6864 x 1.135 x 2.391 x 1.435 x 1.02 x 1.257 x 1.101 x 1.64 x
Free Cash Flow 1 548 67.2 -311 779 1,028 74.5 2,434 3,152
ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) 9.31% 13.8% 14.8% 14.4% 9.33% 12.4% 12.8% 13.1%
ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) 4.92% 6.28% 6.46% 6.12% 3.98% 6.5% 6.91% 7.48%
Assets 1 12,036 10,078 22,361 30,161 34,665 31,466 33,142 34,459
Book Value Per Share 2 3.260 4.240 4.920 5.600 6.230 6.670 7.280 7.970
Cash Flow per Share 2 0.5600 0.4500 1.050 1.100 1.540 1.380 1.620 1.750
Capex 1 593 844 2,841 1,974 2,818 3,927 2,128 1,513
Capex / Sales 30.35% 31.51% 77.15% 41.51% 50.18% 60.34% 28.47% 17.85%
Announcement Date 19-11-26 20-11-24 21-11-24 22-11-28 23-11-27 - - -
1CNY in Million2CNY
Estimates

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
B
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
17
Last Close Price
4.401 CNY
Average target price
6.646 CNY
Spread / Average Target
+51.02%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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