Projected Income Statement: Deckers Outdoor Corporation

Forecast Balance Sheet: Deckers Outdoor Corporation

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 -1,089 -844 -982 -1,235 -1,889 -1,589 -2,075 -2,270
Change - 22.5% -16.35% -25.76% -52.96% 15.89% -30.59% -9.4%
Announcement Date 5/20/21 5/19/22 5/25/23 5/23/24 5/22/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Deckers Outdoor Corporation

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 32.22 51.02 81.02 89.36 86.17 105.2 108.5 122
Change - 58.35% 58.82% 10.29% -3.57% 22.07% 3.11% 12.47%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 564 121.3 456.4 943.8 958.4 1,043 1,010 1,114
Change - -78.49% 276.14% 106.8% 1.54% 8.8% -3.09% 10.2%
Announcement Date 5/20/21 5/19/22 5/25/23 5/23/24 5/22/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Deckers Outdoor Corporation

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 21.4% 19.29% 19.31% 22.97% 25.04% 24.14% 23.25% 23.35%
EBIT Margin (%) 19.81% 17.93% 18% 21.63% 23.65% 22.8% 21.9% 22.03%
EBT Margin (%) 19.7% 17.92% 18.36% 22.83% 24.94% 23.94% 22.87% 22.96%
Net margin (%) 15.03% 14.35% 14.25% 17.71% 19.38% 18.46% 17.64% 17.75%
FCF margin (%) 22.16% 3.85% 12.58% 22.01% 19.22% 19.18% 17.38% 17.85%
FCF / Net Income (%) 147.42% 26.85% 88.31% 124.26% 99.2% 103.89% 98.52% 100.58%

Profitability

        
ROA 19.46% 20.09% 21.14% 26.69% 28.81% 26.68% 23.85% 24.45%
ROE 29.61% 30.3% 31.28% 39.22% 41.82% 39.18% 34.55% 32.4%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 1.27% 1.62% 2.23% 2.08% 1.73% 1.93% 1.87% 1.96%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 5.91% 8.4% 11.56% 9.07% 6.9% 8.01% 8.02% 8.37%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 5.71% 42.05% 17.75% 9.47% 8.99% 10.09% 10.73% 10.95%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 3.498 1.034 3.356 11.61 6.842 7.969 8.093 9.22
Change - -70.45% 224.7% 245.92% -41.07% 16.48% 1.56% 13.92%
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - -
Book Value Per Share 1 8.579 9.229 11.24 13.72 16.46 17.58 22.64 27.56
Change - 7.58% 21.82% 22.07% 19.94% 6.81% 28.78% 21.71%
EPS 1 2.245 2.71 3.228 4.86 6.33 6.882 7.315 8.113
Change - 20.71% 19.13% 50.54% 30.25% 8.72% 6.29% 10.91%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 169,020 163,448 158,156 154,009 151,774 141,950 141,950 141,950
Announcement Date 5/20/21 5/19/22 5/25/23 5/23/24 5/22/25 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 15.7x 14.8x
PBR 6.15x 4.78x
EV / Sales 2.53x 2.28x
Yield - -

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AAA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
25
Last Close Price
108.14USD
Average target price
128.52USD
Spread / Average Target
+18.85%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. DECK Stock
  4. Financials Deckers Outdoor Corporation