VÁLOGATÁS

az ECB, az ESRB, az EU, az EBA, az EIOPA, az ESMA,

az IMF, a BIS és az OECD

dokumentumaiból

2 0 2 0 . M Á J U S 1 4 - 2 0 .

MNB - Válogatás a nemzetközi pénzügyi és gazdasági intézmények dokumentumaiból

TARTALOMJEGYZÉK

1. MONETÁRIS POLITIKA, INFLÁCIÓ ...........................................................................................................................

3

2. PÉNZÜGYI STABILITÁS, PÉNZÜGYI PIACOK .............................................................................................................

4

3. MIKROPRUDENCIÁLIS FELÜGYELET ÉS SZABÁLYOZÁS ............................................................................................

7

4. FINTECH, KRIPTOVALUTÁK, MESTERSÉGES INTELLIGENCIA ....................................................................................

8

5. ZÖLD PÉNZÜGYEK, FENNTARTHATÓ FEJLŐDÉS.......................................................................................................

8

6. PÉNZFORGALOM, FIZETÉSI RENDSZEREK................................................................................................................

9

7. ÁLTALÁNOS GAZDASÁGPOLITIKA...........................................................................................................................

9

8. KÖLTSÉGVETÉSI POLITIKA, ADÓZÁS .....................................................................................................................

13

9. SZANÁLÁS ............................................................................................................................................................

13

10. STATISZTIKA.......................................................................................................................................................

14

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MNB - Válogatás a nemzetközi pénzügyi és gazdasági intézmények dokumentumaiból

1. MONETÁRIS POLITIKA, INFLÁCIÓ

Pandemic central banking: the monetary stance, market stabilisation and liquidity

ECB

https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/key/date/2020/html/ecb.sp200519~e5203d3520.en.html

Speech

Remarks by Philip R. Lane, Member of the Executive Board of the ECB, at the Institute for Monetary and

Financial Stability Policy Webinar, 19 May 2020

Interview with El País

ECB

https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/inter/date/2020/html/ecb.in200518~fc93497956.en.html

Interview

Interview with Philip R. Lane, Member of the Executive Board of the ECB, conducted by Luis Doncel on 11

May 2020 and published on 18 May 2020

Consolidated financial statement of the Eurosystem as at 15 May 2020, 19/05/2020

ECB

https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/pr/wfs/2020/html/ecb.fst200519.en.html

Press Release

Commentary:

https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/pr/wfs/2020/html/ecb.fs200519.en.html

Letter from the ECB President to Mr Emmanouil Fragkos, MEP, on monetary policy, 15/05/2020

ECB

https://www.ecb.europa.eu/pub/pdf/other/ecb.mepletter200515_Fragkos~8d1593cc7f.en.pdf?0f975b7

Letter

909491c2979f78c039b5bf937

Letter from the ECB President to Mr Marco Zanni, Mr Valentino Grant and Mr Antonio Maria Rinaldi,

ECB

MEPs, on monetary policy, 15/05/2020

Letter

https://www.ecb.europa.eu/pub/pdf/other/ecb.mepletter200515_Zanni_Grant_and_Rinaldi~3da76904

46.en.pdf?256522bfeace80d796f5afaf4189c94f

Letter from the ECB President to Mr Domènec Ruiz Devesa, MEP, on monetary policy, 15/05/2020

ECB

https://www.ecb.europa.eu/pub/pdf/other/ecb.mepletter200515_Ruiz_Devesa~8e487bfe22.en.pdf?c4a

Letter

e482dee559f5e041ae98a416db473

Letter from the ECB President to Mr Raffaele Fitto, Mr Sergio Berlato, Mr Carlo Fidanza, Mr Pietro

ECB

Fiocchi, Mr Nicola Procaccini and Mr Raffaele Stancanelli, MEPs, on monetary policy, 15/05/2020

Letter

https://www.ecb.europa.eu/pub/pdf/other/ecb.mepletter200515_Fitto_et_al~c65a2e3bde.en.pdf?87ac

4cd34efdfa7346d4add2c44c7e02

Letter from the ECB President to several MEPs, on monetary policy, 15/05/2020

ECB

https://www.ecb.europa.eu/pub/pdf/other/ecb.mepletter200515_Kaili_et_al~1d5a8f4536.en.pdf?0aca

Letter

bdc5a4bb6fb4081d486a45959a09

ECB Survey of Monetary Analysts (SMA) June 2020, 18/05/2020

ECB

https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/ecb_surveys/sma/shared/pdf/ecb.sma202005_questionnaire.en.pdf?

Publication

c12be56003458c3e4f7e9170fcc47e60

Euro area and national balance of payments and international investment position statistics - 2019

ECB

quality report, 15/05/2020

Publication

https://www.ecb.europa.eu/pub/bopips/html/ecb.bopips202005~86d197cab1.en.html

This annual report provides a quality review of the national balance of payments (b.o.p.), international

investment position (i.i.p.) and international reserves template of the Eurosystem (international reserves),

as well as the associated euro area aggregates. The report fulfils the formal requirement for the Executive

Board of the European Central Bank (ECB) to inform its Governing Council of the quality of these statistics,

as set out in Article 6(1) of Guideline ECB/2011/23 (hereinafter the "ECB Guideline").

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MNB - Válogatás a nemzetközi pénzügyi és gazdasági intézmények dokumentumaiból

Related statistical annex:

https://www.ecb.europa.eu/pub/pdf/annex/ecb.bopips202005_annex.en.pdf?b8e9ed675940ed456320

28676ca5393d

Euro area and national quarterly financial accounts - 2019 quality report, 15/05/2020

ECB

https://www.ecb.europa.eu/pub/euroareafinancialaccounts/html/ecb.eaqfa202005~d801564128.en.ht

Publication

ml

This annual report provides a quality review of the quarterly euro area and national financial accounts.[1]

The report fulfils the formal requirement for the Executive Board of the European Central Bank (ECB) to

inform its Governing Council of the quality of these statistics, as set out in Article 7(2) of Guideline

ECB/2013/24[2] (hereinafter the "ECB Guideline").

Related statistical annex:

https://www.ecb.europa.eu/pub/pdf/annex/ecb.eaqfa202005_annex.en.pdf?4803744cef5cada33e785a

08fcbf6452

Republic of Belarus : Technical Assistance Report-Monetary Policy Modeling, 15/05/2020

IMF

https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/CR/Issues/2020/05/14/Republic-of-Belarus-Technical-Assistance-

Country Reports

Report-Monetary-Policy-Modeling-49424

The National Bank of the Republic of Belarus (NBRB) is reforming its monetary policy framework in line

with recommendations of past IMF TA missions and its Road Map for Transitioning to Inflation Targeting

with the aim of eventually adopting inflation targeting (IT). Transitioning to IT would require, among other

strengthening the monetary policy forecasting and analysis system (FPAS) and better integrating the core

quarterly projection model (QPM) into the decision-making process. This mission was the seventh in a

planned series of quarterly FPAS TA missions. It was mainly aimed at helping with reviewing the initial

conditions and compiling a QPM-based forecast as a part of the NBRB's September forecasting round. The

mission, in addition, worked on strengthening processes within the FPAS.

Republic of Belarus : Technical Assistance Report-Monetary Policy Modeling, 15/05/2020

https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/CR/Issues/2020/05/14/Republic-of-Belarus-Technical-Assistance-

Report-Monetary-Policy-Modeling-49425

The National Bank of the Republic of Belarus (NBRB) is reforming its monetary policy framework in line

with recommendations of past IMF TA missions and its Road Map for Transitioning to Inflation Targeting

with the aim of eventually adopting inflation targeting (IT). Transitioning to IT would require, among other

measures and reforms, strengthening the monetary policy forecasting and analysis system (FPAS) and

better integrating the core quarterly projection model (QPM) into the decision-making process. This TA

mission was the fifth from series of quarterly IMF TA missions focused on the FPAS capacity building. It

was mainly aimed to simulate initial conditions and compile a QPM-based forecast scenario as a part of a

practical forecasting round at the NBRB in March. Moreover, the mission worked with the modeling team

to deepen its understanding of the QPM's role in policy decision making and in internal communication.

2. PÉNZÜGYI STABILITÁS, PÉNZÜGYI PIACOK

Global Investor Conference Call

EU

https://www.esm.europa.eu/interviews/klaus-regling-kalin-anev-janse-and-siegfried-ruhl-global-

Speech

investor-conference-call

Transcript of questions and answers with ESM Managing Director Klaus Regling, Chief Financial Officer

Kalin Anev Janse, and Head of Funding and Investor Relations Siegfried Ruhl, 20 May 2020

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MNB - Válogatás a nemzetközi pénzügyi és gazdasági intézmények dokumentumaiból

The General Board of the European Systemic Risk Board takes first set of actions to address the

ESRB

coronavirus emergency at its extraordinary meeting on 6 May 2020, 14/05/2020

Press Release

https://www.esrb.europa.eu/news/pr/date/2020/html/esrb.pr200514~bb1f96a327.en.html

ESRB letter to Governments on the financial stability impact of the national guarantee schemes and

ESRB

other fiscal measures, 14/05/2020

Letter

https://www.esrb.europa.eu/pub/pdf/other/esrb.letter200514_ESRB_work_on_implications_to_protect

_the_real_economy~e67a9f48ca.en.pdf?d45da1112bd0b4bb6e0cd70b0ebfa542

Recommendation of the European Systemic Risk Board on liquidity risks in investment funds

ESRB

(ESRB/2020/4), 14/05/2020

Recommendation

https://www.esrb.europa.eu/pub/pdf/recommendations/esrb.recommendation200514_ESRB_on_liquid

ity_risks_in_investment_funds~4a3972a25d.en.pdf?b09b37bb041bbf83f341bb512e35c5d4

ESMA public statement on Recommendation ESRB/2020/4, 14/05/2020

https://www.esrb.europa.eu/pub/pdf/recommendations/esrb.recommendation200514_ESMA_public_s

tatement~227bb83053.en.pdf?d7ce4528ae57c84cae40f3c1fc72aa94

Burned by leverage? Flows and fragility in bond mutual funds, 19/05/2020

ECB

https://www.ecb.europa.eu/pub/pdf/scpwps/ecb.wp2413~955605f63e.en.pdf?ef5274280944b5cd61d2

Working Paper

c4c64ff8efdd

Does leverage drive investor flows in bond mutual funds? Leverage can increase fund returns in good

times, but it can also magnify investors' losses and their response to bad performance. The authors study

bond fund flows to provide new evidence for the link between mutual fund leverage and financial fragility.

It is found that outflows are greater in leveraged funds during stressed periods and after bad performance,

compared with unleveraged funds. They provide supporting evidence that leverage exacerbates the

negative externality in investors' redemption decisions. In this regard, the authors find that fund managers

in leveraged funds react more procyclically to net outflows compared with fund managers in unleveraged

funds. Such procyclical security sales in leveraged funds may increase investors' first-mover advantages

and their response to bad performance. These findings suggest that leverage amplifies fragility in the bond

mutual fund sector.

Keywords: bond funds, fund leverage, financial fragility

Survey on credit terms and conditions in euro-denominated securities financing and OTC derivatives

ECB

markets (SESFOD) - March 2020, 19/05/2020

Publication

https://www.ecb.europa.eu/pub/pdf/other/SESFOD_2020Q1_report~4f64381c01.en.pdf?64af3c2fb80e

+

06aa9722b01d8fdfe549

Press Release

Related press release:

https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/pr/date/2020/html/ecb.pr200519~08c90fd6e2.en.html

Survey guidelines:

https://www.ecb.europa.eu/pub/pdf/other/SESFOD_2020Q1_survey_guidelines~f639606542.en.pdf?fd

ca1381443f4ac413745fc65612e75f

Detailed data series:

https://www.ecb.europa.eu/pub/pdf/other/SESFOD_2020Q1_detailed_data~ae4929c01b.en.zip?3812b

d9dee70912afe83c038d7c26131

Do non-performing loans matter for bank lending and the business cycle in euro area countries?,

ECB

15/05/2020

Working Paper

https://www.ecb.europa.eu/pub/pdf/scpwps/ecb.wp2411~839bc74726.en.pdf?bd527c481da64b39be4

67b557501c1c0

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MNB - Válogatás a nemzetközi pénzügyi és gazdasági intézmények dokumentumaiból

The authors contribute to the empirical literature on the impact of non-performing loan (NPL) ratios on

aggregate banking sector variables and the macroeconomy by estimating a panel Bayesian VAR model for

twelve euro area countries. The model is estimated assuming a hierarchical prior that allows for country-

specific coefficients. The VAR includes a large set of variables and is identified via Choleski factorisation.

We estimate the impact of exogenous shocks to the change in NPL ratios across countries. The main

findings of the paper are as follows: i) An impulse response analysis shows that an exogenous increase in

the change in NPL ratios tends to depress bank lending volumes, widens bank lending spreads and leads

to a fall in real GDP growth and residential real estate prices; ii) A forecast error variance decomposition

shows that shocks to the change in NPL ratios explain a relatively large share of the variance of the

variables in the VAR, particularly for countries that experienced a large increase in NPL ratios during the

recent crises; and iii) A three-year structural outof-sample scenario analysis provides quantitative evidence

that reducing banks' NPL ratios can produce significant benefits in euro area countries in terms of

improved macroeconomic and financial conditions.

Keywords: euro area countries, non-performing loans, panel Bayesian VAR, hierarchical priors.

Random forest versus logit models: which offers better early warning of fiscal stress?, 14/05/2020

ECB

https://www.ecb.europa.eu/pub/pdf/scpwps/ecb.wp2408~aa6b05aed7.en.pdf?9551c7c6e8e8fdbd35e5

Working Paper

512b5afcf097

This study seeks to answer whether it is possible to design an early warning system framework that can

signal the risk of fiscal stress in the near future, and what shape such a system should take. To do so,

multiple models based on econometric logit and the random forest models are designed and compared.

Using a dataset of 20 annual frequency variables pertaining to 43 advanced and emerging countries during

1992-2018, the results confirm the possibility of obtaining an effective model, which correctly predicts 70-

80% of fiscal stress events and tranquil periods. The random forest-based early warning model

outperforms logit models. While the random forest model is commonly understood to provide lower

interpretability than logit models do, this study employs tools that can be used to provide useful

information for understanding what is behind the black-box.

Keywords: early warning system; interpretability of machine learning; predictive performance

Loan types and the bank lending channel, 14/05/2020

ECB

https://www.ecb.europa.eu/pub/pdf/scpwps/ecb.wp2409~79137cac1e.en.pdf?160acf4ab7db1d9e6f64

Working Paper

61be79370001

Using credit-registry data for Spain and Peru, we document that four main types of commercial credit-

asset-based loans, cash-flow loans, trade finance and leasing-are easily identifiable and represent the

bulk of corporate credit. We show that credit dynamics and bank lending channels vary across these loan

types. Moreover, aggregate credit supply shocks previously identified in the literature appear to be driven

by individual loan types. The effects of monetary policy and the effects of the financial crisis propagating

through banks' balance sheets are primarily driven by cash-flow loans, whereas asset-based credit is

mostly insensitive to these types of effects.

Keywords: bank credit, loan types, bank lending channel, credit registry

Issues note on liquidity in the corporate bond and commercial paper markets, the procyclical impact of

ESRB

downgrades and implications for asset managers and insurers, 14/05/2020

Publication

https://www.esrb.europa.eu/pub/pdf/reports/esrb.report200514_issues_note~ff7df26b93.en.pdf?50f0

8c5678e88d4ff278b79c5fc1fbfa

The coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic and the measures necessary to contain it have brought a severe

and unprecedented shock to Europe's economies. Against this background, the General Board of the

European Systemic Risk Board (ESRB) decided at its meeting on 2 April 2020 to focus its attention on five

priority areas where coordination among authorities or across the EU is likely to be particularly important

in order to safeguard financial stability. 1 One of those five priority areas concerns issues around market

liquidity and illiquidity, with a particular focus on the implications for asset managers and insurers.

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MNB - Válogatás a nemzetközi pénzügyi és gazdasági intézmények dokumentumaiból

Another priority area is concerned with the procyclical impact that downgrades of corporate bonds have

on markets and entities across the financial system.

Volatility indices and implied uncertainty measures of European government bond futures, 14/05/2020

EU

https://www.esm.europa.eu/publications/volatility-indices-and-implied-uncertainty-measures-

Publication

european-government-bond-futures

Implied volatility and other forward-looking measures of option-implied uncertainty help investors

carefully evaluate market sentiment and expectations. the authors construct several measures of implied

uncertainty in European government bond futures. In the first part, they create new volatility indices,

which reflect market pricing of subsequently realised volatility of underlying bond futures. They express

volatility indices in both price and basis points, the latter being more intuitive to interpret; then document

their empirical properties, and discuss their possible applications. In the second part, the authors fit the

volatility smile using the SABR model, and recover option-implied probability distribution of possible

outcomes of bond futures prices. They analyse shapes of the implied distribution, track its quantiles over

time, calculate its skewness and kurtosis, and infer probabilities of a given upside or downside move in

the price of bond futures or in the yield of their underlying CTD bond.

Keywords: bond futures, market expectations, options, probability density function, SABR, VIX, volatility index.

3. MIKROPRUDENCIÁLIS FELÜGYELET ÉS SZABÁLYOZÁS

EBA publishes Report on interlinkages between recovery and resolution planning, 20/05/2020

EBA

https://eba.europa.eu/eba-publishes-report-interlinkages-between-recovery-and-resolution-planning

Press Release

EBA Advisory Committee on Proportionality held its first meeting, 19/05/2020

EBA

https://eba.europa.eu/eba-advisory-committee-proportionality-held-its-first-meeting

Press Release

EBA consults on technical standards for contractual recognition of stay powers under the

EBA

BRRD, 15/05/2020

Press Release

https://eba.europa.eu/eba-consults-technical-standards-contractual-recognition-stay-powers-under-

brrd

Change of Extraordinary RFR/EDA productions from weekly frequency to every two weeks, 19/05/2020

EIOPA

https://www.eiopa.europa.eu/content/change-extraordinary-rfreda-productions-weekly-frequency-

Press Release

every-two-weeks_en

European insurers face increased risk exposures due to Covid-19, but market perceptions and

EIOPA

imbalances remained at medium level, 18/05/2020

Press Release

https://www.eiopa.europa.eu/content/european-insurers-face-increased-risk-exposures-due-covid-19-

market-perceptions-and_en

EIOPA publishes weekly information for Relevant Risk Free Interest Rate Term Structures and Symmetric

EIOPA

Adjustment to Equity Risk with reference to 12 May 2020, 15/05/2020

Press Release

https://www.eiopa.europa.eu/content/eiopa-publishes-weekly-information-relevant-risk-free-interest-

rate-term-structures-and-0_en

ESMA calls for transparency on COVID-19 effects in half-yearly financial reports, 20/05/2020

ESMA

https://www.esma.europa.eu/press-news/esma-news/esma-calls-transparency-covid-19-effects-in-half-

Press Release

yearly-financial-reports

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MNB - Válogatás a nemzetközi pénzügyi és gazdasági intézmények dokumentumaiból

ESMA - non-renewal and termination of short selling bans by Austrian FMA, Belgian FSMA, French AMF,

ESMA

Greek HCMC, Italian CONSOB and Spanish CNMV, 18/05/2020

Press Release

https://www.esma.europa.eu/press-news/esma-news/esma-%E2%80%93-non-renewal-and-

termination-short-selling-bans-austrian-fma-belgian-fsma

ESMA sees potential decoupling of financial market performance and underlying economic activity,

ESMA

14/05/2020

Press Release

https://www.esma.europa.eu/press-news/esma-news/esma-sees-potential-decoupling-financial-

market-performance-and-underlying

ESMA supports ESRB actions to address COVID-related systemic vulnerabilities, 14/05/2020

ESMA

https://www.esma.europa.eu/press-news/esma-news/esma-supports-esrb-actions-address-covid-

Press Release

related-systemic-vulnerabilities

Minimum Requirements for Own Funds and Eligible Liabilities (MREL) Policy under the Banking Package,

EU

20/05/2020

Publication

https://srb.europa.eu/sites/srbsite/files/srb_mrel_policy_2020.pdf

+

Press Release

Today, the Single Resolution Board (SRB) publishes its final 'Minimum Requirements for Own Funds and

Eligible Liabilities (MREL) Policy under the Banking Package', along with an overview of the SRB responses

to the industry consultation. The consultation took place between 17 February and 6 March 2020.

Related press release:

https://srb.europa.eu/en/node/1002

4. FINTECH, KRIPTOVALUTÁK, MESTERSÉGES INTELLIGENCIA

The drivers of cyber risk, 20/05/2020

BIS

https://www.bis.org/publ/work865.htm

Working Paper

Cyber incidents are becoming more sophisticated and their costs difficult to quantify. Using a unique

database of more than 100,000 cyber events across sectors, we document the characteristics of cyber

incidents. Cyber costs are higher for larger firms and for incidents that impact several organisations

simultaneously. The financial sector is exposed to a larger number of cyber attacks but suffers lower costs,

on average, thanks to proportionately greater investment in information technology (IT) security. The use

of cloud services is associated with lower costs, especially when cyber incidents are relatively small. As

cloud providers become systemically important, cloud dependence is likely to increase tail risks. Crypto-

related activities, which are largely unregulated, are particularly vulnerable to cyber attacks.

Keywords: cyber risk, cloud services, financial institutions, bitcoin, cryptocurrencies, cyber

cost,

cyber regulation

5. ZÖLD PÉNZÜGYEK, FENNTARTHATÓ FEJLŐDÉS

Green Swan 2 - Climate change and Covid-19: reflections on efficiency versus resilience

BIS

https://www.bis.org/speeches/sp200514.htm

Management

Speech

8/14

MNB - Válogatás a nemzetközi pénzügyi és gazdasági intézmények dokumentumaiból

Speech by Luiz A Pereira da Silva based on remarks at the OECD Chief Economist Talk Series, Paris,

23 April 2020 and a Research Webinar at the BIS, 13 May 2020

ECB launches public consultation on its guide on climate-related and environmental risks, 20/05/2020

ECB

https://www.bankingsupervision.europa.eu/press/pr/date/2020/html/ssm.pr200520~0795c47d73.en.ht

Press Release

ml

6. PÉNZFORGALOM, FIZETÉSI RENDSZEREK

Letter from the ECB President to Mr Marco Zanni, MEP, on cash payments, 15/05/2020

ECB

https://www.ecb.europa.eu/pub/pdf/other/ecb.mepletter200515_Zanni~a6da684115.en.pdf?85959cf4

Letter

e1e54321c03e15ca5ddfe540

TARGET Annual Report 2019, 20/05/2020

ECB

https://www.ecb.europa.eu/pub/targetar/html/ecb.targetar2019.en.html

Publication

This report is the 20th edition of the TARGET Annual Report. The first edition was published in 2001,

covering TARGET's first two years of operation (1999 and 2000). As in previous years, the report provides

information on TARGET2 traffic, its performance and the main developments that took place in 2019. It is

aimed mainly at decision-makers, practitioners and academics who need to reach an in-depth

understanding of TARGET2. In addition to the core content, this report includes seven boxes on topics of

particular relevance in 2019 and an in-depth analysis of a specific TARGET2 feature.

7. ÁLTALÁNOS GAZDASÁGPOLITIKA

Interview with Les Echos, Corriere della Sera, Handelsblatt and El Mundo

ECB

https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/inter/date/2020/html/ecb.in200518_1~e8266ea223.en.html

Interview

Interview with Christine Lagarde, President of the ECB, conducted by Dominique Seux, Federico Fubini,

Thomas Hanke and Carlos Segovia, published on 18 May 2020

Interview with Der Standard

ECB

https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/inter/date/2020/html/ecb.in200514~1caa752821.en.html

Interview

Interview with Fabio Panetta, Member of the Executive Board of the ECB, conducted by Andras Szigetvari

on 6 May and published on 14 May 2020

ECOFIN press conference

EU

https://ec.europa.eu/commission/presscorner/detail/en/SPEECH_20_911

Speech

Remarks by Executive Vice-PresidentValdis Dombrovskis at the ECOFIN press conference, 19 May 2020

Interview with CNBC

EU

https://www.esm.europa.eu/interviews/klaus-regling-interview-cnbc-3

Speech

Transcript of interview with ESM Managing Director Klaus Regling, CNBC Squawk Box, 18 May 2020

Press videoconference after Eurogroup meeting

EU

https://www.consilium.europa.eu/en/press/press-releases/2020/05/15/remarks-by-mario-centeno-

Speeches

following-the-eurogroup-videoconference-of-15-may-2020/

+

Remarks by Mário Centeno, the President of the Eurogroup following the Eurogroup videoconference of

Press Release

15 May 2020

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https://www.esm.europa.eu/press-releases/klaus-regling-eurogroup-video-press-conference

Remarks by ESM Managing Director Klaus Regling at Eurogroup press conference, 15 May 2020

https://ec.europa.eu/commission/presscorner/detail/en/SPEECH_20_898

Remarks by Commissioner Mr. Paolo Gentiloni at the Eurogroup press conference, 9 April 2020

ESM Board of Governors backs Pandemic Crisis Support, 15/05/2020

https://www.esm.europa.eu/press-releases/esm-board-governors-backs-pandemic-crisis-support

Coronavirus and CARES Act

BIS

https://www.bis.org/review/r200519a.htm

Central Bankers'

Testimony by Mr Jerome H Powell, Chair of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, before

Speech

the Committee on Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs, US Senate, Washington DC, 19 May 2020

European solidarity put to the test by the health crisis

BIS

https://www.bis.org/review/r200515a.htm

Central Bankers'

Speech by Mr François Villeroy de Galhau, Governor of the Bank of France, at the digital conference at

Speech

the Bocconi University, Milan, 14 May 2020

Novel coronavirus (COVID-19) - economic and financial developments and the responses taken by the

BIS

Bank of Japan

Central Bankers'

https://www.bis.org/review/r200514a.htm

Speech

Speech (via webcast) by Mr Haruhiko Kuroda, Governor of the Bank of Japan, hosted by the Naigai Josei

Chosa Kai (Research Institute of Japan), Tokyo, 14 May 2020

ECB announces new measures to increase share of female staff members, 14/05/2020

ECB

https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/pr/date/2020/html/ecb.pr200514~94dbb7c109.en.html

Press Release

Council adopts €3 billion assistance package to support neighbouring partners, 20/05/2020

EU

https://www.consilium.europa.eu/en/press/press-releases/2020/05/20/covid-19-council-adopts-3-

Press Release

billion-assistance-package-to-support-neighbouring-partners/

Statement by Klaus Regling on Franco-German proposal of 18 May 2020, 19/05/2020

EU

https://www.esm.europa.eu/press-releases/statement-klaus-regling-franco-german-proposal-18-may-

Statement

2020

Western Balkans and Turkey: Joint conclusions of the economic and financial dialogue of 19 May 2020,

EU

19/05/2020

Press Release

https://www.consilium.europa.eu/en/press/press-releases/2020/05/19/western-balkans-and-turkey-

joint-conclusions-of-the-economic-and-financial-dialogue-of-19-may-2020/

Council adopts temporary support to mitigate unemployment risks in an emergency (SURE), 19/05/2020

EU

https://www.consilium.europa.eu/en/press/press-releases/2020/05/19/covid-19-council-reaches-

Press Release

political-agreement-on-temporary-support-to-mitigate-unemployment-risks-in-an-emergency-sure/

Council reaches political agreement on temporary support to mitigate unemployment risks in an

EU

emergency (SURE), 15/05/2020

Press Release

https://www.consilium.europa.eu/en/press/press-releases/2020/05/15/covid-19-council-reaches-

political-agreement-on-temporary-support-to-mitigate-unemployment-risks-in-an-emergency-sure/

IMF Offers Emergency Support to the Balkans, 12/05/2020

IMF

https://www.imf.org/en/News/Articles/2020/05/12/na051220-imf-offers-emergency-support-to-the-

Press Release

balkans

10/14

MNB - Válogatás a nemzetközi pénzügyi és gazdasági intézmények dokumentumaiból

Stock return comovement when investors are distracted: more, and more homogeneous, 19/05/2020

ECB

https://www.ecb.europa.eu/pub/pdf/scpwps/ecb.wp2412~8132144f85.en.pdf?8ce010f3aa1083da7b13

Working Paper

e2d7b9b20577

This paper tests whether fluctuations in investors' attention affect stock return comovement with national

and global markets, and which stocks are most affected. We measure fluctuations in investor attention

using 59 high-profile soccer matches played during stock market trading hours at the three editions of the

FIFA World Cup between 2010 and 2018. Using intraday data for more than 750 firms in 19 countries, we

find that distracted investors shift attention away from firm-specific and from global news. When

movements in global stock markets are large, the pricing of global news reverts back to normal, but

firmspecific news keep being priced less, leading to increased comovement of stock returns with the

national stock market. This increase is economically large, and particularly strong for those stocks that

typically comove little with the national market, thereby leading to a convergence in betas across stocks.

Keywords: investor attention, stock returns, comovement.

Global trade in final goods and intermediate inputs: impact of FTAs and reduced "Border Effects",

ECB

15/05/2020

Publication

https://www.ecb.europa.eu/pub/pdf/scpwps/ecb.wp2410~09d4199b9f.en.pdf?0ec81044e1506fbbb122

fd9183b9b308

International trade in manufacturing goods has risen strongly over the past decades, contributing to the

expansion of global value chains (GVCs). This paper studies how two factors contributed to this rise since

1970: (i) declining "border effects" that are arguably related to the ICT revolution that started around

1985, and (ii) the implementation of Free Trade Agreements that have gotten deeper over time. The

authors take advantage of the identification of the time dimension in a panel setting to capture the

emergence of GVCs by disentangling domestic and international trade in final goods and intermediate

inputs. According to their results, diminished border effects account for the bulk of the increase in

international trade in manufactured goods. The cost of a national border is estimated to have fallen by

around 10% per year for total manufacturing trade since the 1970s. The decline has been 13% per year for

exports of final goods and 8% for intermediate inputs, highlighting the importance of reduced border

effects for enabling international trade in the age of GVCs.

Keywords: border effect, free trade agreements, international trade, global value chains.

The building blocks of recovery, 20/05/2020

EU

https://www.esm.europa.eu/blog/building-blocks-recovery

Blog Post

Column by ESM Chief Economist Rolf Strauch

Enhanced Surveillance Report - Greece, May 2020, 20/05/2020

EU

https://ec.europa.eu/info/sites/info/files/economy-finance/ip127_en.pdf

Institutional

Paper

This is the sixth enhanced surveillance report on Greece monitoring the commitments made by the Greek

government at the Eurogroup of 22 June 2018.

Post-Programme Surveillance Report - Spain, Spring 2020, 20/05/2020

EU

https://ec.europa.eu/info/sites/info/files/economy-finance/ip128_en.pdf

Institutional

Paper

This report by the European Commission presents the findings of the thirteenth post-programme

surveillance mission to Spain and identifies remaining challenges for the Spanish economy.

Post-Programme Surveillance Report - Cyprus, Spring 2020, 20/05/2020

EU

https://ec.europa.eu/info/sites/info/files/economy-finance/ip126_en.pdf

Institutional

Paper

This report by the European Commission presents the findings of the eighth post-programme surveillance

mission to Cyprus and identifies remaining challenges for the Cypriot economy.

11/14

MNB - Válogatás a nemzetközi pénzügyi és gazdasági intézmények dokumentumaiból

European Semester Spring Package: Recommendations for a coordinated response to the coronavirus

EU

pandemic, 20/05/2020

Publications

https://ec.europa.eu/info/publications/2020-european-semester-country-specific-recommendations-

+

commission-recommendations_en

Press Release

+

The Commission has proposed today country-specific recommendations (CSRs) providing economic policy

Q&A

guidance to all EU Member States in the context of the coronavirus pandemic, focused on the most urgent

challenges brought about by the pandemic and on relaunching sustainable growth.

Communication on CSRs:

https://ec.europa.eu/info/sites/info/files/2020-european-semester-csr-comm-recommendation-

communication_en.pdf

CSRs for Hungary:

https://ec.europa.eu/info/sites/info/files/2020-european-semester-csr-comm-recommendation-

hungary_en.pdf

Report to Hungary under Article 126(3) of the Treaty on the Functioning of the EU (TFEU):

https://ec.europa.eu/economy_finance/economic_governance/sgp/pdf/30_edps/126-

03_commission/com-2020-552-hu_en.pdf

Related press release:

https://ec.europa.eu/commission/presscorner/detail/en/ip_20_901

Q&A:

https://ec.europa.eu/commission/presscorner/detail/hu/qanda_20_894

Dampening the Impact of Global Financial Shocks on Emerging Market Economies, 19/05/2020

IMF

https://blogs.imf.org/2020/05/19/dampening-the-impact-of-global-financial-shocks-on-emerging-

Blog Post

market-economies/

Blog Post by Damiano Sandri (Deputy Division Chief in the World Economic Studies Division of the

Research Department of the IMF)

Measuring Economic Welfare: What and How?, 18/05/2020

IMF

https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/Policy-Papers/Issues/2020/05/18/Measuring-Economic-Welfare-

Policy Paper

What-and-How-49438

Calls for a more people-focused approach to statistics on economic performance, and concerns about

inequality, environmental impacts, and effects of digitalization have put welfare at the top of the

measurement agenda. This paper argues that economic welfare is a narrower concept than well-being.

The new focus implies a need to prioritize filling data gaps involving the economic welfare indicators of

the System of National Accounts 2008 (SNA) and improving their quality, including the quality of the

consumption price indexes. Development of distributional indicators of income, consumption, and wealth

should also be a priority. Definitions and assumptions can have big effects on these indicators and should

be documented. Concerns have also arisen over potentially overlooked welfare growth from the

emergence of the digital economy. However, the concern that free online platforms are missing from

nominal GDP is incorrect. Also, many of the welfare effects of digitalization require complementary

indicators, either because they are conceptually outside the boundary of GDP or impossible to quantify

without making uncertain assumptions.

12/14

MNB - Válogatás a nemzetközi pénzügyi és gazdasági intézmények dokumentumaiból

Making Economies More Resilient to Downturns, 18/05/2020

IMF

https://blogs.imf.org/2020/05/18/making-economies-more-resilient-to-downturns/

Blog Post

Blog Post by John Bluedorn (Deputy Division Chief on the World Economic Outlook in the Research

Department of the IMF) and Wenjie Chen (Economist of the African Department of the IMF)

Tracking Trade During the COVID-19 Pandemic, 14/05/2020

IMF

https://blogs.imf.org/2020/05/14/tracking-trade-during-the-covid-19-pandemic/

Blog Post

Blog Post by Diego Cerdeiro (Economist in the External Policy Division of the Strategy, Policy, and Review

Department of the IMF), Andras Komaromi (Economist of the Institute for Capacity Development of the

IMF), Yang Liu (Data Scientist of the Economic Systems Division of the Information Technology Department

of the IMF) and Mamoon Saeed (Data Scientist of the Information Technology Department of the IMF)

The OECD COVID-19 Policy Tracker: What are governments doing to deal with the COVID-19 pandemic?,

OECD

15/05/2020

Blog Post

https://oecdecoscope.blog/2020/05/15/the-oecd-covid-19-policy-tracker-what-are-governments-doing-

to-deal-with-the-covid-19-pandemic/

Blog Post by Tim Bulman and Shashwat Koirala

Acquisition- and ownership-related policies to safeguard essential security interests - Current and

OECD

emerging trends, observed designs, and policy practice in 62 economies, 15/05/2020

Publication

http://www.oecd.org/investment/OECD-Acquisition-ownership-policies-security-May2020.pdf

The present note is a preliminary summary of research carried out on acquisition- and ownership-related

policies put in place to safeguard countries' essential security interests.

8. KÖLTSÉGVETÉSI POLITIKA, ADÓZÁS

Tracking the $9 Trillion Global Fiscal Support to Fight COVID-19,20/05/2020

IMF

https://blogs.imf.org/2020/05/20/tracking-the-9-trillion-global-fiscal-support-to-fight-covid-19/

Blog Post

Blog Post by Bryn Battersby (Senior Economist in the Public Financial Management Division of the Fiscal

Affairs Department of the IMF), W. Raphael Lam (Senior Economist of the Fiscal Affairs Department of the

IMF) and Elif Ture (Economist of the Fiscal Affairs Department of the IMF)

9. SZANÁLÁS

SRB launches public consultation on its 'standardised Data Set' proposals, 19/05/2020

EU

https://srb.europa.eu/en/node/1001

Press Release

13/14

MNB - Válogatás a nemzetközi pénzügyi és gazdasági intézmények dokumentumaiból

10. STATISZTIKA

Euro area monthly balance of payments: March 2020, 20/05/2020

ECB

https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/pr/stats/bop/2020/html/ecb.bp200520~bd41aa3ff1.en.html

Press Release

Annual inflation down to 0.3% in the euro area, 20/05/2020

EU

https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/documents/2995521/10294852/2-20052020-AP-EN.pdf/4d69f01b-fe9a-

Press Release

c248-2627-cc2059ca2f31

China, US and EU are the largest economies in the world, 19/05/2020

EU

https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/documents/2995521/10868691/2-19052020-BP-EN.pdf/bb14f7f9-fc26-

Press Release

8aa1-60d4-7c2b509dda8e

Production in construction down by 14.1% in euro area, 19/05/2020

EU

https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/documents/2995521/10294792/4-19052020-AP-EN.pdf/9be84ffa-0a4c-

Press Release

655c-2f24-52419b035ec8

GDP down by 3.8% and employment down by 0.2% in the euro area, 15/05/2020

EU

https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/documents/2995521/10294864/2-15052020-AP-EN.pdf/5a7ea909-e708-

Press Release

f3d3-8375-e2510298e1b8

Euro area international trade in goods surplus €28.2 bn, 15/05/2020

EU

https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/documents/2995521/10294780/6-15052020-BP-EN.pdf/e5b56199-4e00-

Press Release

49a0-1cde-b9bc649c961e

Central bank policy rates, 20/05/2020

BIS

https://www.bis.org/statistics/cbpol.htm

Press Release

US dollar exchange rates, 20/05/2020

BIS

https://www.bis.org/statistics/xrusd.htm

Press Release

Effective exchange rate indices, 20/05/2020

BIS

https://www.bis.org/statistics/eer.htm

Press Release

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Central Bank of Hungary published this content on 21 May 2020 and is solely responsible for the information contained therein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 21 May 2020 13:14:05 UTC