Financials Arthur J. Gallagher & Co.

Equities

AJG

US3635761097

Multiline Insurance & Brokers

Real-time Estimate Cboe BZX 11:50:25 2024-05-03 EDT 5-day change 1st Jan Change
235.9 USD -1.09% Intraday chart for Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. +0.72% +4.85%

Valuation

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Capitalization 1 17,763 23,792 35,169 39,752 48,554 52,125 - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 21,764 27,672 40,821 45,524 55,548 58,996 58,585 61,681
P/E ratio 27.1 x 29.5 x 38.8 x 36.3 x 50.9 x 31.8 x 27.6 x 23.9 x
Yield 1.81% 1.46% 1.13% 1.08% 0.98% 1.01% 1.07% 1.14%
Capitalization / Revenue 2.52 x 3.47 x 4.35 x 4.72 x 4.89 x 4.5 x 4.07 x 3.62 x
EV / Revenue 3.08 x 4.04 x 5.05 x 5.41 x 5.6 x 5.1 x 4.57 x 4.29 x
EV / EBITDA 16.2 x 16.3 x 20.1 x 17.8 x 18.5 x 16.4 x 14.5 x 13.5 x
EV / FCF 22.2 x - 25.9 x 23.4 x 30.2 x 24.9 x 19.8 x 18.5 x
FCF Yield 4.5% - 3.86% 4.27% 3.31% 4.01% 5.04% 5.39%
Price to Book 3.44 x 3.84 x 4.16 x 4.37 x 4.52 x 4.05 x 3.36 x 3.38 x
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 186,523 192,322 207,278 210,840 215,911 218,516 - -
Reference price 2 95.23 123.7 169.7 188.5 224.9 238.5 238.5 238.5
Announcement Date 20-01-30 21-01-28 22-01-27 23-01-26 24-01-25 - - -
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net sales 1 7,056 6,852 8,076 8,420 9,926 11,576 12,813 14,384
EBITDA 1 1,341 1,699 2,029 2,554 3,010 3,590 4,034 4,583
EBIT 1 - - 1,523 2,002 2,313 3,275 3,743 4,316
Operating Margin - - 18.85% 23.77% 23.3% 28.29% 29.21% 30.01%
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 626.1 870.9 975.1 1,327 1,185 2,134 2,392 2,566
Net income 1 668.8 818.8 906.8 1,114 969.5 1,666 1,908 2,200
Net margin 9.48% 11.95% 11.23% 13.23% 9.77% 14.4% 14.89% 15.3%
EPS 2 3.520 4.200 4.370 5.190 4.420 7.490 8.647 9.996
Free Cash Flow 1 980.4 - 1,576 1,943 1,838 2,366 2,954 3,326
FCF margin 13.89% - 19.51% 23.07% 18.52% 20.44% 23.05% 23.12%
FCF Conversion (EBITDA) 73.1% - 77.65% 76.06% 61.08% 65.88% 73.22% 72.56%
FCF Conversion (Net income) 146.59% - 173.74% 174.36% 189.59% 141.95% 154.79% 151.14%
Dividend per Share 2 1.720 1.800 1.920 2.040 2.200 2.400 2.561 2.722
Announcement Date 20-01-30 21-01-28 22-01-27 23-01-26 24-01-25 - - -
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)

Fiscal Period: December 2021 Q4 2022 Q1 2022 Q2 2022 Q3 2022 Q4 2023 Q1 2023 Q2 2023 Q3 2023 Q4 2024 Q1 2024 Q2 2024 Q3 2024 Q4 2025 Q1 2025 Q2
Net sales 1 1,941 2,404 2,008 2,012 1,995 2,673 2,407 2,454 2,393 3,218 2,790 2,843 2,734 3,576 2,943
EBITDA 1 436.1 856.5 579.8 589.7 528.1 958.3 675.7 706.5 669 1,146 820.3 841.6 782.8 1,291 915
EBIT 1 - 696.7 439.5 444.2 385.3 798.9 500 546.4 479.3 999.3 771.5 809 752.3 1,261 878
Operating Margin - 28.97% 21.88% 22.08% 19.31% 29.89% 20.77% 22.27% 20.03% 31.05% 27.65% 28.46% 27.52% 35.25% 29.84%
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 113 537.7 352.3 315 122 605.8 297.4 364.1 -82.2 772.7 447.8 461.4 398.6 896.4 523.3
Net income 1 109.4 438.7 284.2 255.8 135.5 486.5 234.5 280.7 -32.2 608.4 351.5 366.2 320 699.1 407.6
Net margin 5.64% 18.24% 14.15% 12.71% 6.79% 18.2% 9.74% 11.44% -1.35% 18.91% 12.6% 12.88% 11.71% 19.55% 13.85%
EPS 2 0.5100 2.050 1.330 1.190 0.6300 2.240 1.070 1.280 -0.1500 2.740 1.594 1.652 1.434 3.150 1.899
Dividend per Share 2 0.4800 0.5100 0.5100 0.5100 0.5100 0.5500 0.5500 0.5500 0.5500 0.6000 0.6000 0.6000 0.6000 0.6300 0.6300
Announcement Date 22-01-27 22-04-28 22-07-28 22-10-27 23-01-26 23-04-27 23-07-27 23-10-26 24-01-25 24-04-25 - - - - -
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates

Balance Sheet Analysis

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net Debt 1 4,002 3,880 5,653 5,772 6,994 6,871 6,460 9,557
Net Cash position 1 - - - - - - - -
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.984 x 2.284 x 2.786 x 2.26 x 2.324 x 1.914 x 1.601 x 2.085 x
Free Cash Flow 1 980 - 1,576 1,943 1,838 2,366 2,954 3,326
ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) 14.4% 14.3% 15.5% 18.8% 19.3% 18.9% 20.2% 21.8%
ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) - - - - - - - -
Assets 1 - - - - - - - -
Book Value Per Share 2 27.70 32.20 40.80 43.10 49.70 58.90 71.10 70.70
Cash Flow per Share 2 - 8.990 8.220 9.900 9.260 10.50 13.20 -
Capex 1 139 - 129 183 194 151 183 192
Capex / Sales 1.97% - 1.59% 2.17% 1.95% 1.3% 1.43% 1.34%
Announcement Date 20-01-30 21-01-28 22-01-27 23-01-26 24-01-25 - - -
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
B-
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
18
Last Close Price
238.5 USD
Average target price
263.5 USD
Spread / Average Target
+10.48%
Consensus
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