Stock HOLM B HOLMEN AB
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Financials Holmen AB

Equities

HOLM B

SE0011090018

Paper Products

Market Closed - Nasdaq Stockholm
Other stock markets
 11:29:59 2024-04-29 EDT 		5-day change 1st Jan Change
425 SEK +1.53% Intraday chart for Holmen AB +2.11% -0.16%
11:20am HOLMEN : Another Forest-driven quarter plus other divisional positives Alphavalue
04-26 Transcript : Holmen AB, Q1 2024 Earnings Call, Apr 26, 2024

Valuation

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Capitalization 1 46,625 64,702 70,968 67,509 67,704 67,489 - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 50,409 68,883 75,069 69,654 69,573 69,763 69,916 68,620
P/E ratio 5.42 x 32.3 x 23.5 x 11.4 x 18.5 x 22.1 x 20.5 x 18.7 x
Yield - 1.84% 1.73% 1.93% 2% 2.53% 2.85% 3.26%
Capitalization / Revenue 2.75 x 3.96 x 3.64 x 2.82 x 2.97 x 2.9 x 2.92 x 2.81 x
EV / Revenue 2.97 x 4.22 x 3.85 x 2.91 x 3.05 x 3 x 3.02 x 2.86 x
EV / EBITDA 14.5 x 18.9 x 14.1 x 8.09 x 11.4 x 13.2 x 12.4 x 11.4 x
EV / FCF 27.8 x 153 x 51.6 x 17.1 x 17 x 28.8 x 29.3 x 24.3 x
FCF Yield 3.59% 0.65% 1.94% 5.86% 5.89% 3.48% 3.41% 4.12%
Price to Book 1.21 x 1.5 x 1.5 x 1.18 x 1.2 x 1.17 x 1.14 x 1.1 x
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 161,926 161,926 161,926 162,002 159,222 159,222 - -
Reference price 2 285.2 393.6 434.7 413.9 425.7 425.0 425.0 425.0
Announcement Date 20-01-30 21-02-05 22-01-28 23-01-31 24-01-31 - - -
1SEK in Million2SEK
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net sales 1 16,959 16,327 19,479 23,952 22,795 23,262 23,117 23,989
EBITDA 1 3,486 3,651 5,322 8,607 6,114 5,303 5,625 6,019
EBIT 1 2,345 2,479 4,061 7,262 4,755 3,870 4,256 4,631
Operating Margin 13.83% 15.18% 20.85% 30.32% 20.86% 16.64% 18.41% 19.3%
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 11,081 2,437 3,691 7,441 4,705 3,825 4,211 4,431
Net income 1 8,731 1,979 3,004 5,874 3,697 3,047 3,318 3,617
Net margin 51.48% 12.12% 15.42% 24.52% 16.22% 13.1% 14.35% 15.08%
EPS 2 52.60 12.20 18.50 36.30 23.00 19.23 20.77 22.70
Free Cash Flow 1 1,812 451 1,454 4,083 4,099 2,425 2,384 2,825
FCF margin 10.68% 2.76% 7.46% 17.05% 17.98% 10.42% 10.31% 11.78%
FCF Conversion (EBITDA) 51.98% 12.35% 27.32% 47.44% 67.04% 45.73% 42.38% 46.93%
FCF Conversion (Net income) 20.75% 22.79% 48.4% 69.51% 110.87% 79.59% 71.85% 78.1%
Dividend per Share 2 - 7.250 7.500 8.000 8.500 10.75 12.13 13.85
Announcement Date 20-01-30 21-02-05 22-01-28 23-01-31 24-01-31 - - -
1SEK in Million2SEK
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)

Fiscal Period: December 2021 Q4 2022 Q1 2022 Q2 2022 Q3 2022 Q4 2023 Q1 2023 Q2 2023 Q3 2023 Q4 2024 Q1 2024 Q2 2024 Q3 2024 Q4 2025 Q1 2025 Q2
Net sales 1 4,770 5,750 6,173 5,784 6,245 6,223 5,754 5,418 5,400 5,720 5,832 5,810 5,900 6,478 6,122
EBITDA 1 1,500 1,949 2,434 2,258 1,965 2,080 1,471 1,505 1,059 1,300 1,299 1,335 1,399 1,531 1,563
EBIT 1 1,185 1,617 2,101 1,921 1,622 1,737 1,138 1,166 714 944 952.3 988.4 1,053 1,186 1,220
Operating Margin 24.84% 28.12% 34.04% 33.21% 25.97% 27.91% 19.78% 21.52% 13.22% 16.5% 16.33% 17.01% 17.84% 18.31% 19.93%
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 996 1,844 2,083 1,905 1,608 1,727 1,129 1,148 702 938 916.3 1,001 955.9 - -
Net income 1 868 1,483 1,642 1,482 1,268 1,371 890 898 538 744 740.8 766.5 818.4 927 954
Net margin 18.2% 25.79% 26.6% 25.62% 20.3% 22.03% 15.47% 16.57% 9.96% 13.01% 12.7% 13.19% 13.87% 14.31% 15.58%
EPS 2 5.400 9.200 10.10 9.100 7.800 8.500 5.500 5.600 3.400 4.700 4.770 4.520 5.590 - -
Dividend per Share - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Announcement Date 22-01-28 22-04-28 22-08-19 22-10-20 23-01-31 23-04-28 23-08-17 23-10-25 24-01-31 24-04-26 - - - - -
1SEK in Million2SEK
Estimates

Balance Sheet Analysis

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net Debt 1 3,784 4,181 4,101 2,145 1,869 2,275 2,427 1,131
Net Cash position 1 - - - - - - - -
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.085 x 1.145 x 0.7706 x 0.2492 x 0.3057 x 0.429 x 0.4315 x 0.1879 x
Free Cash Flow 1 1,812 451 1,454 4,083 4,099 2,425 2,384 2,825
ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) 7.8% 4.8% 7% 11% 7% 5.32% 5.71% 6.18%
ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) 3.72% 3.25% 4.6% 7.82% 4.59% 3.7% 4.1% 4.8%
Assets 1 234,875 60,941 65,321 75,115 80,577 82,344 80,936 75,356
Book Value Per Share 2 237.0 262.0 289.0 352.0 354.0 365.0 373.0 386.0
Cash Flow per Share 2 17.40 15.10 19.90 33.90 36.10 26.20 28.50 29.50
Capex 1 1,072 2,006 1,775 1,401 1,706 2,138 2,016 1,700
Capex / Sales 6.32% 12.29% 9.11% 5.85% 7.48% 9.19% 8.72% 7.09%
Announcement Date 20-01-30 21-02-05 22-01-28 23-01-31 24-01-31 - - -
1SEK in Million2SEK
Estimates

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Ratings for Holmen AB

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
B
More Ratings

Analysts' Consensus

Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
5
Last Close Price
418.6 SEK
Average target price
432.8 SEK
Spread / Average Target
+3.39%
Consensus

EPS Revisions

Estimates Revisions

Quarterly earnings - Rate of surprise

Company calendar

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