Financials Polenergia S.A.

Equities

PEP

PLPLSEP00013

Electric Utilities

Market Closed - Warsaw S.E. 12:07:25 2024-06-21 EDT 5-day change 1st Jan Change
65 PLN -1.22% Intraday chart for Polenergia S.A. +2.85% -15.36%

Valuation

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2024 2025 2026
Capitalization 1 1,222 2,463 3,345 5,917 5,019 - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 1,583 3,052 4,611 5,917 6,338 7,212 10,056
P/E ratio 11.2 x 22.3 x 9.92 x - 14.1 x 18 x 19.4 x
Yield - - - - - - -
Capitalization / Revenue 0.47 x 1.36 x 0.84 x 0.83 x 0.91 x 0.98 x 1 x
EV / Revenue 0.61 x 1.68 x 1.15 x 0.83 x 1.14 x 1.41 x 1.99 x
EV / EBITDA 5.67 x 11.9 x 12.8 x 16.7 x 9.46 x 11.8 x 16.5 x
EV / FCF 8.99 x -23.9 x -7.52 x -14.3 x -27.2 x -12.9 x -4.12 x
FCF Yield 11.1% -4.19% -13.3% -7% -3.68% -7.74% -24.3%
Price to Book 0.94 x 1.74 x 1.8 x - 1.11 x 1.04 x 0.99 x
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 45,444 45,444 45,444 68,802 77,219 - -
Reference price 2 26.90 54.20 73.60 86.00 65.00 65.00 65.00
Announcement Date 20-03-09 21-03-30 22-04-07 23-03-30 - - -
1PLN in Million2PLN
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2024 2025 2026
Net sales 1 2,597 1,811 3,999 7,089 5,538 5,115 5,043
EBITDA 1 279.1 256.8 361.2 354.3 670 611.5 608.8
EBIT 1 160.4 165.5 233.9 237.6 508 443.2 432.2
Operating Margin 6.18% 9.14% 5.85% 3.35% 9.17% 8.66% 8.57%
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 136.9 126.3 420.1 - 461 375.9 352.6
Net income 1 109 110.6 337.3 159.9 374 302.3 283.4
Net margin 4.2% 6.1% 8.43% 2.26% 6.75% 5.91% 5.62%
EPS 2 2.400 2.430 7.420 - 4.620 3.605 3.355
Free Cash Flow 1 176 -127.9 -612.9 -414.1 -233 -558.5 -2,442
FCF margin 6.78% -7.06% -15.33% -5.84% -4.21% -10.92% -48.42%
FCF Conversion (EBITDA) 63.07% - - - - - -
FCF Conversion (Net income) 161.48% - - - - - -
Dividend per Share - - - - - - -
Announcement Date 20-03-09 21-03-30 22-04-07 23-03-30 - - -
1PLN in Million2PLN
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)

Fiscal Period: December 2021 Q4 2022 Q1 2022 Q2 2022 Q3 2022 Q4 2023 Q1 2023 Q2 2023 Q3 2024 Q1
Net sales 1 2,067 2,476 1,337 1,330 1,946 1,467 1,371 1,241 1,191
EBITDA 1 78.9 178.9 32.4 33 110 201.3 107.6 110.9 236.3
EBIT 1 34 115.5 5.9 3.356 74.3 163.3 68.3 69.35 191.4
Operating Margin 1.64% 4.67% 0.44% 0.25% 3.82% 11.13% 4.98% 5.59% 16.07%
Earnings before Tax (EBT) - - - - - - - - -
Net income 1 - - 1.151 -2.782 51.9 120.8 46.49 41.49 140.7
Net margin - - 0.09% -0.21% 2.67% 8.23% 3.39% 3.34% 11.81%
EPS - - - - - - - - -
Dividend per Share - - - - - - - - -
Announcement Date 22-04-07 22-05-18 22-08-17 22-11-23 23-03-30 23-05-24 23-08-24 23-11-22 24-05-22
1PLN in Million
Estimates

Balance Sheet Analysis

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2024 2025 2026
Net Debt 1 361 589 1,266 - 1,319 2,193 5,037
Net Cash position 1 - - - - - - -
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.292 x 2.292 x 3.506 x - 1.969 x 3.586 x 8.273 x
Free Cash Flow 1 176 -128 -613 -414 -233 -559 -2,442
ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) 8.79% 8% 20.6% - 9.2% 6.7% 5.3%
ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) - 4.02% - - - - -
Assets 1 - 2,749 - - - - -
Book Value Per Share 2 28.50 31.20 40.90 - 58.60 62.30 65.60
Cash Flow per Share 5.780 4.490 3.190 - - - -
Capex 1 86.6 332 758 660 1,573 1,356 3,101
Capex / Sales 3.34% 18.33% 18.95% 9.31% 28.4% 26.51% 61.49%
Announcement Date 20-03-09 21-03-30 22-04-07 23-03-30 - - -
1PLN in Million2PLN
Estimates

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
3
Last Close Price
65 PLN
Average target price
88.41 PLN
Spread / Average Target
+36.01%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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