Projected Income Statement: Amcor plc

Forecast Balance Sheet: Amcor plc

Fiscal Period: June 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Net Debt 1 5,715 6,057 6,111 13,271 - 12,312 11,708 11,960
Change - 5.98% 0.89% 117.17% - - -4.91% 2.15%
Announcement Date 8/17/22 8/16/23 8/15/24 8/14/25 8/12/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Amcor plc

Fiscal Period: June 2022 2023 2024 2025 2027 2028 2029
CAPEX 1 527 526 492 580 1,169 1,136 1,147
Change - -0.19% -6.46% 17.89% - -2.82% 1.01%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 999 735 829 810 1,821 1,889 1,949
Change - -26.43% 12.79% -2.29% - 3.7% 3.19%
Announcement Date 8/17/22 8/16/23 8/15/24 8/14/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Amcor plc

Fiscal Period: June 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 14.56% 13.73% 14.38% 14.56% 15.63% 16.45% 16.72% 17.11%
EBIT Margin (%) 11.7% 10.94% 11.44% 11.48% 11.97% 12.9% 13.14% 13.42%
EBT Margin (%) 7.67% 8.51% 6.65% 4.33% 5.45% 8.89% 9.66% -
Net margin (%) 5.53% 7.13% 5.35% 3.4% 4.71% 6.64% 7.04% 6.23%
FCF margin (%) 6.87% 5% 6.08% 5.4% - 7.65% 7.82% 7.94%
FCF / Net Income (%) 124.1% 70.13% 113.56% 158.51% - 115.16% 111.1% 127.37%

Profitability

        
ROA 7.07% 6.33% 6.05% 4.24% - 6.22% 6.44% 6.53%
ROE 27.67% 26.49% 25.24% 14.48% - 16.04% 16.32% 17.37%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.7x 3x 3.11x 6.07x - 3.14x 2.9x 2.85x
Debt / Free cash flow 5.72x 8.24x 7.37x 16.38x - 6.76x 6.2x 6.14x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 3.62% 3.58% 3.61% 3.86% - 4.91% 4.71% 4.67%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 24.89% 26.07% 25.08% 26.53% - 29.86% 28.14% 27.31%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 52.75% 71.56% 59.35% 71.6% - 64.18% 60.15% 58.87%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 5.033 4.33 4.6 4.363 - - - -
Change - -13.96% 6.22% -5.15% - - - -
Dividend per Share 1 2.4 2.45 2.5 2.55 - 2.631 2.656 -
Change - 2.08% 2.04% 2% - - 0.95% -
Book Value Per Share 1 13.73 13.81 15.73 25.44 - 25.74 - -
Change - 0.63% 13.88% 61.74% - - - -
EPS 1 2.645 3.525 2.525 1.6 2.38 3.074 3.329 -
Change - 33.27% -28.37% -36.63% 48.75% 29.16% 8.29% -
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 296,735 287,064 288,869 456,770 462,146 461,946 461,946 -
Announcement Date 8/17/22 8/16/23 8/15/24 8/14/25 8/12/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2027 *2028 *
P/E 14.9x 13.8x
PBR 1.78x -
EV / Sales 1.41x 1.36x
Yield 5.74% 5.79%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
14
Last Close Price
45.86USD
Average target price
49.93USD
Spread / Average Target
+8.88%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise