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06-13 | Transcript : Alithya Group Inc., Q4 2024 Earnings Call, Jun 13, 2024 | |
06-13 | Alithya Group Inc. Reports Earnings Results for the Full Year Ended March 31, 2024 | CI |
Valuation
Fiscal Period: March | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Capitalization 1 | 142.9 | 178.8 | 298.9 | 257.1 | 199.5 | 202.2 | - | - |
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 | 200.5 | 242.3 | 409.2 | 380.2 | 199.5 | 296.3 | 264.2 | 229.3 |
P/E ratio | -3.51 x | -10.2 x | -17.9 x | -8.44 x | -12.3 x | 79.5 x | 12 x | 5.17 x |
Yield | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Capitalization / Revenue | 0.51 x | 0.62 x | 0.68 x | 0.49 x | 0.41 x | 0.4 x | 0.38 x | 0.37 x |
EV / Revenue | 0.72 x | 0.84 x | 0.93 x | 0.73 x | 0.41 x | 0.59 x | 0.5 x | 0.42 x |
EV / EBITDA | 17 x | 25.1 x | 18.1 x | 10.5 x | 5.62 x | 6.78 x | 5.24 x | 4.19 x |
EV / FCF | 47.7 x | -94.7 x | -122 x | 14 x | - | 9.24 x | 7.47 x | 4.8 x |
FCF Yield | 2.1% | -1.06% | -0.82% | 7.14% | - | 10.8% | 13.4% | 20.8% |
Price to Book | - | 1.67 x | - | - | - | 1.08 x | 0.93 x | 0.77 x |
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 58,074 | 58,243 | 92,534 | 95,213 | 95,462 | 95,355 | - | - |
Reference price 2 | 2.460 | 3.070 | 3.230 | 2.700 | 2.090 | 2.120 | 2.120 | 2.120 |
Announcement Date | 20-06-19 | 21-06-10 | 22-06-17 | 23-06-08 | 24-06-13 | - | - | - |
Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)
Fiscal Period: March | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net sales 1 | 279 | 287.6 | 437.9 | 522.7 | 491.1 | 502 | 526.1 | 545.1 |
EBITDA 1 | 11.79 | 9.645 | 22.61 | 36.12 | 35.47 | 43.69 | 50.4 | 54.71 |
EBIT | -12.93 | -5.861 | 2.889 | 2.089 | 6.463 | - | - | - |
Operating Margin | -4.63% | -2.04% | 0.66% | 0.4% | 1.32% | - | - | - |
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | - | -19.62 | - | -36.35 | -16.6 | 0.15 | 10 | - |
Net income 1 | - | -17.34 | -15.55 | -30.1 | -16.66 | 1.878 | 12.8 | 20.23 |
Net margin | - | -6.03% | -3.55% | -5.76% | -3.39% | 0.37% | 2.43% | 3.71% |
EPS 2 | -0.7000 | -0.3000 | -0.1800 | -0.3200 | -0.1700 | 0.0267 | 0.1767 | 0.4100 |
Free Cash Flow 1 | 4.204 | -2.56 | -3.348 | 27.15 | - | 32.06 | 35.34 | 47.8 |
FCF margin | 1.51% | -0.89% | -0.76% | 5.19% | - | 6.39% | 6.72% | 8.77% |
FCF Conversion (EBITDA) | 35.65% | - | - | 75.15% | - | 73.37% | 70.13% | 87.37% |
FCF Conversion (Net income) | - | - | - | - | - | 1,706.95% | 276.01% | 236.24% |
Dividend per Share | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Announcement Date | 20-06-19 | 21-06-10 | 22-06-17 | 23-06-08 | 24-06-13 | - | - | - |
Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)
Fiscal Period: March | 2022 Q3 | 2022 Q4 | 2023 Q1 | 2023 Q2 | 2023 Q3 | 2023 Q4 | 2024 Q1 | 2024 Q2 | 2024 Q3 | 2024 Q4 | 2025 Q1 | 2025 Q2 | 2025 Q3 | 2025 Q4 | 2026 Q1 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net sales 1 | 109.7 | 120 | 126.8 | 128.9 | 130.8 | 136.2 | 131.6 | 118.5 | 120.5 | 120.5 | 123.5 | 121.9 | 127.3 | 130.3 | 128.2 |
EBITDA 1 | 4.514 | 6.048 | 6.198 | 9.44 | 10.02 | 10.46 | 9.055 | 6.456 | 9.456 | 10.5 | 9.996 | 10.31 | 11.63 | 12.35 | 11.74 |
EBIT | -0.324 | 0.796 | -0.08 | 1.13 | 0.99 | 0.049 | 0.563 | - | 2.713 | 4.406 | - | - | - | - | - |
Operating Margin | -0.3% | 0.66% | -0.06% | 0.88% | 0.76% | 0.04% | 0.43% | - | 2.25% | 3.66% | - | - | - | - | - |
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | -3.616 | - | - | -6.077 | -5.126 | -20.5 | -7.095 | - | -2.883 | 2.041 | -1.4 | -0.6 | 0.6 | 1 | - |
Net income 1 | -3.486 | -7.253 | -4.164 | -0.435 | -5.505 | -19.99 | -7.245 | -9.176 | -2.537 | 2.298 | -0.5728 | -0.409 | 0.6853 | 1.058 | 1.612 |
Net margin | -3.18% | -6.05% | -3.28% | -0.34% | -4.21% | -14.68% | -5.51% | -7.74% | -2.11% | 1.91% | -0.46% | -0.34% | 0.54% | 0.81% | 1.26% |
EPS 2 | -0.0400 | -0.0800 | -0.0400 | -0.004600 | -0.0600 | -0.2100 | -0.0800 | -0.1000 | -0.0300 | 0.0200 | -0.0100 | - | 0.0167 | 0.0233 | - |
Dividend per Share | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Announcement Date | 22-02-10 | 22-06-17 | 22-08-11 | 22-11-10 | 23-02-14 | 23-06-08 | 23-08-10 | 23-11-14 | 24-02-14 | 24-06-13 | - | - | - | - | - |
Balance Sheet Analysis
Fiscal Period: March | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Debt 1 | 57.7 | 63.5 | 110 | 123 | - | 94.2 | 62 | 27.2 |
Net Cash position 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 4.889 x | 6.584 x | 4.878 x | 3.409 x | - | 2.155 x | 1.231 x | 0.4967 x |
Free Cash Flow 1 | 4.2 | -2.56 | -3.35 | 27.1 | - | 32.1 | 35.3 | 47.8 |
ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) | -28.5% | -14.7% | - | -6.57% | - | 1% | 5.3% | 9.6% |
ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) | - | - | - | -2.79% | - | 0.4% | 2.5% | 4.8% |
Assets 1 | - | - | - | 1,079 | - | 469.5 | 512.2 | 421.5 |
Book Value Per Share 2 | - | 1.840 | - | - | - | 1.970 | 2.270 | 2.740 |
Cash Flow per Share | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Capex 1 | 4.49 | 2.1 | - | 1.74 | - | 1.1 | 1.14 | 1.34 |
Capex / Sales | 1.61% | 0.73% | - | 0.33% | - | 0.22% | 0.22% | 0.25% |
Announcement Date | 20-06-19 | 21-06-10 | 22-06-17 | 23-06-08 | 24-06-13 | - | - | - |
EPS & Dividend
Year-on-year evolution of the PER
Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA
EPS Revisions
1st Jan change | Capi. | |
---|---|---|
+20.45% | 148M | |
-12.75% | 192B | |
+1.08% | 164B | |
+6.34% | 160B | |
+5.62% | 101B | |
+49.67% | 93B | |
+16.01% | 85.22B | |
-0.30% | 75.02B | |
-0.68% | 46.73B | |
-36.37% | 42.4B |
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- Financials Alithya Group Inc.