Projected Income Statement: Carmila

Forecast Balance Sheet: Carmila

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 2,335 2,375 2,254 2,195 2,602 2,594 2,568 2,701
Change - 1.71% -5.09% -2.62% 18.54% -0.31% 0.2% 5.18%
Announcement Date 2/17/21 2/16/22 2/15/23 3/18/24 2/11/25 2/18/26 - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Carmila

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 - 64.58 66.15 87.73 72.33 135 135
Change - - - 32.62% -17.55% 68.75% 0%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 167.1 193.3 209.9 67.05 295.9 249 271
Change - 15.65% - -68.06% 341.36% -26.33% 8.84%
Announcement Date 2/17/21 2/16/22 3/18/24 2/11/25 2/18/26 - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Carmila

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 62.96% 67.88% 80.47% 79.32% 77.66% 79.3% 80.64% 76.06%
EBIT Margin (%) 60.46% 67.51% 83.44% 23.09% 103.94% 72.47% 80.28% 74.49%
EBT Margin (%) -56.75% 45.62% 62.23% 2.57% 78.15% 47.02% 68.88% 64.93%
Net margin (%) -56.83% 54.61% 61.44% 0.75% 77.67% 42.69% 61.34% 61.33%
FCF margin (%) 47.78% 54.94% - 56.94% 16.59% 68.12% 56.47% 55.97%
FCF / Net Income (%) -84.08% 100.6% - 7,555.8% 21.36% 159.56% 92.05% 91.25%

Profitability

        
ROA - 2.68% - 3.42% 3.51% 3.79% 3.8% 3.9%
ROE 4.73% 5.18% - 6.67% 6.93% 7.48% 7.6% 7.36%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 10.61x 9.94x 7.85x 7.51x 8.29x 7.53x 7.22x 7.33x
Debt / Free cash flow 13.97x 12.29x - 10.46x 38.81x 8.77x 10.31x 9.97x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) - 18.36% - 17.95% 21.71% 16.65% 30.61% 27.88%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) - 27.05% - 22.63% 27.96% 21% 37.97% 36.66%
CAPEX / FCF (%) - 33.42% - 31.52% 130.84% 24.44% 54.22% 49.82%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 1.199 1.784 - 1.933 2.088 2.232 2.168 2.252
Change - 48.84% - - 7.99% 6.94% 3.16% 3.87%
Dividend per Share 1 1 1 1.17 1.2 1.25 1.347 1.395 1.453
Change - 0% 17% 2.56% 4.17% 7.78% 3.53% 4.17%
Book Value Per Share 1 22.88 23.2 - - - 24.32 27.69 28.74
Change - 1.42% - - - - 2.44% 3.81%
EPS 1 -1.423 1.33 1.52 0.02 2.21 1.32 1.951 2.015
Change - 193.46% 14.29% -98.68% 10,950% -40.27% -2.71% 3.28%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 142,170 145,445 143,697 142,202 140,476 138,562 138,562 138,562
Announcement Date 2/17/21 2/16/22 2/15/23 3/18/24 2/11/25 2/18/26 - -
1EUR
Estimates
2025 2026 *
P/E 12.9x 8.71x
PBR 0.7x 0.61x
EV / Sales 11.5x 11.2x
Yield 7.92% 8.2%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BBB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
6
Last Close Price
17.00EUR
Average target price
21.20EUR
Spread / Average Target
+24.71%

Annual profits - Rate of surprise