INVESTOR PRESENTATION
January 2020
1
IMPORTANT NOTICE
DISCLAIMER
Certain statements included in this presentation contain forward-looking statements. All statements other than historical facts are forward-looking statements. Examples of forward-looking statements include those regarding the business, strategy and plans of KAZ Minerals PLC ('KAZ Minerals') and its current goals, assumptions and expectations relating to its future financial condition, performance and results, commodity demand and trends in commodity prices, growth opportunities, circumstances in the countries, sectors or markets in which it operates and any assumptions underlying or relating to any of the foregoing. Although KAZ Minerals believes that the expectations reflected in such forward-looking statements are reasonable and are made in good faith, no assurance can be given that such expectations will prove to be correct. By their nature, forward-looking statements involve known and unknown risks, assumptions and uncertainties and other factors which are unpredictable as they relate to events and depend on circumstances that will occur in the future which may cause actual results, performance or achievements of KAZ Minerals to be materially different from those expressed or implied in these forward-looking statements.
Principal risk factors that could cause KAZ Minerals' actual results, performance or achievements to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements include (without limitation) health and safety, community and labour relations, employees, environmental compliance, business interruption, new project construction and commissioning, reserves and resources, political risk, legal and regulatory compliance, commodity prices, foreign exchange and inflation, exposure to China, acquisitions and divestments, liquidity and such other risk factors disclosed in KAZ Minerals' most recent Annual Report and Accounts. Forward-looking statements should therefore be construed in light of such risk factors. These forward-looking statements should not be construed as a profit forecast.
No part of this presentation constitutes, or shall be taken to constitute, an invitation or inducement to invest in KAZ Minerals, or any other entity, and shareholders are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the forward-looking statements. Except as required by the Listing Rules of the UK Listing Authority and applicable law, rule or regulation, KAZ Minerals undertakes no obligation to publicly update or change any forward-looking statements whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, to reflect events or new information occurring after the date of this presentation.
Neither this presentation, which includes the question and answer session, nor any part thereof may be recorded, transcribed, distributed, published or reproduced in any form, except as permitted by KAZ Minerals. By attending this presentation, whether in person or by webcast or call, you confirm your agreement to the foregoing and that, upon request, you will promptly return any records or transcript of the presentation without retaining any copies.
All financial definitions can be found in the glossary to the half-yearly results 2019 press release.
1
1. Introduction to
KAZ Minerals
NEAR AND LONG TERM GROWTH IN COPPER
Proven track | Near term | Strong | |
record | growth | platform | |
>50% CAGR | Aktogay | Supports | |
copper production | expansion | Baimskaya | Long |
2015-18 | project | construction | |
term | |||
growth |
- Achieved annual copper production guidance for 10 years
►Low cost producer | ►Adds 80 ktpa from 2022-27 | ►Increased earnings and | ►Strong NPV and | |
cash flow | attractive IRR | |||
►Bozshakol and Aktogay | ►Low risk brownfield | |||
►Favourable long | ||||
expansion | ►Enables financing of longer | |||
delivered on time and on | ||||
term copper | ||||
term growth | ||||
budget, ramped up | ►Low capital intensity of | |||
fundamentals | ||||
successfully | $15,000/t | |||
2015 | 2018 | 2021 | 2024 | 2027 |
3
INDUSTRY LEADING COST POSITION
Net cash cost
USc/lb1
Diversified peer Copper peer
174 | 185 | ||||||||||
168 | |||||||||||
158 | |||||||||||
127 | 133 | 135 | |||||||||
117 | 119 | ||||||||||
80 | 85 | ||||||||||
70 | |||||||||||
Peer | KAZ | Peer | Peer | Peer | Peer | Peer | Peer | Peer | Peer | Peer | Peer |
1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
1. Source: Company data, most recently reported financial period.
4
ALL ASSETS IN FIRST QUARTILE
Net cash cost curve1 | USc/lb | H1 2019 | H1 2018 | |
Bozshakol | 42 | 55 | ||
H1 2019 | Aktogay | 96 | 107 | |
East Region | 103 | 77 | ||
80 | ||||
& Bozymchak | ||||
USc/lb | ||||
Group | 80 | 82 | ||
108 USc/lb | ||||
$2,381/t | ||||
1stquartile2 | 2ndquartile | 3rdquartile | 4thquartile |
1. Conceptual representation as at 30 June 2019, not to scale.
2. Wood Mackenzie first quartile cut off 108 USc/lb, 30 June 2019. | 5 |
VALUE AND VOLUME
Aktogay II and Baimskaya will significantly increase the Group's copper production at a lower capital intensity than the previous major growth projects
Economies of scale at Aktogay II will maintain cash costs at 100-1201USc/lb out to 2027
Baimskaya is expected to be in the first quartile of the global cost curve
Both projects offer significant NPV uplift and attractive IRR
Lower capital intensity
($/t)2 | |||
17,700 | 17,200 | ||
16,700 | |||
15,000 | |||
Aktogay I | Bozshakol | Aktogay II | Baimskaya |
Low operating costs
(USc/lb)3 | |||
120 | 120 | ||
90 | |||
100 | 100 | ||
70 | First | ||
quartile | |||
Aktogay I | Bozshakol | Aktogay II | Baimskaya |
Notes: | 6 |
1. 2017 US dollar terms. |
- Approximate capital expenditure per ktpa copper equivalent production calculated as capital expenditure divided by forecast annual copper equivalent production for the first ten years after commissioning.
- Net cash cost guidance in USc/lb for the first ten years of operations. Baimskaya operating costs subject to feasibility study.
H1 2019 RESULTS HIGHLIGHTS
Continued growth in copper production1, +6%
Maintained low cost position, 80 USc/lb2
Volume growth partially offset 11% reduction in copper prices in H1 2019:
- Revenues $1,052 million (H1 2018: $1,098 million)
- EBITDA3$620 million (H1 2018: $690 million)
Group continues to develop its growth pipeline:
- Aktogay expansion project progressed, $223 million invested in H1 2019
- Completed acquisition of Baimskaya, one of the world's largest undeveloped copper deposits
Interim dividend of 4.0 US cents declared
6% copper production1growth
kt | H1 2018 | H1 2019 | |||||||||
140 | 148 | koz | |||||||||
90 | 88 | ||||||||||
Copper | Gold | ||||||||||
Low unit costs maintained | |||||||||||
USc/lb | H1 2018 | H1 2019 | |||||||||
145 | 144 | ||||||||||
82 | 80 | ||||||||||
Gross | Net | ||||||||||
cash cost | cash cost2 | ||||||||||
1. | Payable metal in concentrate and copper cathode from Aktogay oxide ore. | 7 |
2. | Cash operating costs, plus TC/RC on concentrate sales, less by-product revenues, divided by copper sales volume. | |
3. | EBITDA excludes MET, royalties and special items. |
2. Review of operations
AKTOGAY - RECORD COPPER PRODUCTION
Q4 2019:
- 6.4 Mt ore processed (Q3 2019: 6.1 Mt) as scheduled maintenance deferred from Q4 2019 to January 2020
- Copper production 34.3 kt (Q3 2019: 37.3 kt) - seasonally lower oxide output and reduced sulphide grades
FY 2019:
- 55.1 Mt ore extracted (2018: 41.9 Mt) due to stripping of low grade ore and preparation for Aktogay II
- 25.2 Mt sulphide ore processed (2018: 20.8 Mt), achieved annual design capacity
Copper sulphide kt1 | Full year guidance | |||
105 - 115 | ||||
123 | ||||
31 | 31 | 31 | 30 | |
Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | |
Copper oxide kt1 | c.25 | |||
23 | ||||
6 | 6 | 7 | 4 | |
Q3 | Q4 | |||
Q1 | Q2 | |||
Sulphide ore throughput and grade
- Record copper production of 145.7 kt (2018: 131.4 kt), exceeded guidance of130-140 kt
Average sulphide grades are expected to reduce towards the life of mine average of 0.33% over the first 10 years of operations
- Sulphide copper grade guidance for the period2019-2021 remains c.0.50%
30.0 | Throughput (Mt) | Grade (%) | |||
25.2 Mt | |||||
25.0 | 20.8 Mt | ||||
20.0 | |||||
15.0 | 0.61% | 0.58% | |||
10.0 | |||||
5.0 | |||||
0.0 | |||||
20182019
1.00%
0.80%
0.60%
0.40%
0.20%
0.00%
1. Payable metal in concentrate and copper cathode from Aktogay oxide ore.
9
Aktogay open pit
June 2019
BOZSHAKOL - ACHIEVED OR EXCEEDED GUIDANCE ACROSS ALL METALS
Q4 2019:
- Ore processed reduced to 7,844 kt (Q3 2019: 8,378 kt) due to scheduled mill relining
-
Copper production 31.0 kt (Q3 2019: 32.1 kt) and gold
production 41.8 koz (Q3 2019: 43.4 koz), in line with lower throughput
FY 2019:
- 29.5 Mt ore processed (2018: 28.5 Mt)
- Copper production increased 8% to 110.2 kt (2018: 101.6 kt), at themid-point of guidance of 105-115 kt
- Gold production increased 13% to 144.8 koz (2018: 127.8 koz), above guidance due to high grades and recoveries
Copper kt1 | Full year guidance | |||
105 - 115 | ||||
110 | ||||
24 | 23 | 32 | 31 | |
Q3 | Q4 | |||
Q1 | Q2 | |||
Gold koz1 | 130 - 140 | |||
145 | ||||
30 | 30 | 43 | 42 | |
Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | |
Silver koz1 | c.700 | |||
803 | ||||
169 | 165 | 233 | 236 | |
Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | |
1. Payable metal in concentrate.
11
Bozshakol open pit
July 2019
EAST REGION AND BOZYMCHAK
Q4 2019:
- Ore processed increased to 1,016 kt (Q3 2019: 982 kt) due to processing of stockpiles
- Belousovsky concentrator closed as planned on 25 October, ore now processed at Nikolayevsky
- Copper production increased 16% to 15.6 kt (Q3 2019: 13.5 kt), due to higher Nikolayevsky throughput and higher grades at Orlovsky
FY 2019:
- Copper production 55.5 kt in line with guidance
- Gold and silver production exceeded guidance
Artemyevsky grades and ore volumes will remain at around current levels until extraction commences from the second ore body, expected from 2022
Orlovsky production over its remaining life expected to be at or below current output, as mining takes place in deeper horizons and more challenging geological conditions
Copper kt1 | Full year guidance | |||
c.55 | ||||
55 | ||||
9 | 17 | 14 | 16 | |
Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | |
Gold koz1 | 40 - 45 | |||
54 | ||||
13 | 14 | 14 | 13 | |
Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | |
Silver koz1 | c.1,800 | |||
2,024 | ||||
314 | 616 | 583 | 511 | |
Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | |
Zinc kt2 | 40 - 45 | |||
38 | ||||
6 | 12 | 11 | 9 | |
Q4 | ||||
Q1 | Q2 | Q3 |
1. | Payable metal in concentrate. | 13 |
2. | Zinc in concentrate. | |
2019 PRODUCTION VS GUIDANCE
Copper1
kt
Gold3,5
koz
Silver3
koz
Zinc4
kt
Aktogay | Bozshakol | East Region & | Group |
Bozymchak | |||
1462 | 110 | 55 | 311 |
130 - 140 | 105 - 115 | c.55 | c.300 |
3 | 145 | 54 | 201 |
- | 130 - 140 | 40 - 45 | 170 - 185 |
555 | 803 | 2,024 | 3,382 |
c.500 | c.700 | c.1,800 | c.3,000 |
38 | 38 | ||
40 - 45 | 40 - 45 |
Notes: | 14 | |
Actual 12 months production results shown against guidance ranges set in 2019. | ||
1. | Payable metal in concentrate and copper cathode from Aktogay oxide ore. | |
2. | Range includes c.25 kt of cathode production from oxide ore. | |
3. | Payable metal in concentrate. | |
4. | Zinc in concentrate. | |
5. | Minimal volume of gold recovered from Aktogay material. |
3. H1 2019 results
HEALTH AND SAFETY
Two fatalities in July 2019 at East Region underground mines
- Maintained zero fatalities track record at all open pit operations
Material reduction in injury rate indicates general improvement in workplace safety
"Goal Zero" initiative launched in H1 2019
- Group-wideprogramme to achieve zero fatal incidents and lost time injuries
Total Recordable Injuries
33
21
H1 2018 | H1 2019 |
Total Recordable Injury Frequency Rate1
ICMM2average 2018: 3.41
2.00
0.99
H1 2018 | H1 2019 |
1. Total Recordable Injury Frequency Rate or TRIFR is the number of Recordable Injuries occurring per million hours worked.
2. International Council on Mining and Metals. | 16 |
IMPROVED ENVIRONMENTAL PERFORMANCE
Ramp up of new open pit assets has significantly reduced the Group's CO2emissions intensity
Consumption of fresh water is declining as the quantity reclaimed from tailings increases
- KAZ Minerals does not operate in water stressed areas
CO2
Emissions per unit of ore processed (kt)
0.200
0.094
0.051 0.049 0.050
2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | H1 2019 |
CO2intensity is set to improve further:
-Aktogay II will generate economies of scale | Water |
-Large scale Baimskaya project will draw power | Withdrawal per unit of copper produced (megalitres/kt) | ||||
212 | |||||
from carbon free sources | 181 | 190 | |||
146 | |||||
92 | |||||
2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | H1 2019 | |
17 |
FINANCIAL UPDATE
$m (unless otherwise stated) | H1 2019 | H1 2018 | Production-driven 3% increase in copper sales | |||
Revenues | 1,052 | 1,098 | volumes, partially offset 11% lower LME price | |||
EBITDA1 | 620 | 690 | H1 2019 EBITDA of $620 million, 59% margin | |||
Margin (%) | 59 | 63 | Industry leading first quartile net cash cost2of 80 | |||
Net cash cost (USc/lb)2 | 80 | 82 | USc/lb (H1 2018: 82 USc/lb) | |||
Free Cash Flow3 | 182 | 308 | Interim dividend of 4.0 US cents per share declared | |||
Net debt $2,635 million at 30 September (30 June | ||||||
Basic EPS - based on Underlying | 0.48 | 0.62 | ||||
2019: $2,560 million) | ||||||
Profit ($)4 | ||||||
Net debt | (2,560) | (2,052) | $1.7 billion of new debt facilities raised: | |||
-$600 million DBK facility to finance Aktogay | ||||||
expansion, Jun 2019 | ||||||
-$100 million CAT facility, Nov 2019 | ||||||
-$1,000 million PXF, Jan 2020 | ||||||
1. | Excluding MET, royalties and special items. | 18 | ||||
2. | Cash operating costs, plus TC/RC on concentrate sales, less by-product revenues, divided by copper sales volume. | |||||
- Net cash flow from operating activities before capital expenditure and VAT associated with the major growth projects, less sustaining capital expenditure.
- Basic EPS based on Underlying Profit excluding special items.
19
EBITDA RECONCILIATION
Increased copper and gold sales volumes partially offset the reduction in commodity prices
($m)
Volume1 | Commodity prices | ||
40 | 19 | ||
690 | |||
(25) | (3) | (15) | 620 |
(74) | (12) |
Copper
EBITDA | Aktogay | Bozshakol East Region | By-product | Cost | Copper | By-products | EBITDA | |
H1 2018 | and | volume | impact² | price | price | H1 2019 | ||
Bozymchak | ||||||||
1. Change in sales volumes at current year margin.
2. Net change in cash costs per tonne. | 19 |
OPERATING COST DETAIL
Aktogay | FY2019 | |
gross cash cost | ||
61 | 72 | guidance |
105-125 USc/lb | ||
Volume-driven decrease in gross cash costs to 101 USc/lb
Additional maintenance shutdowns planned, costs expected to move into guidance range in H2 2019
H1 H1
2018 2019
Bozshakol
109 | 101 | (5) | 96 |
H1 | H1 | H1 |
2018 | 2019 | 2019 |
FY2019
gross cash cost
guidance
130-150 USc/lb
Net cash cost of 42 USc/lb includes 21 USc/lb byproduct credit from 26 koz gold inventory sale
Gross cash cost of 157 USc/lb includes 13 USc/lb
50 | 45 | 127 | 157 | (115) |
42 | ||||
H1 | H1 | H1 | H1 | H1 |
2018 | 2019 | 2018 | 2019 | 2019 |
costs associated with inventory sale
H2 2019 gross cash cost expected to trend lower due to higher grades and increased contribution from clay plant
Copper sales volumes (kt) | Gross cash cost (USc/lb) | By-product credit (USc/lb) | Net cash cost (USc/lb) | |||
20
OPERATING COST DETAIL (CONT'D)
East Region & Bozymchak | ||||
FY2019 | ||||
gross cash cost | ||||
updated guidance | ||||
230-250 USc/lb1 | ||||
250 | 236 | (133) | ||
30 | 28 | 103 | ||
H1 | H1 | H1 | H1 | H1 |
2018 | 2019 | 2018 | 2019 | 20192 |
Cost reduction initiatives and weaker tenge delivered lower gross cash costs in H1 2019
Full year gross cash cost guidance reduced by 30 USc/lb to 230-250 USc/lb
Net cash cost increase in H1 2019
(H1 2018: 77 USc/lb) mainly due to lower zinc volumes, which are guided to increase in H2 2019
Group | Gross cash cost in line with prior year period |
141 144
H1 H1
2018 2019
145 | 144 | (64) |
80 |
H1 | H1 | H1 |
2018 | 2019 | 2019 |
Net cash cost amongst the lowest of copper producers globally
Copper sales volumes (kt) | Gross cash cost (USc/lb) | By-product credit (USc/lb) | Net cash cost (USc/lb) | |||
1. Gross cash cost guidance reduced to 230-250 USc/lb from previous guidance of 260-280 USc/lb.
21
MOVEMENT IN GROUP NET DEBT
($m)
Sustaining capex | HY 2019 | FY 2019 |
Actual | Guidance | |
Aktogay | 21 | 50 |
Bozshakol | 25 | 50 |
East Region & Bozymchak | 20 | 50 |
Total | 66 | 150 |
29 | |
(28) | (2,560) |
620 | (435) |
(1,986)
(105) | |||||||
(126) | |||||||
(131) | |||||||
Change in inventories | (87) | ||||||
Change in prepayments and other | |||||||
current assets | (22) | ||||||
Change in trade and other payables | |||||||
and provisions | (22) | ||||||
Total | (131) |
(332) (66)
Expansionary capex HY 2019 | FY 2019 | FY 2019 | |
Actual | Guidance | Updated | |
Aktogay I & II | 255 | 470 | 570 |
Bozshakol | 37 | 40 | 40 |
East Region & Bozymchak | 15 | 70 | 70 |
Baimskaya | 23 | 70 | 150 |
Other | 2 | 20 | 20 |
Total | 332 | 670 | 850 |
Net debt¹ | Working | MET and CIT | Net | Sustaining | Expansionary | Acquisition of | Dividends | Other | Net debt¹ | |||
31 Dec 2018 | EBITDA | capital | paid | interest paid | capex | capex and | Baimskaya² | paid | movements³ | 30 June 2019 | ||
increase | new project | |||||||||||
1. | The excess of borrowings over cash and cash equivalents and current investments. | 22 | ||||||||||
2. | Net of $1 million cash acquired. | |||||||||||
3. | Includes $45 million receipt in respect of NFC's equity investment in Koksay, VAT associated with major growth projects, foreign exchange and other movements. |
23
2019 FINANCIAL GUIDANCE
Gross cash cost | Sustaining capex | Expansionary capex | ||||||||||
(USc/lb) | ($ million) | ($ million) | ||||||||||
Aktogay | 105-125 | Aktogay1 | 50 | Aktogay I & II2 | 100 | 570 | ||||||
Bozshakol | 130-150 | Bozshakol1 | 50 | Bozshakol3 | 40 | |||||||
East Region 30 | 230-250 | East Region | 50 | East Region | 70 | |||||||
& Bozymchak | & Bozymchak1 | & Bozymchak4 | ||||||||||
Group | 150 | Baimskaya5 | 80 | 150 | ||||||||
Other | 20 | |||||||||||
Group | 850 | |||||||||||
1. Includes $10 million of sustaining capital expenditure deferred from 2018.
2. | Includes $500 million for Aktogay II and $70 million for Aktogay I, of which $50 million was carried over from 2018, mainly for final stage of heap leach cells.. | 23 |
3. | Bozshakol final retention payments to contractors of c.$40 million carried over from 2018 and settled in H1 2019. | |
4. | Principally Artemyevsky underground mine extension, includes $10 million carried over from 2018. | |
5. | Includes $70 million for feasibility study and $80 million for pioneer works in H2 2019. |
CAPITAL ALLOCATED TO GROWTH
Group continues to invest in value-accretive growth in copper
$436 million cash consideration paid for Baimskaya in H1 2019
$332 million invested into growth projects in H1 2019, primarily Aktogay ($255 million)
Of the new $600 million DBK facility signed in June 2019, $260 million was drawn as at 30 September 2019 with $340 million to be drawn 2019-20
Cash and cash equivalents of $601 million as at 30 September 2019
Gross debt reduced to $3,236 million as at 30 September 2019
Net cash flows from operating activities
($ million)
350
236
H1 2018 | H1 2019 |
Net debt as at 30 September 2019
($ million)
601
(3,236) | (2,635) | |
Cash and cash | Borrowings | Net debt |
equivalents |
24
4. Aktogay expansion project
LOW RISK NEAR TERM GROWTH
Aktogay II is a $1.2 billion project approved in December 2017 to double sulphide processing capacity from 25 to 50 Mtpa
Low risk project, benefits from existing site infrastructure and identical concentrator design to Aktogay I and Bozshakol
First production expected in 2021, ramp up in 2022
Adds c.80 kt of annual copper production from 2022-27 and c.60 kt from 2028 onwards
Net cash cost guidance 100-120 USc/lb1Accelerated processing reduces mine life from 56 to
27 years | Aktogay expansion project, June 2019 |
1. Net cash cost guidance in USc/lb for the period 2022-27 in 2017 US dollar terms.
26
AKTOGAY GUIDANCE SUMMARY
Net cash costs to 2027 expected to be maintained at 100-120 USc/lb1
Operating cost efficiencies from larger scale mining operations offset the effect of accelerated grade decline, as processing volumes are brought forward
Sustaining capital expenditure estimated to increase from $30-$40 million to $50-$60 million per annum from 2022
Copper processing grade profile2 | |
12 months to 31 December 2018, | 0.61% |
supergene enriched |
2019 - 2021 | c.0.50% |
Aktogay I |
2022 - 2027 | c.0.40% |
Aktogay I and Aktogay II |
Life of mine sulphide | 0.33% |
resource grade |
1. 2017 US dollar terms.
2. Sulphide ore. | 27 |
AKTOGAY II ON SCHEDULE
H1 2019 key milestones
Grinding and flotation foundations
Progress concentrator structural steel
Commence mining fleet commissioning Commence crusher foundations
✓
✓
✓
✓
Other major project milestones | Status: | |
Permanent camp upgrade and | Commenced | |
mine maintenance facilities | ||
Overland conveyor | Commenced | |
Enclose concentrator building | Q4 2019 | Aktogay II construction, June 2019 |
Complete mill installation | 2020 | |
First ore processed | 2021 |
28
AKTOGAY II CAPEX GUIDANCE
$1.2 billion budget maintained
$100 million rephased into 2019 to further de-risk the delivery of the project
($m)
$100 million capex
brought forward
into H2 2019
2021 capex reduced by $100 million
400
277
204223
100
FY 2018A | H1 2019A | H2 2019E | 2020E | 2021E |
29
Aktogay I existing concentrator
Aktogay expansion project
Aktogay II sulphide concentrator,
June 2019
Aktogay mining fleet upgrade:
Caterpillar 793D haul truck
5. Baimskaya copper project
BAIMSKAYA PROJECT OVERVIEW
The Group acquired the Baimskaya copper project for $900 million in cash and shares in January 2019
- $675 million Initial Consideration plus Deferred Consideration of $225 million
Indicative $5.5 billion nominal capex budget 2018-261
60 Mtpa ore processing capacity, c.25 year mine life
Average annual production2of 250 kt copper and 400 koz gold, copper equivalent 330 ktpa3
First quartile net cash costs over life of mine, higher grades in first ten years of operations
Potential for resource expansion in c.1,300 sq. km licence area
Baimskaya
Baimka mineral trend and licence area
Licence area Mineral trend
Peschanka deposit
10 km
1. | In nominal terms based on 100% share of development capital expenditure, subject to confirmation in feasibility study. | 34 | |
2. | Average for first ten years of operations, based on 100% share of production. | ||
3. | Assuming analyst consensus long term copper price of 6,700 $/t and gold price of 1,300 | $/oz. |
GLOBALLY SIGNIFICANT COPPER RESOURCE
Mineral Resources (Mt copper)1 | Possible project | |
42.2 | Under construction | |
37.0 | KAZ Minerals asset | ||||||||||||||||||
27.3 | 26.7 | ||||||||||||||||||
24.1 | |||||||||||||||||||
22.0 | |||||||||||||||||||
15.2 | 15.0 | 13.6 | 13.4 | 13.0 | |||||||||||||||
10.8 | 9.5 | ||||||||||||||||||
7.7 | 7.2 | 7.1 | |||||||||||||||||
6.9 | 5.5 | ||||||||||||||||||
4.6 | |||||||||||||||||||
Kamoa | Kakula | Pebble | Resolution | Udokan | Reko Diq | La Granja | Tampakan | El Pachon | Quellaveco | Los Azules | Taca Taca | Cascabel | Baimskaya (Peschanka) | Vizcachitas | Michiquillay | Rio Blanco | Aktogay | Galore Creek | Bozshakol |
The Peschanka deposit in the Baimskaya licence area ranks in the top 10 undeveloped greenfield copper projects globally
1. Source: Company data. Mineral Resources include Measured and Indicated Resources (bottom bar) and Inferred Resources (top bar).
35
PROJECT PROGRESSING
A bankable feasibility study is being conducted by Fluor Corporation and is due to be completed in H1 2020
Preliminary discussions on financing continue
Partnering options to be assessed
Existing TASED zone expanded to include Baimskaya licence area
$80 million of capital expenditure approved for pioneer works in H2 2019:
- Camp, fuel storage, landing strip and site power infrastructure
- Total 2019 capex guidance now $150 million, including $70 million feasibility study costs
Landing strip
110 kV power line (Pevek)
Airfield access road
Pioneer works
Tailings
110 kV substation
Concentrator
Ore body
Crusher
Construction camp
220 kV
Project site plan
36
INFRASTRUCTURE BEING DELIVERED
Power
Government funded 110 kV Bilibino-Baimskaya power line on
Pevek
schedule to be completed by end of 2019, 90% of pylons erected
Floating nuclear facility 'Akademik Lomonosov' scheduled to begin
Bilibino
110 kV power
transfer from Murmansk to Pevek at the end of August 2019 220 kV Magadan power line, state financing allocated to commence construction
Road
Construction of government financed all-seasonOmolon-Anadyr highway progressing
Financing allocated for 250 km section from Baimskaya to Ilirney
Shipping
Rosatom 2024 cargo target for Northern Sea Route raised to 93 Mt
Baimskaya
220 kV power
Magadan
Copper concentrate transported by sea to Asian markets
Power
Road
Shipping
37
Pevek
Existing motor roads / winter roads with extended life
All-season"Magadan-Anadyr" highway (under construction)
All-season highway (completed)
Anadyr
100 km completed
section
Ilirney
Baimskaya
250 km Baimskaya - Ilirney construction to commence in
Omolon
2019
110 kV power line
and transformer
August 2019
Completed bridge at Ilirney
August 2019
Floating nuclear power facility
'Akademik Lomonosov' Murmansk, August 2019
6. Platform for growth
PLATFORM FOR GROWTH
KAZ Minerals continues to deliver strong operational and financial results from its high quality existing assets
Group is well equipped to navigate copper price fluctuations, with amongst the lowest operating costs of copper miners globally
Operating cash flow and new $600 million DBK financing supports investment in copper growth pipeline
Near term growth from Aktogay II is low risk and is progressing on schedule and within budget
The strengthened platform post Aktogay II start-up will support investment into the transformational Baimskaya growth project
43
APPENDIX
SUMMARY INCOME STATEMENT
Key line items | H1 2019 revenues split by product | |||||
$m (unless otherwise stated) | H1 2019 | H1 2018 | 2% | |||
Revenues | 1,052 | 1,098 | 14% | Copper | ||
Cost of sales | (533) | (533) | 3% | Zinc | ||
Gross profit | 519 | 565 | ||||
Operating profit | 410 | 464 | Gold | |||
Net finance costs | (121) | (109) | Silver | |||
Profit before taxation | 289 | 355 | ||||
Income tax expense | (62) | (79) | ||||
Profit for the period | 227 | 276 | 81% | |||
EPS based on Underlying Profit ($) - basic | 0.48 | 0.62 |
45
REVENUES AND SALES VOLUMES
Revenues
$m | H1 2019 | H1 2018 |
Copper cathode | 400 | 342 |
Copper in concentrate | 449 | 560 |
Zinc in concentrate | 31 | 60 |
Gold | 73 | 33 |
Gold in concentrate | 70 | 72 |
Silver | 17 | 19 |
Silver in concentrate | 8 | 7 |
Other | 4 | 5 |
Total revenues | 1,052 | 1,098 |
Average realised prices
H1 2019 | H1 2018 | |
Copper cathode ($/t) | 6,211 | 6,916 |
Copper in concentrate ($/t)2 | 5,616 | 6,135 |
Zinc in concentrate ($/t) | 1,801 | 2,255 |
Gold ($/oz) | 1,305 | 1,314 |
Gold in concentrate ($/oz)2 | 1,343 | 1,296 |
Silver ($/oz) | 15.1 | 16.6 |
Silver in concentrate ($/oz)2 | 15.4 | 16.1 |
Sales volumes
kt (unless otherwise stated) | H1 2019 | H1 2018 |
Copper cathode | 64 | 50 |
Copper in concentrate1 | 80 | 91 |
Zinc in concentrate1 | 17 | 27 |
Gold (koz) | 56 | 25 |
Gold in concentrate (koz)1 | 52 | 56 |
Silver (koz) | 1,124 | 1,116 |
Silver in concentrate (koz)1 | 495 | 438 |
LME and LBMA Prices
H1 2019 | H1 2018 | |
Copper ($/t) | 6,165 | 6,917 |
Zinc ($/t) | 2,732 | 3,268 |
Gold ($/oz) | 1,307 | 1,318 |
Silver ($/oz) | 15.2 | 16.7 |
1. | Payable metal in concentrate sold. | 46 |
2. | After the deduction of processing charges. | |
REVENUE RECONCILIATION
Volume growth offsets decrease in commodity prices ($m)
Volume | |||
62 | 19 | ||
1,098 | (27) | (14) | |
By-products volume | |||
($m) | |||
Gold | 33 | ||
Silver | 1 | ||
Zinc | (17) | ||
Other | 2 |
Average LME | ||
HY 2019 vs HY 2018 | ||
Commodity prices | ||
(11)% | ||
(74) | 1,052 | (16)% |
(12) | ||
Copper | Zinc |
Average LBMA
HY 2019 vs HY 2018
(1)% |
(9)% |
Revenues | Aktogay | Bozshakol East Region | By-product | Copper | By-product | Revenues | Gold | Silver | |
H1 2018 | and | volume | price | price | H1 2019 | ||||
Bozymchak |
47
CASH FLOW
$m | H1 2019 | H1 2018 | |||
EBITDA1 | 620 | 690 | |||
Working capital movements | (131) | (57) | |||
Interest paid | (117) | (112) | |||
MET and royalties paid | (97) | (111) | |||
Income tax paid | (29) | (60) | |||
Foreign exchange and other movements | 2 | (3) | |||
Net cash flows from operating activities before capital expenditure and VAT associated with major growth projects2 | 248 | 347 | |||
Sustaining capital expenditure | (66) | (39) | |||
Free Cash Flow | 182 | 308 | |||
Expansionary and new project capital expenditure | (332) | (325) | |||
Acquisition of Baimskaya copper project, net of cash acquired | (435) | - | |||
Net VAT paid/(received) associated with major growth projects2 | (12) | 3 | |||
Proceeds from disposal of property, plant and equipment | 1 | - | |||
Interest received | 12 | 14 | |||
Dividends paid | (28) | - | |||
Other investments | 45 | - | |||
Other movements | (1) | (1) | |||
Cash flow movement in net debt | (568) | (1) | |||
1. | EBITDA excludes MET, royalties and special items. | 48 | |||
2. | The difference between 'net cash flow from operating activities before capital expenditure and VAT associated with major growth projects' and 'net cash from operating activities' as | ||||
reflected on the Group cash flow statement, is the net VAT (paid)/received on the construction of the major growth projects.
SUMMARY BALANCE SHEET
Assets
$m | H1 2019 | 2018 | H1 2018 |
Non-current assets | 4,169 | 2,897 | 3,125 |
Cash and cash equivalents and current | 739 | 1,469 | 1,653 |
investments | |||
Other current assets | 786 | 674 | 670 |
Total | 5,694 | 5,040 | 5,448 |
Non-current assets
$m | H1 2019 | 2018 | H1 2018 |
Intangible assets | 6 | 6 | 7 |
Tangible assets | 3,762 | 2,562 | 2,840 |
Other non-current assets | 355 | 301 | 216 |
Deferred tax asset | 46 | 28 | 62 |
Total | 4,169 | 2,897 | 3,125 |
Equity & liabilities
$m | H1 2019 | 2018 | H1 2018 |
Equity | 1,776 | 1,054 | 1,198 |
Borrowings | 3,299 | 3,453 | 3,705 |
Other liabilities | 619 | 533 | 545 |
Total | 5,694 | 5,040 | 5,448 |
Net debt
$m | H1 2019 | 2018 | H1 2018 |
Cash and cash equivalents and current | 739 | 1,469 | 1,653 |
investments | |||
Less: restricted cash | - | (2) | - |
Borrowings | (3,299) | (3,453) | (3,705) |
Long-term | (2,759) | (2,914) | (3,187) |
Short-term | (540) | (539) | (518) |
Total | (2,560) | (1,986) | (2,052) |
49
DEBT FACILITIES
Facility | Balance1 | Undrawn | Final | Interest rate | Repayment details & covenants |
$m, 30 Jun 19 | $m, 30 Jun 19 | maturity | |||
CDB Bozshakol/ | 1,265 | - | 2025 | $ LIBOR + 4.5% | Semi-annual principal and interest payments |
Bozymchak | Balance sheet covenant | ||||
CDB Aktogay | 1,284 | - | 2029 | $ LIBOR + 4.2% | Semi-annual principal and interest payments2 |
(USD facility) | Balance sheet covenant | ||||
PBoC 5 year | |||||
(RMB facility) | |||||
DBK Aktogay I | 257 | - | 2025 | $ LIBOR + 4.5% | Semi-annual principal and interest payments |
Balance sheet covenant | |||||
DBK Aktogay II | 120 | 480 | 2034 | $ LIBOR + 3.9% | Repayments commence from 2022 |
Semi-annual principal and interest payments | |||||
Balance sheet covenant | |||||
PXF | 400 | - | 20243 | $ LIBOR + 2.50% | Monthly interest payments and principal repayments |
New $1 billion | $700m available for | Variable range | commencing from January 2021 | ||
PXF agreed on | drawing under new | 2.25% to 3.50% | Initial final maturity in December 2024, with extension | ||
facility | |||||
28 Jan 20 | options to December 2025 or December 2026 | ||||
Income statement covenant | |||||
CAT | - | - | 2023-26 | $ LIBOR + 3.00% | Quarterly principal repayments for both sub-facilities |
New $100 million | $100m available for | Variable range | from December 2020, with final maturities between | ||
facility agreed on | drawing under new | 3.00% to 4.50% | December 2023 and March 2026 | ||
facility | |||||
15 Nov 19 | Income statement covenant | ||||
1. Drawn amount excludes arrangement fees.
2. | RMB facility interest payments are quarterly. | 50 |
3. | Extendable to 2026. |
ILLUSTRATIVE DEBT REPAYMENT PROFILE
Repayment Profile1($m)
CAT | PXF2,3 | DBK Aktogay II | DBK Aktogay I | CDB Aktogay | CDB Bozshakol/Bozymchak | |||||
1000
900
800
700
600
500
400
300
200
100
0
Extension Options3
provide for repayment of $333 million in 2025-26, subject to agreement of lenders
2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030-344 |
1. Assumes all available debt facilities are fully drawn, for illustrative purposes only. Actual loan balance may vary.
2. | New $1,000 million PXF facility is expected to be fully drawn by the end of February 2020. | 51 |
3. | Extension Options are exercisable on the first and second anniversaries of signing. | |
4. | Average debt repayment per annum. |
GUIDED CAPITAL EXPENDITURE
Expansionary capex ($m)1 | ||||||||||||||
Aktogay I | Aktogay II | Bozshakol | East Region & Bozymchak | Baimskaya | Other | |||||||||
21 | 518 | |||||||||||||
460 | ||||||||||||||
127 | 60 | |||||||||||||
2 | 332 | 55 | ||||||||||||
23 | ||||||||||||||
15 | ||||||||||||||
37 | ||||||||||||||
277 | 400 | 160 | ||||||||||||
223 | 60 | |||||||||||||
32 | 38 | 100 | ||||||||||||
H1 2019A | H2 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | |||||||||||
Baimskaya's capex guidance for 2019 increased to $150 million, with $80 million approved for pioneer works and on-site infrastructure in H2 2019
Aktogay II capex rephased, with $100 million of capital expenditure into 2019 to further de-risk the delivery of the project
1. Approved projects only. Further guidance on Baimskaya will be provided following completion of the feasibility study.
52
GROUP CASH COST RECONCILIATION
$m (unless otherwise stated) | H1 2019 | H2 2018 | H1 2018 | H2 20171 | H1 20171 | 2018 | 20171 | |
Copper sales volumes (kt) | 144 | 155 | 141 | 141 | 115 | 296 | 256 | |
Revenues | 1,052 | 1,064 | 1,098 | 942 | 721 | 2,162 | 1,663 | |
EBITDA2 | (620) | (620) | (690) | (609) | (429) | (1,310) | (1,038) | |
Pre-commercial production | - | - | - | 38 | 40 | - | 78 | |
Corporate costs and other adjustments | (20) | (13) | (15) | (15) | (10) | (28) | (25) | |
TC/RCs on concentrate sales | 47 | 58 | 57 | 53 | 45 | 115 | 98 | |
Gross cash cost | 459 | 489 | 450 | 409 | 367 | 776 | ||
939 | ||||||||
Gross cash cost (USc/lb) | 144 | 143 | 145 | 132 | 144 | 144 | 138 | |
By-product credits | (203) | (187) | (194) | (201) | (205) | (381) | (406) | |
Net cash costs | 256 | 302 | 256 | 208 | 162 | 558 | 370 | |
Net cash cost (USc/lb) | 80 | 88 | 82 | 67 | 64 | 85 | 66 | |
1. | Includes the results of pre-commercial production. | 53 |
2. | EBITDA excludes MET, royalties and special items. | |
INCREASING EFFICIENCY REDUCES
ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACTS
Energy consumption (TJ / kt of ore processed) | Water withdrawal per unit of copper produced (megalitres/kt) | |||||||||
H1 2019 | 0.22 | H1 2019 | 91.7 | |||||||
2018 | 0.22 | 2018 | 145.6 | |||||||
2017 | 0.24 | 2017 | 190.4 | |||||||
2016 | 0.46 | 2016 | 212.4 | |||||||
2015 | 0.86 | 2015 | 180.7 | |||||||
CO2emissions per unit of copper (kt)
H1 2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
9.4
8.8
8.3
10.3
10.8
CO2emissions per unit of ore processed (kt) | CO2emissions per $ million revenue (t) | |||||||||||
H1 2019 | 0.050 | H1 2019 | 1,325 | |||||||||
2018 | 0.049 | 2018 | 1,203 | |||||||||
2017 | 0.051 | 2017 | 1,289 | |||||||||
2016 | 0.094 | 2016 | 1,923 | |||||||||
2015 | 0.200 | 2015 | 1,376 | |||||||||
54
TAILINGS FACILITIES
First | Expected | |||||
Facility | Type | construction | closure date | Status | ||
Bozshakol | Downstream | 2016 | 2058 | Active | ||
Aktogay | Downstream | 2017 | 2045 | Active | ||
Bozymchak | Dry stack | 2014 | 2032 | Active | ||
East Region | ||||||
Zhezkentsky | Upstream | 1989 | 2026 | Active | ||
Nikolayevsky | Upstream | 1980 | 20201 | Active | ||
Belousovsky | Upstream | 1949 | Under review | Active | ||
1. Artemyevsky mine transitioning in 2020 to in-pit tailings disposal in the Nikolayevsky open pit.
55
HIGH GROWTH PORTFOLIO
East Region & Bozymchak | Bozshakol | Aktogay I (sulphide and oxide) | Aktogay II | Baimskaya | ||
Baimskaya - long term | ||||||
Aktogay II - low risk | growth from 2026 | |||||
brownfield project, | ||||||
Bozshakol and | delivers +80 ktpa | |||||
2022-2027 | ||||||
Aktogay delivered | ||||||
>50% CAGR, | Group copper production | |||||
2015-18 | ||||||
2027-2036 of c.500 ktpa | ||||||
2015 | 2018 | 2021 | 2024 | 2027 | 2030 | 2033 | 2036 |
Notes:
Indicative production schedule, not to scale. Assumes 100% ownership, first production from Baimskaya in 2026 and ramp up from 2027. Actual construction timetable to be determined 56during feasibility study.
MINERAL RESOURCES SUMMARY - 31 DEC 2018
Artemyevsky | Irtyshsky | Orlovsky | Bozymchak | Aktogay | Aktogay | Bozshakol | Bozshakol | |||
sulphide | oxide | sulphide | clay | |||||||
Resources1(kt) | 19,9972 | 3,878 | 11,844 | 14,843 | 1,558,110 | 73,969 | 902,650 | 116,830 | ||
Copper grade (%) | 2.05 | 2.25 | 3.29 | 0.78 | 0.33 | 0.37 | 0.36 | 0.44 | ||
Zinc (%) | 4.53 | 5.28 | 4.53 | - | - | - | - | - | ||
Gold grade (g/t) | 1.03 | 0.38 | 0.86 | 1.31 | - | - | 0.14 | 0.20 | ||
Silver grade (g/t) | 94 | 92 | 46 | 8.2 | - | - | 1.1 | 1.3 | ||
Molybdenum grade (%) | - | - | - | - | 0.008 | - | 0.008 | 0.006 | ||
Type of mine | Underground | Underground | Underground | Open pit / | Open pit | Open pit | ||||
underground | ||||||||||
Concentrator | Nikolayevsky | Belousovsky | On-site | On-site | On-site | On-site | ||||
Description | Mine with | Irtyshsky has | Orlovsky is the | Bozymchak is | Large scale mine, located in East | Large scale mine, located in | ||||
polymetallic ore, | been | largest mine in | located in | Region of Kazakhstan. Commenced | Pavlodar Region of Kazakhstan. | |||||
operating since | operating | East Region by | Kyrgyzstan | production of copper cathode from | Commenced production of copper | |||||
2005 | since 2001 | copper metal in | oxide ore in December 2015 and | in concentrate from sulphide ore in | ||||||
ore extracted | copper in concentrate from sulphide | February 2016 | ||||||||
ore in February 2017 | ||||||||||
Notes: | 57 | |||||||||
1. Measured and indicated as at 31 December 2018. | ||||||||||
2. Includes Artemyevsky II expansion.
PESCHANKA DEPOSIT MINERAL RESOURCES
Measured | Indicated | Inferred | Total | |||
Mineral resources | Mt | 139 | 1,289 | 774 | 2,202 | |
Copper grade | % | 0.72 | 0.44 | 0.36 | 0.43 | |
Contained copper | Mt | 1.0 | 5.7 | 2.8 | 9.5 | |
Gold grade | g/t | 0.39 | 0.26 | 0.16 | 0.23 | |
Contained gold | Moz | 1.7 | 10.8 | 4.0 | 16.5 | |
Silver grade | g/t | 4.0 | 2.4 | 2.0 | 2.4 | |
Molybdenum grade | ppm | 140 | 120 | 90 | 110 | |
58 |
PEVEK | |||
Krasnoarmeisky | |||
Komsomolsky | |||
The Sakha Republic | |||
(Yakutia) | CHERSKY | ||
Mayskoye | |||
Polymetal | |||
Anuysk | |||
Karalveem | |||
BILIBINO | |||
Klen | Kekura | 100 km completed | |
Highland Gold | |||
Highland Gold | section | ||
Exploration & | |||
Exploration & development | |||
development | ILIRNEY | ||
Kupol | |||
Baimskaya | Kinross | ||
Kayen | |||
Highland Gold | |||
Exploration & | |||
development | |||
250 km Baimskaya - | Gold mine | ||
OMOLON | Ilirney construction to | Existing motor roads / winter roads | |
commence in 2019 | with extended life | ||
Existing winter roads | |||
All-season"Magadan-Anadyr" | |||
Magadan Region | highway (under construction) | ||
All-season highway (completed) | |||
100 | 200 | ||
km |
Valunisty
Highland Gold
ANADYR
SENIOR MANAGEMENT
Oleg Novachuk, Chair | Eldar Mamedov, General Director, KMM LLP |
Joined the Company in 2001, former Chief Executive and was | Joined the Company in 1996, former Head of Legal and |
appointed Chair on 1 January 2018, with responsibility for | was appointed as General Director of the KMM LLP in |
strategy, government relations and business development. | 2014, with responsibility for government relations, |
legal, procurement and administration. | |
Andrew Southam, Chief Executive Officer | Madina Kaparova, Group Procurement Director |
Joined the Company in 2006, former Chief Financial Officer | Joined the Company in 1998 and was appointed Group |
and was appointed Chief Executive Officer on 1 January 2018, | Procurement Director in 2016, with responsibility for |
with responsibility of executive management of the Group and | development and implementation of procurement strategy. |
leading the senior management team in the day to day running | |
of the business. | |
John Hadfield, Chief Financial Officer | Sergey Leu, General Director, Bozshakol | |
Joined KAZ Minerals in November 2017 as Deputy Chief | Joined KAZ Minerals in August 2016 as General Director | |
Financial Officer and was appointed Chief Financial Officer on | of Bozshakol with responsibility for management of | |
1 January 2018. | Bozshakol operations. | |
Mian Khalil, General Director, Projects | Ilsur Dautov, General Director, East Region | |
Joined the Company in 2010, with responsibility for | Appointed General Director of the East Region in March | |
construction of major growth projects, Aktogay and Bozshakol | 2014. Responsible for the management of East Region | |
and is currently focused on the Aktogay expansion project and | operations. | |
Baimskaya (Peschanka) copper project in Chukotka, Russia. | ||
Philip Welten, General Director, Aktogay | Ilyas Tulekeev, General Director, Bozymchak | |
Joined KAZ Minerals in 2018 as General Director of Aktogay, | Joined KAZ Minerals in 2006 and was appointed General | |
with responsibility for management of Aktogay operations. | Director of Bozymchak in 2011, with responsibility for | |
management of Bozymchak operations. | ||
60 |
RESTRUCTURING OCTOBER 2014
Disposal Assets
Copper and other metals
Coal mines
Captive Power
KAZ Minerals
Growth projects
Copper and other metals
61
KAZ Minerals PLC
6th Floor, Cardinal Place 100 Victoria Street London
SW1E 5JL
UK
www.kazminerals.com
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KAZ Minerals plc published this content on 30 January 2020 and is solely responsible for the information contained therein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 30 January 2020 16:04:01 UTC