Avanco Resources (ASX: AVB)
26 May 2017
Suite 3, 257 York Street
Subiaco, WA 6008 Australia.
PO Box 1726
West Perth, WA 6872, Australia
Tel: +61 8 9324 1865
Fax: +61 8 9200 1850
Contacts:
Nicholas Bias
Head of Corporate Affairs nbias@avancoresources.com Tel: +61 (0)497 888 227
+44 (0)7771 450 679
For the latest news:
www.avancoresources.com
Directors: Colin Jones Tony Polglase Simon Mottram Luis Azevedo Vern Tidy
Luiz Ferraz Paul Chapman
Management: Wayne Phillips Scott Funston Nicholas Bias Otávio Monteiro
POSITIVE PRE-FEASIBILITY STUDY FOR PEDRA BRANCA - DEFINITIVE FEASIBILITY STUDY COMMENCEDAvanco is pleased to announce conclusive and positive results from the Pedra Branca East Pre-Feasibility Study, facilitating the immediate start of a Definitive Feasibility Study to advance the Project.
Pedra Branca East will add 24,000 tonnes of annual copper production, with the option for a further 10,000 tonnes from Pedra Branca West. With 14,000 tonnes of annual production already being forecast from the operating Antas Mine, this will help Avanco realise it's ambition of becoming the next mid-tier copper producer.
HIGHLIGHTS
- Pre-Feasibility Study (PFS)1 demonstrates the viability of a large-scale standalone underground mining operation at Pedra Branca East (PBE)2.
- Financial modelling3 of the PFS findings provide sufficient confidence for Company to commence infill drilling for reserve definition, as part of the Definitive Feasibility Study (DFS)
-
PFS main conclusions:
- 1.2Mtpa production for 24,000t Cu and 16,000oz Au per annum4,5
- NPV7 estimated at $200 million with a 34% IRR6,7,8
- Estimated $368 million LOM9 net cash flow
- Pre-production CapEx $158 million10
- Estimated C1 costs, approximately $1.30/lb10 assuming a conservative copper prices of $2.65 to $2.95/lb and BRL:USD rate of 3.20.
- Surface infrastructure is mostly in place, including Access roads, by- pass road around Vila Feitosa, Office complex, facilities and communications, and ROM pad
1
PEDRA BRANCA - PRE-FEASIBILITY STUDYPedra Branca is Avanco's second and much larger project, located ~50km (straight line) southwest of the producing Antas Mine. Pedra Branca comprises two adjacent high grade, steeply dipping copper-gold deposits, East and West (PBE and PBW). PBE is the subject of the current study and the results are considered very positive.
Key outputs from financial modelling of the full-scale development at PBE are:-
1.2Mtpa production for 24,000t Cu (19,200t Cu to 28,800t Cu) and 16,000oz Au (12,800oz Au to 19,200oz Au) per annum4,5
NPV7 ~US$200M (~US$160M to ~US$240M) and IRR 34%6,7,8 (28% to41%)
- ~US$368 million LOM9 net cash flow (~US$309M to ~US$463M)
- Pre-production CAPEX US$158M10
C1 cost ~US$1.30/lb10
The PBE Pre-Feasibility Study was completed to an overall ±20% level of accuracy.ASX Chapter 5 Compliance and Cautionary Statement
The information and production target presented herein is based on a Pre-Feasibility Study where Reserves have not been declared, thus there is no assurance of economic development and for the findings of this study to be realised. The production target referred to is based on Mineral Resources which are classified 19% Measured, 55% Indicated, and 26% Inferred. There is a low level of geological confidence associated with Inferred Resources, and there is no certainty that further exploration work will result in the determination of Indicated Resources, or that the production target itself will be realised. All JORC modifying factors have been sufficiently considered, including: mining studies, underground designs, processing studies, laboratory scale metallurgical testwork, conceptual engineering and infrastructure assessments. Capital and operating costs, where applicable, are based on actual costs from the Company's nearby Antas Mine. Third party accredited consultants have been used to complete or have contributed to the majority of technical aspects of the study and independent peer reviews, with the remainder of the work completed by Company technical staff. These studies support the assumptions that have been made in the Pre-Feasibility Study. The Company has concluded it has a reasonable basis for providing the forward-looking statements included in this ASX Release. The Company also believes it has a reasonable basis to expect to be able to fund a Definitive Feasibility and any early decline development from existing cash reserves. Subject to additional financing it is also reasonable to expect that the full scale Pedra Branca East Project will be developed in the future. Please refer to Annexures A to E for further information. All material assumptions on which the forecast financial information is based are set out in this announcement. PEDRA BRANCA EAST - PRE-FEASIBILITY STUDYIn 2016 the Company announced the results of the PBE Scoping Study11. This exercise studied development of a 1.2Mtpa standalone operation in the East producing 24,000tpa of copper in concentrates. The Study included the option of an initial small scale "Development Stage" scenario wherein the Hanging Wall High Grade Zone12 would be exploited and trucked to Antas
In late 2016 the early development stage option became redundant since capacity at Antas to treat other ores no longer exists following the upgrade in production guidance at the Antas mine. Consequently, management removed the early development option from the Pre-feasibility Study. The final PFS therefore focused on achieving full-scale production from a standalone mine at Pedra Branca East as soon as practicable.
STUDY | NPV7 | IRR | CapEx | Accuracy |
Prefeasibility Study 2017 | $200 Million | 34% | $158 Million | ± 20% |
Scoping Study 2016 | $213 Million | 44% | $150 Million | ± 35% |
Prefeasibility Study using Scoping Study economic metrics (2016 metal pricing and FOREX rate) | $224 Million | 38% | $151 Million | ± 20% |
Financial modelling in the more detailed PFS demonstrates an NPV within approximately 6% of the NPV previously published in the Scoping Study. The lower IRR is attributed to the absence of development stage cash flows.
Upsides and savings realised in the PFS have largely offset the impact of a softening long term copper price and strengthening Brazilian Real since publication of the Scoping Study. The current PFS study uses April 2017 pricing and related modelling indices.
Analysis illustrates that if the Scoping Study indices are applied to the PFS, an increment of approximately 10% is achieved on the NPV, serving to demonstrate that the project has improved even without the benefit of the early cashflows.
PBE is most sensitive to copper price, with a 10% increase improving NPV by approximately 40%. In terms of costs, a 10% reduction in operational costs improves NPV by 16% whereas a 10% reduction in capital costs improves NPV by 11%.
In terms of opportunities identified by the PFS to extend/expand and/or improve flexibility at the PBE project, these included:
Extending the Mineral Resources available at PBE, including conversion of Inferred Resources to higher classifications
Open pit and/or underground potential at the PBW deposit, which is at an earlier stage of development
Exploration potential in the surrounding tenements
Improvement in commodity prices, depreciation of the Brazilian Real and/or realisation of available tax relief
The successful completion of the PFS at PBE and the commencement of a Definitive Feasibility Study and associated infill reserve drilling are important strategic milestones for the future growth of the Company as it aspires to be the next mid-tier copper producer.
A summary of the Pre-Feasibility Study is included with this announcement and can be viewed on
the Company's website.
The Company has already commenced the Definitive Feasibility Study. It is envisaged that this will be completed, and announced to shareholders within 12 months, i.e. before the end of May 2018.
TONY POLGLASE MANAGING DIRECTOR
For further information please visit www.avancoresources.com or contact:
NICK BIAS
Head of Corporate Affairs nbias@avancoresources.com
+61 417 888 227 / +44 (0)7771 450 679
Avanco Resources Limited published this content on 26 May 2017 and is solely responsible for the information contained herein.
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