Projected Income Statement: Aristocrat Leisure Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: Aristocrat Leisure Limited

balance-sheet-analysis-chart ARISTOCRAT-LEISURE-LIMITE
Fiscal Period: September 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net Debt 1 2,224 1,568 805 -564 -809 1,140 342 -159
Change - -29.5% -48.66% -170.06% -243.44% 40.91% -72.22% -146.49%
Announcement Date 11/19/19 11/17/20 11/17/21 11/15/22 11/14/23 11/12/24 - -
1AUD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Aristocrat Leisure Limited

Fiscal Period: September 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
CAPEX 1 316.6 196.1 173.2 208.2 352 419.2 363.2 377.5
Change - -38.06% -11.68% 20.21% 69.07% 19.09% -0.04% 3.95%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 837.6 775.1 1,155 1,038 1,447 1,346 1,942 1,808
Change - -7.46% 49.04% -10.16% 39.44% -6.99% 25.28% -6.95%
Announcement Date 11/19/19 11/17/20 11/17/21 11/15/22 11/14/23 11/12/24 - -
1AUD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Aristocrat Leisure Limited

Fiscal Period: September 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 36.31% 26.32% 32.57% 33.21% 33.44% 37.39% 38.97% 40.49%
EBIT Margin (%) 26.44% 18.63% 26.97% 28.58% 28.71% 32.12% 32.75% 34.14%
EBT Margin (%) 22.14% 8.69% 21.47% 22.05% 26.53% 26.15% 30.77% 32.79%
Net margin (%) 15.89% 33.29% 17.31% 17.02% 23.1% 19.74% 24.28% 24.61%
FCF margin (%) 19.05% 18.73% 24.39% 18.62% 22.99% 20.38% 28.07% 25.82%
FCF / Net Income (%) 119.86% 56.26% 140.88% 109.41% 99.52% 103.27% 115.59% 104.9%

Profitability

        
ROA 14.68% 5.93% 10.47% 11.7% 12.61% 14.65% 16.22% 16.7%
ROE 46.15% 14.23% 24.59% 22.17% 20.81% 23.91% 25.61% 25.34%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.39x 1.44x 0.52x - - 0.46x 0.13x -
Debt / Free cash flow 2.66x 2.02x 0.7x - - 0.85x 0.18x -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 7.2% 4.74% 3.66% 3.74% 5.59% 6.35% 5.25% 5.39%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 19.83% 18% 11.23% 11.25% 16.72% 16.98% 13.47% 13.32%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 37.8% 25.3% 14.99% 20.06% 24.32% 31.14% 18.7% 20.88%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 1.702 1.603 2.082 1.87 2.739 2.758 3.251 3.549
Change - -5.77% 29.87% -10.2% 46.48% 0.68% 11.41% 9.17%
Dividend per Share 1 0.56 0.1 0.41 0.52 0.64 0.78 0.903 0.9877
Change - -82.14% 310% 26.83% 23.08% 21.88% 14.91% 9.38%
Book Value Per Share 1 3.357 4.98 4.94 9.139 10.37 9.978 11.02 12.06
Change - 48.35% -0.8% 85% 13.48% -3.79% 2.86% 9.39%
EPS 1 1.095 2.16 1.285 1.423 2.214 2.036 2.701 2.813
Change - 97.26% -40.51% 10.74% 55.59% -8.04% 17.88% 4.16%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 638,544 638,544 638,548 662,122 648,561 626,613 626,613 626,613
Announcement Date 11/19/19 11/17/20 11/17/21 11/15/22 11/14/23 11/12/24 - -
1AUD
Estimates
2024 2025 *
P/E ratio 28.8x 26.2x
PBR 5.87x 6.42x
EV / Sales 5.76x 6.45x
Yield 1.33% 1.28%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

eps-dividend-chart ARISTOCRAT-LEISURE-LIMITE

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

evolution-chart ARISTOCRAT-LEISURE-LIMITE

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

evolution-chart ARISTOCRAT-LEISURE-LIMITE
Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG MSCI
AA
surperformance-ratings-light-chart ARISTOCRAT-LEISURE-LIMITEMore Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
14
Last Close Price
71.22AUD
Average target price
70.41AUD
Spread / Average Target
-1.14%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
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  4. Financials Aristocrat Leisure Limited