Projected Income Statement: Amcor plc

Forecast Balance Sheet: Amcor plc

Fiscal Period: June 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Net Debt 1 5,715 6,057 6,111 13,271 12,897 12,227 11,691 11,416
Change - 5.98% 0.89% 117.17% -2.82% -5.2% -4.38% -2.35%
Announcement Date 8/17/22 8/16/23 8/15/24 8/14/25 8/12/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Amcor plc

Fiscal Period: June 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
CAPEX 1 527 526 492 580 922 1,149 1,121 1,103
Change - -0.19% -6.46% 17.89% 58.97% 24.64% -2.49% -1.58%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 999 735 829 810 1,229 1,976 1,831 1,899
Change - -26.43% 12.79% -2.29% 51.73% 60.8% -7.36% 3.7%
Announcement Date 8/17/22 8/16/23 8/15/24 8/14/25 8/12/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Amcor plc

Fiscal Period: June 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 14.56% 13.73% 14.38% 14.56% 15.63% 16.39% 16.71% 17%
EBIT Margin (%) 11.7% 10.94% 11.44% 11.48% 11.97% 12.87% 13.15% 13.37%
EBT Margin (%) 7.67% 8.51% 6.65% 4.33% 5.45% 9.16% 9.91% 11%
Net margin (%) 5.53% 7.13% 5.35% 3.4% 4.71% 6.85% 7.33% 8.2%
FCF margin (%) 6.87% 5% 6.08% 5.4% 5.23% 8.31% 7.6% 7.79%
FCF / Net Income (%) 124.1% 70.13% 113.56% 158.51% 111.12% 121.27% 103.62% 95%

Profitability

        
ROA 7.07% 6.33% 6.05% 4.24% 5.02% 6.11% 6.29% 6.5%
ROE 27.67% 26.49% 25.24% 14.48% 15.88% 16.35% 16.65% 17.3%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.7x 3x 3.11x 6.07x 3.51x 3.13x 2.9x 2.76x
Debt / Free cash flow 5.72x 8.24x 7.37x 16.38x 10.49x 6.19x 6.39x 6.01x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 3.62% 3.58% 3.61% 3.86% 3.92% 4.83% 4.65% 4.53%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 24.89% 26.07% 25.08% 26.53% 25.1% 29.46% 27.84% 26.62%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 52.75% 71.56% 59.35% 71.6% 75.02% 58.15% 61.21% 58.09%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 5.033 4.33 4.6 4.363 4.638 7.77 - -
Change - -13.96% 6.22% -5.15% 6.3% 67.54% - -
Dividend per Share 1 2.4 2.45 2.5 2.55 2.588 2.617 2.65 2.75
Change - 2.08% 2.04% 2% 1.47% 1.13% 1.27% 3.77%
Book Value Per Share 1 13.73 13.81 15.73 25.44 25.5 25.77 26.4 27.31
Change - 0.63% 13.88% 61.74% 0.24% 1.05% 2.47% 3.45%
EPS 1 2.645 3.525 2.525 1.6 2.38 3.106 3.248 3.632
Change - 33.27% -28.37% -36.63% 48.75% 30.48% 4.59% 11.82%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 296,735 287,064 288,869 456,770 462,146 461,946 461,946 461,946
Announcement Date 8/17/22 8/16/23 8/15/24 8/14/25 8/12/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2027 *2028 *
P/E 13.5x 12.9x
PBR 1.63x 1.59x
EV / Sales 1.33x 1.29x
Yield 6.25% 6.32%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
14
Last Close Price
41.90USD
Average target price
50.18USD
Spread / Average Target
+19.76%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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