Dairy Market News Weekly Report (DYWWEEKLYREPORT)

DAIRY MARKET NEWS

WEEK OF JANUARY 24 - 28, 2022 VOLUME 89, REPORT 4

DAIRY MARKET NEWS AT A GLANCE

CME GROUP CASH MARKETS (1/28)

BUTTER: Grade AA closed at $2.5400. The weekly average for Grade AA is $2.6135 (-0.2609).

CHEESE: Barrels closed at $1.7425 and 40# blocks at $1.7900. The weekly average for barrels is $1.7125 (-0.1600) and blocks, $1.7610 (-0.0834).

NONFAT DRY MILK: Grade A closed at $1.8050. The weekly average for Grade A is $1.7945 (-0.0368).

DRY WHEY: Extra grade dry whey closed at $0.8400. The weekly average for dry whey is $0.8220 (+0.0320).

CHEESE HIGHLIGHTS: Lower cheese demand notes are being reported throughout the country. Cheesemakers say this is a response to the seesawing market tones of recent weeks. Buyers are more inclined to use the wait-and-see approach, as market price movements are, for the most part, at the end of another bearish week. Milk is steadily to abundantly available for cheese production. However, cheese plant managers are still dealing with workforce shortages, and in some cases, plants are simply running fewer days due to limited employee numbers. Therefore, milk is not spread out as much. Spot milk prices ranged from $3 to $1 under Class, compared to $8.50 to $4 under Class this time last year. Western contacts say block and barrel cheese inventories are accessible.

BUTTER HIGHLIGHTS: Cream is available for butter makers. Ahead of spring holidays, butter production is trending steady to stronger. Output, however, is hampered at some facilities due to labor issues and delayed production supply deliveries. Bulk butter inventories remain tight. Some end users report paying hefty premiums to secure spot loads, but others are trying to hold out for a price drop. Domestic demand is unchanged across sectors. Interest from international markets remains strong as well. Butter market tones are unsettled as butter prices face downward pressure after weeks of bullishness. Across the country this week, bulk butter overages range from 8 to 15 cents above market.

FLUID MILK: Milk production across much of the United States is steady to higher. However, frigid temperatures in the Upper Midwest and Northern Plains have subdued milk output in those regions. Milk handlers report steady to strong demand from all Classes, but transportation delays and staffing shortages are reducing processing output in some locations. Condensed skim availability is mixed. Cream supplies are generally adequate to meet processing needs. Demand for cream is steady, and some contacts report continued interest from Midwestern buyers to purchase additional loads of cream out of the West. F.O.B. cream multiples are 1.15-1.32 in the East, 1.25-1.33 in the Midwest, and 1.05-1.26 in the West.

DRY PRODUCTS: Prices for low/medium heat nonfat dry milk are still lifting, although the tops of the regional price ranges are steady to only marginally higher. NDM supplies are tight as plant managers continue to cite labor shortages and delayed deliveries as causing them to run below capacity. High heat NDM prices are higher at the bottoms of the ranges, but steady at the tops of the ranges. Finding loads outside of contracts is difficult. Dry buttermilk prices increased due to increased demand and tight supplies. Dry whole milk prices are higher at the bottom of the range and unchanged at the top. Lead times for DWM are 4 to 6 weeks in some cases. Prices for dry whey moved higher, although the top of the western whey price stalled at $.80. Limited supplies are creating a bullish market tone. Whey protein concentrate 34% prices continued to move higher as buyers see WPC 34% as an affordable alternative to other dairy proteins. The market tones for WPC 34%, and other whey proteins, are firm. The price range for lactose is unchanged, and spot sales activity is quiet. Acid and rennet casein prices moved higher at the bottom of each range but held steady at the top of each range.

ORGANIC DAIRY MARKET NEWS (DMN): During December 2021, organic whole milk utilization totaled 14.7 million pounds, higher than the 13.5 million pounds the previous year. Utilization of organic reduced fat milk (2%), 137.2 million pounds, declined from the 153.4 million pounds a year ago. Across the country, organic dairy retail advertisement declined as the volume of ads surveyed posted a 33 percent dip in total organic dairy ads compared to the previous survey period. The January 2022 in-storeretail surveys of selected supermarkets in twenty-nineU.S. cities show the retail prices of organic whole milk in the half gallon container. Prices range from $3.00 in Cincinnati, OH, to $6.54 in Pittsburg, PA. The simple average price for January 2022 is $4.26, $0.65 higher compared to January 2021.

NATIONAL RETAIL REPORT (DMN): The total number of conventional dairy ads increased by 23 percent, while organic dairy ads decreased by 33 percent from last week. Conventional ice cream in 48 to 64-ouncecontainers regained the position of the top advertised dairy item, increasing in ad numbers by 42 percent. Conventional cheese ads increased by 11 percent this week. Total ads for conventional yogurt increased by 16 percent, but organic yogurt ads decreased by 25 percent. Conventional milk ads increased 44 percent, while organic milk ads shrank 39 percent this week.

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TABLE OF CONTENTS

Product Highlights/CME/DMN at a Glance	1	Dry Whey/WPC 34%/Lactose/Casein	6	December Market Summary and Utilization	12
Weekly CME Cash Trading/Butter Markets	2	U.S Dairy Cow Slaughter/Class Milk Prices/NDPSR/Futures	7	Revised December Retail Prices	13
Cheese Markets	3	Organic Dairy Market News	8	January Retail Prices	17
Fluid Milk and Cream	4	December Cold Storage	9	Dairy Graphs	G1
Nonfat Dry Milk/Dry Buttermilk/Dry Whole Milk	5	December Milk Production	10	National Retail Report - Dairy
		September Mailbox Prices	11	Dairy Market News Contacts

				DAIRY MARKET NEWS PRICE SUMMARY FOR JANUARY 24-28, 2022
				PRICES ($/LB) & CHANGES FROM PREVIOUS PUBLISHED PRICES
Commodity	Range	Mostly	Commodity	Range	Mostly	Commodity	Range	Mostly
NDM					BUTTERMILK					LACTOSE
Central Low/Med. Heat	1.7200	1.8800	1.7600	1.8100	Central/East	1.5500	1.7500			Central/West	0.3200	0.5300	0.3700	0.4400
Change	0.0200	0.0100	0.0200	0.0100	Change	0.1000	0.2000			Change	N.C.	N.C.	0.0100	-0.0100
Central High Heat	1.9200	2.0500			West	1.4800	1.6200	1.5000	1.5500	WPC 34%
Change	0.0800	N.C.			Change	0.0400	0.0050	0.0200	N.C.	Central/West	1.3700	1.6200	1.4400	1.5450
West Low/Med. Heat	1.7500	1.9250	1.7800	1.8200	WHEY					Change 0.0400 0.0350 0.0500	0.0450
Change	0.0700	N.C.	0.0800	0.0800	Central	0.7000	0.8200	0.7350	0.7550	CASEIN
West High Heat	1.9250	2.0350			Change	0.0400	0.0200	0.0150	0.0050	Rennet	4.8700	5.0900
Change	0.0725	N.C.			West	0.7000	0.8000	0.7400	0.7900	Change	0.0100	N.C.
DRY WHOLE MILK					Change	0.0275	N.C.	0.0250	0.0100	Acid	5.8600	5.9700
National	2.0000	2.2600			Northeast	0.6900	0.7825			Change	0.0100	N.C.
Change	0.0650	N.C.			Change	0.0200	0.0225			ANIMAL FEED WHEY
										Central	0.5800	0.6100
										Change	0.0600	0.0300

WEEK OF JANUARY 24 - 28, 2022	DAIRY MARKET NEWS	VOLUME 89, REPORT 4
	DAIRY MARKET NEWS AT A GLANCE

-CONTINUED FROM PAGE 1-

DECEMBER COLD STORAGE (NASS): Total natural cheese stocks in refrigerated warehouses on December 31, 2021, were up 2 percent from the previous month and up 3 percent from December 31, 2020. Butter stocks were down 5 percent from last month and down 27 percent from a year ago.

DECEMBER MILK PRODUCTION (NASS): Milk production in the 24 major States during December totaled 18.0 billion pounds, down slightly from December 2020. The number of milk cows on farms in the 24 major States was 8.88 million head, 42,000 head less than December 2020, and 8,000 head less than November 2021.

SEPTEMBER MAILBOX PRICES (FMMO): In October 2021, mailbox milk prices for selected reporting areas in Federal milk orders averaged $18.54 per cwt, up $1.01 from the September 2021 average and up $0.56 per cwt from the October 2020 average. The component tests of producer milk in October 2021 were: butterfat, 4.00%; protein, 3.26%; and other solids, 5.77%.

DECEMBER MARKET SUMMARY AND UTILIZATION (FMMO): During December, 12.5 billion pounds of milk were received from Federally pooled producers. This volume of milk is 6.3 percent higher than the December 2020 volume. Regulated handlers pooled 3.7 billion pounds of producer milk as Class I products, down 2.3 percent when compared to the previous year. The all-marketaverage Class utilization percentages were: Class I = 30%, Class II = 10%, Class III = 50%, and Class IV = 10%. The weighted average statistical uniform price was $19.71 per cwt, $0.72 higher than last month and $3.01 higher than last year.

REVISED DECEMBER RETAIL PRICES (FMMO): U.S. simple average prices are: $3.77 per gallon for conventional whole milk, $3.74 per gallon for conventional reduced fat 2% milk, $4.24 per half gallon organic whole milk, and $4.25 per half gallon organic reduced fat 2% milk.

JANUARY RETAIL PRICES (FMMO): U.S. simple average prices are: $3.82 per gallon for conventional whole milk, $3.78 per gallon for conventional reduced fat 2% milk, $4.26 per half gallon organic whole milk, and $4.26 per half gallon organic reduced fat 2% milk.

-1A-

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DAIRY MARKET NEWS, JANUARY 24 - 28, 2022	-3-	VOLUME 89, REPORT 4
	CHEESE MARKETS
NORTHEAST		WHOLESALE SELLING PRICES: DELIVERED
	DOLLARS PER POUND(MIXED LOTS (1000-5000 POUNDS))

Milk volumes are steadily clearing to Class III for Northeastern cheesemaking operations. Cheese production is active, although labor issues and transportation bottlenecks persist. Inventories are stur- dy. Cheese supplies are available for spot and contract needs. Retail sales are steady to stronger. Many grocers are featuring cheese promotions in weekly circulars, and shoppers are moving plenty of units through checkout lines. Cheese demand from the food service sector is somewhat mixed. Orders remain steady from some pizzerias and limited-service outlets. Cheese demand is softer, however, from some full-service restaurants and other eateries with scaled back menu offerings and/or hours of operation due to supply and/or staffing shortages.

WHOLESALE SELLING PRICES: DELIVERED

DOLLARS PER POUND(MIXED LOTS (1000-5000 POUNDS))

Cheddar 40 pound Block	2.2975-2.5850
Muenster	2.2850-2.6350
Process American 5 pound Sliced	1.9725-2.4525
Swiss 10-14 pound Cuts	3.4550-5.7775

MIDWEST

Bearish cheese market prices have snuggled up to demand tones. Cheese contacts relay that customers are waiting on further price drops before committing to anything outside their contractual needs. That said, a number of cheese plant managers relay that although sales have slackened, they are down only a small percentage and production is still generally busy. Spot milk remaining under flat market is also keeping some plants busy, while other plant managers are offering out some downtime before the spring holiday uptick, particularly those producers who have completed production orders ahead of the professional football playoff ordering push. Barrel producers continue to report steady demand, with some, although not abundant, availability.

WISCONSIN WHOLESALE SELLING PRICES: DELIVERED DOLLARS PER POUND(MIXED LOTS (1000-5000 POUNDS))

Cheddar 10 pound Cuts	2.1725-2.3725
Cheddar 40 pound Block	1.9250-2.4150
Monterey Jack 10 pounds	2.1600-2.4350
Process American 5 pound Loaf	1.9750-2.2300
Swiss 6-9 pound Cuts	3.2625-3.6925

FOREIGN

Buyers continue to seek out more foreign cheese than is available. This keeps pricing pressure in place. United States cheese buyers continue to look toward the European Union. So do other countries. For now, the U.S. remains the largest export customer for EU cheese. Most Q1 cheese production in the primary cheese producing coun- tries, Italy, Germany, France, and Netherlands, is contracted. There seems to be little potential to rebuild cheese aging stocks in the foreseeable future. Foreign cheese will continue to be a very strong market moving into 2022.

WHOLESALE SELLING PRICES: FOB DISTRIBUTORS DOCK DOLLARS PER POUND (1000 - 5000 POUNDS, MIXED LOTS)

VARIETY	:	NEW YORK	:	DOMESTIC
:	IMPORTED
Blue	:	2.6400-5.2300	:	2.1550-3.6425*
:	:
Gorgonzola	:	3.6900-5.7400	:	2.6625-3.3800*
Parmesan	:	-0-	:	3.5425-5.6325*
Romano	:	-0-	:	3.3450-5.5000*
Sardo Romano (Argentina)	:	2.8500-4.7800	:	-0-
Reggianito (Argentina)	:	3.2900-4.7800	:	-0-
Jarlsberg	:	-0-	:	-0-
Swiss	:	-0-	:	3.4900-3.8150
Swiss (Finland)	:	2.6700-2.9300	:	-0-

* = Price change.

COLD STORAGE

WEEKLY COLD STORAGE HOLDINGS - SELECTED STORAGE CENTERS IN THOUSAND POUNDS - INCLUDING GOVERNMENT STOCKS

Blue 5 pounds	2.4825-3.5500
Brick 5 pounds	2.2125-2.6375
Cheddar 40 pound Block	1.9350-2.3350
Monterey Jack 10 pounds	2.1875-2.3925
Mozzarella 5-6 pounds	2.0125-2.9575
Muenster 5 pounds	2.2125-2.6375
Process American 5 pound Loaf	1.9575-2.3175
Swiss 6-9 pound Cuts	2.9700-3.0875

WEST

Demand for cheese in retail markets is holding steady, while food service demand has slid lower this week. Contacts report that rising COVID cases, in parts of the West, are contributing to declines in food service sales. Sales of mozzarella cheese are strong; stakeholders attribute this to the football playoffs leading to increased demand for pizza making. International demand for cheese is steady, with contacts reporting notable interest for export to Asian markets. Port congestion, a shortage of truck drivers, and labor shortages are causing delays to deliveries of loads throughout the region. Spot purchasers say that inventories of cheese blocks and barrels are available. Cheese production is steady to higher, as cheesemakers are running busy schedules to work through available supplies of milk.

01/24/2022	:	BUTTER	:	CHEESE
:	38791	91898
01/01/2022	:	32878	:	82899
CHANGE	:	5913	:	8999
% CHANGE	:	18	:	11

Secondary Sourced Information:

This week, a cooperative export assistance program accepted requests for export assistance to sell 6.4 million pounds (2,884 metric tons) of American-type cheese. So far this year, the program has assisted member cooperatives with contracts to sell 11.2 million pounds of American-type cheeses.

CONTINUED ON PAGE 3A

DAIRY MARKET NEWS, JANUARY 24 - 28, 2022

-3A-

VOLUME 89, REPORT 4

CHEESE MARKETS

CONTINUED FROM PAGE 3

Cold Storage - Cheese Summary

Released

on: 1/24/2022

by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board,

United States Department of Agriculture (USDA).

	Stocks in all Warehouses (1,000	12/31/21
	as a percent of
Natural Cheese		pounds)
12/31/20	11/30/21	12/31/21	12/31/20	11/30/21
Total natural cheese	1,396,311	1,422,271	1,445,087	103	102
American, total	801,720	834,775	846,324	106	101
New England	69,598	72,790	69,698	100	96
Middle Atlantic	67,888	72,231	75,411	111	104
East North Central	327,920	337,805	340,375	104	101
West North Central	135,221	161,052	160,275	119	100
South Atlantic	77	69	292	379	423
East South Central	6,878	16,487	16,630	242	101
West South Central	8,001	3,436	3,179	40	93
Mountain
57,539	55,572	56,459	98	102
Pacific	128,598	115,333	124,005	96	108
Swiss, total	19,851	20,669	21,929	110	106
Other, total	574,740	566,827	576,834	100	102
New England	1,269	461	452	36	98
Middle Atlantic	23,387	14,078	13,906	59	99
East North Central	351,987	357,576	362,511	103	101
West North Central	51,793	40,684	40,688	79	100
South Atlantic	30,732	35,143	35,218	115	100
East South Central	37,387	22,560	27,677	74	123
West South Central	3,922	3,610	3,274	83	91
Mountain
3,229	3,438	3,217	100	94
Pacific	71,034	89,277	89,891	127	101

Cheese pricing in Western Europe continues to strengthen. The Euro- pean Energy Exchange (EEX) Weekly European Cheese Indices have for the most part increased weekly since the listings began in Novem- ber 2021, until the latest weekly listing. Varieties included are cheddar curd, mild cheddar, young gouda, and Mozzarella.

European Union cheese exports January - November 2021, 883,510 MT, increased 6 percent from January - November 2020 according to Eurostat data published by the European Commission. The top three destinations, volumes, and percent change comparing January - De- cember 2020 with January - November 2021 are: United States, 123,186 MT, +14 percent; Japan, 109,297 MT, -7 percent; and Switzer- land, 66,896 MT, +5 percent.