Azimut Group
Analyst Update
Montecarlo, January 9th 2020
Value creation amongst other Italian financials
Share price performance since IPO vs. Italian financials
Perf. Total Return | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
800 | AZIMUT | 506% | 1023% | |||||||||||||||||||||
FINECO | 179% | 227% | ||||||||||||||||||||||
MEDIOLANUM | 72% | 243% | ||||||||||||||||||||||
700 | MEDIOBANCA | 2% | 79% | |||||||||||||||||||||
GENERALI | -15% | 50% | ||||||||||||||||||||||
600 | INTESA SANPAOLO | -25% | 64% | |||||||||||||||||||||
FTSE MIB | -14% | 54% | ||||||||||||||||||||||
500 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
400 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
300 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
200 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
100 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
2004 | 2005 | 2006 | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | |||||||||
AZM IM Equity | BMED IM Equity | FBK IM Equity | ISP IM Equity | G IM Equity | MB IM Equity | FTSEMIB Index | ||||||||||||||||||
Source: Bloomberg at 8/01/2020
2
Value created for long term shareholders
One of the best success stories in the Italian market
Media Società
FTSE MIB
Total Return | +54% | +1023% |
1° Best total return stock amongst all financials within FTSE MIB since 2004
3° Best Total Return stock among all FTSE MIB members from 2004
Fonte: Bloomberg
Source: Bloomberg at 08/01/2020.
3
Azimut Net Weighted Average Performance to clients
2019: +8.5% net weighted average performance to clients, above industry
10,00% | ||||||
9,00% | ||||||
8,00% | ||||||
7,00% | ||||||
6,00% | ||||||
5,00% | ||||||
4,00% | ||||||
3,00% | ||||||
2,00% | ||||||
1,00% | ||||||
0,00% | ||||||
-1,00% | ||||||
Dec-18 | Jan-19 | Feb-19Mar-19Apr-19May-19Jun-19 | Jul-19Aug-19 | Sep-19 | Oct-19 | Nov-19 |
Azimut Net WAP | Risk Free |
Source: Company data at 31/12/2019 and Bloomberg | 4 |
Italian industry: FIDMGEND. Risk free: MTSIBOTR Index. | |
Italy Private Markets Update
Investment Fund | Type | Country | Size (€M) | AuM Today | ||
(€M) | ||||||
IPO CLUB | PE | ITA | 150 | 150 | ||
ANTARES AZ1 | PD | ITA | 128 | 128 | ||
Currently | CORPORATE CASH | PD | ITA | 50 | 50 | |
Managed | FINANCE FOR FOOD | PE | ITA | 150 | 85 | |
FSI | PE | ITA | 70 | 70 | ||
CORPORATE CASH PLUS | PD | LUX | 250 | 250 | ||
DEMOS 1 | PE | ITA | 350 | 140 | ||
GLOBALINVEST | PE (FoF) | ITA | 300 | 40 | ||
Under fund | ITA 500 | PE (VC) | ITA | 40 | ||
raising / | ||||||
PRIVATE DEBT (reopening) | PD | ITA | 50 | |||
lauching phase | ||||||
ESG (ELTIF) [under approval] | PE / PD | ITA | 200 | |||
OPHELIA (ELTIF LUX) [under approval] | PE | LUX | 200 | |||
Being defined | Equity - 3 projects | PE | 400-500 | |||
(late 20-early | Debt - 5 projects | PD | 1.400-1.500 | |||
21) | Real Assets - 2 projects | Real Assets | 800-900 | |||
Total AUM
(€M)
€0.7-0.8
bln
€1.1-1.2
bln
€2.6-2.9
bln
PE = Private Equity ; PD = Private Debt
Real Estate: A new c. € 800m fund dedicated to Real Estate and Social Infrastructure (ESG compliant) lead by Andrea Cornetti, previously General Manager of Prelios SGR
Source: Company Data
5
Italy Private Markets Update
Commitment over € 1 bn AUM
Club Deal: 6 0 mln €
6 5 0 0 * | 2 8 4 | 2 5 0 | Italian Wine Brands |
Pharmanatura | |||
clients | investiments | ||
Digital Value
EdtechX
60 mln€
1 2 7 | 1 5 0 | 140 |
1 2 0 | ||
IPOC3
Club Deal Project Steel
Club Deal Project Pack
8 5 | ||||||||||||||||||
7 0 | ||||||||||||||||||
5 6 | ||||||||||||||||||
5 0 | ||||||||||||||||||
40 | ||||||||||||||||||
Private equity | Private debt | IPO Club | Private debt | Demos 1 | GlobALInvest | Corporate | Corporate | Finance for | Other | |||||||||
Institutional | Institutional | Retail | Cash Plus | Cash | Food | (Start up) | ||||||||||||
N°Clients | 9 | 1 9 | 1 5 5 | 2.140 | 4 . 3 0 4 | 6 0 | 4 0 | 2 1 | 1 1 | 1 2 . 0 0 0 | ||||||||
N°Investiments | 7 | 1 4 | 9 | - | F u n d i n g | F u n d i n g | - | 2 0 | - | 2 3 4 | ||||||||
p h a s e | p h a s e |
+115 . 3% | +7 2 % | + 8 0 % | New Entry |
From 18 July 2017 | From 8 November | From December | Aerospace Technologies |
2018 | 2014 |
+ 100%** | +469%*** | +2 . 608%** |
Turnover growth since | Turnover growth | |
From the first half of | 2015 | since 2016 |
2013 | ||
Data as of December 2019. Source: AGC and Mamacrowd.
* Excluding Other (Start up). ** Estimated value at fair market6 value 29. *** Company operations P101
Italy Private Markets Update
Venture Capital Fund - Italia 500
Asset Allocation
• Seed
Investment type • Early Stage
• Late Stage
Target Fund Size | • EUR 40 million |
Min. subscription | • EUR 5.000 |
amount | |
• 10 years | |
Tenor | (possibly |
extendable) |
Start-up | Later |
Stage | |
Source: Company Data
7
2019: Inflows & AUM
Strong growth in AUM thanks to solid inflows & good performance delivery to clients
Total Assets breakdown (€bn)
Italy | International * | Total Assets reaching all time high at | |
* | |||
€59.1bn |
c. 2x | 59.1 | |||
50.4 | 50.8 | |||
43.6 | 17,1 | |||
36.7 | 12,5 | 13,8 | ||
7,7 | ||||
4,3 | ||||
30.0 | ||||
2,1 |
Net Inflows in 2019 at €4.6bn, almost entirely organic, from both Italy and International
Italy on an organic basis is 130% higher than 2018
International continues to contribute
thanks to global diversification
Net Performance above industry : +8.5%
Organic (ex. M&A) Net Inflows (€bn):
32,4
27,9
35,937,937,0
4.1
42,0
3,5
2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2018 | 2019 |
Source: Company data | 8 |
Note*: through AZ International Holdings | |
The record year at the end of a challenging plan
Estimated Revenues
Estimated
Net Profit
Cumulative Dividend 2015-2019E
2019 Target | 2019E Preview |
- € 1.00 - 1.03bn
- 300mn € 360-370mn
>75% | ≥ 7.8 p.s. |
Payout | (≥ 90% Payout) |
>60% |
2019 Highlights
- € 50mn recurring profit per quarter
- Strong International EBITDA growth
- HQ restructured, regaining efficiency
- Reorganization of Asset Management portfolio
- Performance to clients and stakeholders
- Flat SG&A 2019 vs. 2018
Source: Company data | 9 |
International Business: 2019 showing further improving trends
EBITDA keeps on growing at a significantly higher pace than Assets
Total Assets (€bn)
20 | |||||||
16 | |||||||
12 | |||||||
8 | |||||||
4 | |||||||
0 | |||||||
2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 |
EBITDA(2) (€mln) | |||||||
60 | |||||||
50 | |||||||
40 | |||||||
30 | |||||||
20 | |||||||
10 | |||||||
0 | |||||||
2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 |
Total Revenues(1) (€mln) | |||||||
160 | |||||||
120 | |||||||
80 | |||||||
40 | |||||||
0 | |||||||
2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 |
EBITDA Margin | |||||||
40% | |||||||
30% | |||||||
20% | |||||||
10% | |||||||
0% | |||||||
2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 |
Source: Company data.
Note (1): Revenues `reclassified as per management accounts. Note (2): 10 EBITDA reclassified as per management accounts, excluding one-offs`
Macro-area update: Americas
Consolidated leading presence in Latam, growing in Distribution and Private Markets in the US
New York (AACP)
Miami
Mexico
Brazil
Chile
Asset Management
Distribution
Private Markets
2019 Total Assets | €6.1bn |
2019 Net Inflows | €0.8bn |
Brazil:
Best in class portfolio management team focusing on Equities, Long/Short, Macro, Fixed Income, Credit, Arbitrage, Impact and Private Pension funds
Proprietary distribution focused on Wealth Management
Chile:
Marketing of UCITS funds to local investors and future upgrade into AM license
Mexico:
Largest independent distribution network
Growing in local AM, currently 3 onshore mutual funds
USA:
AUM and clients on-boarding under way. Synergies with Brazilian operations yet to be fully exploited
Launched AACP to acquire minority GP stakes in Private Equity and Private Credit
11
11
Macro-area update: Europe & Middle East (ex-Italy)
Steady growth in Europe, market leader in Turkey and further upside from the MENA region
Ireland
Luxembourg
Switzerland
Turkey
Monaco
Egypt
UAE
Asset Management
2019 Total Assets | €4.8bn |
2019 Net Inflows | €0.6bn |
Switzerland:
Consolidating local managers, growing an independent platform
U.A.E.:
Developing an integrated platform in Dubai and Abu Dhabi
Turkey:
Operating since 2012, leading independent asset manager with a 5% market share
Manager of one of the largest global sukuk funds in the world
Monaco:
Doubled AUM in 5 years, targeting UHNWI
DistributionEgypt:
Entering in the Egyptian market acquiring a leading | |
independent player | 12 |
12
Macro-area update: Asia-Pacific
Market leader in Australia, while focusing on growth and scale in other geographies
Shanghai
Taiwan
Hong Kong
Singapore
2019 Total Assets | €6.1bn |
2019 Net Inflows | €1.0bn |
Asia:
China/HK:
Granted Private Fund Manager license: first amongst eurozone asset managers
Taipei:
Expanded scope, including FAs and insurance brokerage Singapore:
Scaling up WM capabilities, focus on managing local products & distributing to HNW and Family Offices
Australia:
Asset Management Distribution
Australia
Developing local production through Sigma funds management attracting top tier institutional investors
Expanded considerably AZ NGA franchise through M&A and organic growth. JV activity to continue in 2018
Sestante: launch of own funds ongoing
13
13
Case Study: XP
A snapshot on how a similar platform to Azimut Brazil is currently valued by the market
XP | Azimut Brazil | |||||||
2019E Net Flows | • | R$ 90bn | • | R$ 5bn | ||||
Latest AUM | • | R$ 350bn | • | R$ 25bn | ||||
2019 #Clients | • | 1,200,000 | • | 150,000 | ||||
FY 2019 Net Profit | • | R$ 925m | • ca. R$ 55m | |||||
FY 2020 P/E | ∼66x | |||||||
FY 2021 P/E | ∼42x | |||||||
Market Cap | • | R$ 85.2bn | • …? | |||||
Fonte: Company data.
14
Updated Sum Of The Parts of the International Business
According to market multiples & precedents, foreign business could be worth ca. € 1.5 - 2 bn
- m
Australia | ∼ 800 - 1000 | IRR(1): +28% |
CoC: 5.5x | ||
Brazil | ∼ 500 - 700 | |
Switzerland and | ∼ 100 - | |
Monaco | 200 | |
Others | ∼ 125 - | |
150 | ||
Total International | 1.5 - 2.0 | |
Operations (€bn) | ||
Market Cap* | 3.1 | |
Azimut (€bn) | ||
Source: Company Data, Bloomberg, market multiples & selected | 15 |
precedent transactions. Note*: at 08/1/2020. | |
Note (1): assuming a 2011 start, total investments of €317mln, €1.75bn as of today
Being big does not mean being better ... on the contrary
Bn local currencies
Net Inflows 2019E % AuM 2018 Net Income 2019E NI/AuM 2019
4.6 | 9.1% | 0.37 | 0.62% | |
Blackrock | 385.6 | 7.0% | 3.88 | 0.06% |
Amundi - Pionner | 39.7 | 2.8% | 0.95 | 0.06% |
Schroders | 23.4 | 5.6% | 0.64 | 0.12% |
DWS | 18.3 | 2.7% | 0.42 | 0.06% |
Man Group | -2.1 | -2.2% | 0.21 | 0.20% |
Janus Henderson | -25.1 | -7.4% | 0.42 | 0.13% |
Invesco | -25.7 | -2.9% | 1.02 | 0.10% |
Franklin Templeton | -28.7 | -4.6% | 1.08 | 0.17% |
Standard Life Aberdeen | -70.3 | -12.4% | 0.54 | 0.09% |
Average Peers | -1.3% | 0.11% | ||
Delta Average | 10.3% | 0.51% |
6x |
Source: Company Data, Factset.
16
US Private Markets initiative (1/3)
Azimut Alternative Capital Partners ("AACP"): the project
Newco set up to build a next generation, diversified and
- multi-affiliateinvestment firm acquiring initially minority GP stakes in alternative asset managers
| Initial focus on U.S. Private Credit, Private Equity, |
Infrastructure and RE | |
Access to strong and consistent cash flow generation delivered at the GP level, further enhanced in AACP
given greater diversification and lean cost base
Focus on large, growing and at the same time under-
- shopped segment of sub USD 3bn alternative managers with high current positive EBITDA
Team
Jeffry Brown: previously
one of the first Managing Directors at
DyalCapital (Neuberger Berman),one of the leading minority stake investors in alternative managers.
Prior to Dyal, senior roles
at Bear Stearns AM and MS AM.
Executed over 50
transactions on $135bn
in AUM, including 33 GP
stakes.
Other key senior
managers already
identified joining shortly
Source: Company data
17
US Private Markets initiative (2/3)
The Structure
Azimut
Alternative
Capital Partners
("AACP")
Permanent capital supporting growth and/or generational change
25%-49% | 25%-49% | ||
Private | Private | ||
Credit GP | Equity GP | ||
Consistent, high quality EBITDA cash flow from predictable recurring fees and further upside from carried interest / performance fees. Potentially additional products/capacity for our clients worldwide
25%-49%
Infrastruct. /
Real Estate
GP
Azimut targets
$ 7 billion pro-rata AUM
(in excess of $ 20 billion gross AUM) in 10 years
Funded through a
meaningful equity
commitment by Azimut
together with additional (local) leverage and retained earnings
Target to acquire ca. 10
alternative asset
managers, diversified across Private Credit, Private Equity and at a
later stage Real Estate/Infrastructure
Highly positive EBITDA generation of underlying managers
Source: Company data
18
US Private Markets initiative (3/3)
Significant addressable Market…
# of Alternative | AACP | |||
Managers | 1,500 | Target Market | ||
300 | ||||
257 | ||||
AuM | 54 | |||
<$3bn | AuM | |||
AuM | ||||
AuM | <$3bn | |||
>$3bn | ||||
>$3bn | ||||
Private Equity | Private Credit |
… With very limited competition
Source: Company data
19
Where are the others going?
20
Azimut and ESG
The history of Azimut Group in the sustainability context
1995 Launched In Italy Azimut Solidarietà (today Azimut Solidity), the first Italian ethical investment fund that donates part of its returns to charity.
2014 |
2016 |
2019 |
In Luxembourg, launched the AZ Multi Asset Sustainable Hybrid Bonds segment, dedicated
to foreign institutional customers (open to Italian retail clients in Italy from 2019). The first ESG compliant fund investing in hybrid bonds in Europe.
Launched In Italy the Luxembourg multi-asset segment AZ Multi Asset Sustainable Absolute Return
AZ Multi-Asset Sustainable Absolute Return becomes AZ Multi Asset Sustainable Equity Trend. Activated the personalized service for the transfer of proceeds to non-profit organizations / foundations, making the product one of the first in Italy to offer this service.
Launched in Brazil the AZ Quest Azimut Impacto fund financing social impact initiatives
(dedicated to environment, education and community development). It is the first fund
launched in Brazil accessible to retail investors, allowing investors to participate in social impact initiatives.
Launched in Italy the Luxemburg fund AZ Equity - Global ESG.
Launched in Egypt the ATAA Fund, charitable fund assisting people with disabilities. It is the first of its kind in Egypt.
Azimut Sustainable project involving the AZ Fund Management SA product range
Fonte: Company data.
21
Azimut and ESG
Attention to sustainability in Italy
1995 - Azimut Solidity
In 1995, launched Azimut Solidarietà (today Azimut Solidity) the first Italian ethical investment fund donating part of its returns to charity.
The Fund has 8 partners engaged in social and humanitarian activities (Unicef, Missioni Don Bosco,
Fondazione Exodus, Missionari Comboniani, Gaslini among the others). Its investors can choose one or more as recipients of the proceeds.
Azimut also contributes by donating part of its commission directly to the partners, proportionately to the choices of the investors.
2016 - AZ Multi Asset Sustainable Equity Trend
Since 2016, AZ Multi Asset Sustainable Equity Trend has enabled Group customers to identify and select the charity entities that they consider "most active" in their regions and to donate them the income generated by their investments.
This initiative has also allowed the creation and development of active synergies between the Financial Advisors of Azimut Capital Management and the local foundations / non-profit organizations, through events, conferences, presentations, exhibitions, etc.
More than 45 non-profit organizations / foundations selected and involved in the project;
Some examples of the most funded non-profit organizations / foundations: Associazione Piano Terra Onlus (Lazio) - Slums Dunk (Lombardia / Triveneto), Queen of Piece (Lombardia).
Fonte: Company data.
22
Azimut and ESG
Azimut Sustainable Initiatives
At the level of AZ Fund Management product range, the main interventions will be:
Q4
2019
2020Q1
On
Going
The integration of ESG principles in the investment process and risk management thanks to the creation of an internal ESG rating. Target to reach €7bn (ca. 30% of the entire AZ Fund Management assets) by end- 2019 has been surpassed and is now at €9bn. These assets are invested in companies with a BBB rating or above, based on the ESG criterias of MSCI.
The creation of a line of full SRI sectors and thematic products
The establishment of a Sustainability Committee within the Investment Department.
This is the largest intervention ever made in Italy
in terms of converting investments to ESG
Fonte: Company data.
23
2020: updated guidance
Main Trends for 2020 | Upgraded guidance 2020 (under normal market conditions) |
Recurring Revenues | |
Italy | |
International | |
Private Markets | |
Variable Fees | ? |
Distribution costs (as % of Recurring Revenues) | |
Rebate | |
Recurring Revenues | |
Overheads | |
Fixed costs | +/-5% vs. 2019(1) |
Net Profit Floor at
- 300 mn
Source: Company data.
24
(1) Excluding any extraordinary operations
Contacts
Investor Relations Contacts
Vittorio Pracca
Tel. +39.02.8898.5853
Email: vittorio.pracca@azimut.it
Galeazzo Cornetto Bourlot
Tel. +39.02.8898.5066
Email: galeazzo.cornetto@azimut.it
www.azimut-group.com
Disclaimer - Safe harbour statement
This document has been issued by Azimut Holding just for information purposes. No reliance may be placed for any purposes whatsoever on the information contained in this document, or on its completeness, accuracy or fairness. Although care has been taken to ensure that the facts stated in this presentation are accurate, and that the opinions expressed are fair and reasonable, the contents of this presentation have not been verified by independent auditors, or other third parties.
Accordingly, no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made or given by or on behalf of the Company, or any of its members, directors, officers or employees or any other person. The Company and its subsidiaries, or any of their respective members, directors, officers or employees nor any other person acting on behalf of the Company accepts any liability whatsoever for any loss howsoever arising from any use of this presentation or its contents or otherwise arising in connection therewith.
The information in this document might include forward-looking statements which are based on current expectations and projections about future events. These forward-looking statements are subject to risks, uncertainties and assumptions about the Company and its subsidiaries and investments, including, among other things, the development of its business, trends in its operating industry, and future capital expenditures and acquisitions. In light of these risks, uncertainties and assumptions, the events in the forward-looking statements may not occur. No one undertakes to publicly update or revise any such forward-looking statement.
The information and opinions contained in this presentation are provided as at the date of this presentation and are subject to change without notice.
Any forward-looking information contained herein has been prepared on the basis of a number of assumptions which may prove to be incorrect and, accordingly, actual results may vary. This document does not constitute an offer or invitation to purchase or subscribe for any shares and/or investment products mentioned and no part of it shall form the basis of or be relied upon in connection with any contract or commitment whatsoever.
The information herein may not be reproduced or published in whole or in part, for any purpose, or distributed to any other party. By accepting this document you agree to be bound by the foregoing limitations.
The Officer in charge of the preparation of Azimut Holding SpA accounting documents, Alessandro Zambotti (CFO), declares according to art.154bis co.2 D.lgs. 58/98 of the Consolidated Law of Finance, that the financial information herein included, corresponds to the records in the company's books.
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Azimut Holding S.p.A. published this content on 09 January 2020 and is solely responsible for the information contained therein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 09 January 2020 11:42:02 UTC