Projected Income Statement: Caterpillar Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Caterpillar Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 27,811 28,535 24,667 22,137 27,127 32,586 32,264 30,234
Change - 2.6% -13.56% -10.26% 22.54% 20.12% -0.99% -6.29%
Announcement Date 1/29/21 1/28/22 1/31/23 2/5/24 1/30/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Caterpillar Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 978 1,093 1,296 1,597 1,988 2,502 2,201 2,092
Change - 11.76% 18.57% 23.23% 24.48% 25.84% -12.01% -4.96%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 5,349 6,105 6,487 11,288 10,047 8,356 9,107 10,667
Change - 14.13% 6.26% 74.01% -10.99% -16.83% 8.98% 17.13%
Announcement Date 1/29/21 1/28/22 1/31/23 2/5/24 1/30/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Caterpillar Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 14.25% 15.52% 16.99% 22.07% 22.87% 21.17% 21.99% 22.72%
EBIT Margin (%) 10.91% 13.49% 12.51% 19.33% 20.17% 18.47% 19.38% 20.44%
EBT Margin (%) 9.57% 16.1% 14.73% 19.46% 20.63% 17.93% 18.74% 21.38%
Net margin (%) 7.18% 12.73% 11.28% 15.41% 16.65% 14.34% 14.87% 16.86%
FCF margin (%) 12.81% 11.98% 10.92% 16.83% 15.5% 13.35% 13.83% 15.32%
FCF / Net Income (%) 178.42% 94.08% 96.75% 109.22% 93.1% 93.06% 93.01% 90.86%

Profitability

        
ROA 3.82% 7.36% 8.91% 12.89% 12.23% 15.43% 16.6% 19.7%
ROE 20.04% 37.29% 45.37% 61.59% 55.36% 48.94% 49.81% 53.4%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 4.67x 3.61x 2.44x 1.5x 1.83x 2.46x 2.23x 1.91x
Debt / Free cash flow 5.2x 4.67x 3.8x 1.96x 2.7x 3.9x 3.54x 2.83x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 2.34% 2.14% 2.18% 2.38% 3.07% 4% 3.34% 3%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 16.43% 13.81% 12.84% 10.79% 13.41% 18.87% 15.21% 13.22%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 18.28% 17.9% 19.98% 14.15% 19.79% 29.94% 24.17% 19.61%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 11.53 13.12 14.64 25.09 24.59 20.82 24.62 24.46
Change - 13.76% 11.6% 71.34% -1.98% -15.34% 18.26% -0.64%
Dividend per Share 1 4.12 4.36 4.71 5.1 5.53 5.895 6.251 6.624
Change - 5.83% 8.03% 8.28% 8.43% 6.59% 6.05% 5.96%
Book Value Per Share 1 28.11 30.75 30.12 38.18 40.05 41.99 44.92 52.62
Change - 9.39% -2.07% 26.76% 4.89% 4.86% 6.96% 17.15%
EPS 1 5.46 11.83 12.64 20.12 22.05 18.78 21.3 26.02
Change - 116.67% 6.85% 59.18% 9.59% -14.82% 13.4% 22.18%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 543,258 540,942 520,409 509,085 482,802 470,315 470,315 470,315
Announcement Date 1/29/21 1/28/22 1/31/23 2/5/24 1/30/25 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 20.8x 18.4x
PBR 9.32x 8.72x
EV / Sales 3.51x 3.33x
Yield 1.51% 1.6%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG MSCI
AA
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
28
Last Close Price
391.51USD
Average target price
375.52USD
Spread / Average Target
-4.08%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. CAT Stock
  4. Financials Caterpillar Inc.