ALUMINA LIMITED |
Delayed
Other stock markets
|
5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 1.692 AUD | -0.15% |
|
+0.15% | +87.02% |
| 06-14 | Australian Shares Slide Ahead of RBA Rate Decision | MT |
| 06-14 | FIRB Approves Alcoa's Acquisition of Alumina | MT |
Valuation
| Fiscal Period: December | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Capitalization 1 | 4,645 | 4,095 | 3,927 | 3,004 | 1,788 | 3,281 | - | - |
| Enterprise Value (EV) 1 | 4,700 | 4,145 | 3,983 | 3,110 | 2,082 | 3,616 | 3,565 | 3,520 |
| P/E ratio | 21.8 x | 27.7 x | 20.8 x | 28.8 x | -11.9 x | 23.9 x | 13.4 x | 14.3 x |
| Yield | 4.96% | 4.04% | 4.58% | 4.06% | - | - | 3.28% | 5.68% |
| Capitalization / Revenue | 1,858 x | 40,950 x | - | 4,292 x | 3,576 x | - | - | - |
| EV / Revenue | 1,880 x | 41,446 x | - | 4,444 x | 4,165 x | - | - | - |
| EV / EBITDA | 14.1 x | 27.2 x | 20.8 x | 28.7 x | -16 x | 23 x | 16.1 x | 13.8 x |
| EV / FCF | 11.6 x | 26.8 x | 22.7 x | 23.1 x | -11.1 x | -904 x | 21.6 x | 20.8 x |
| FCF Yield | 8.59% | 3.73% | 4.4% | 4.34% | -9.05% | -0.11% | 4.63% | 4.8% |
| Price to Book | 2.61 x | 2.35 x | 2.33 x | 1.94 x | 1.25 x | 2.16 x | 1.89 x | 1.67 x |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 2,879,056 | 2,900,585 | 2,900,665 | 2,901,053 | 2,901,341 | 2,901,658 | - | - |
| Reference price 2 | 1.613 | 1.412 | 1.354 | 1.036 | 0.6163 | 1.131 | 1.131 | 1.131 |
| Announcement Date | 2/24/20 | 2/22/21 | 2/21/22 | 2/20/23 | 2/26/24 | - | - | - |
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates
Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)
| Fiscal Period: December | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 2.5 | 0.1 | - | 0.7 | 0.5 | - | - | - |
| EBITDA 1 | 334 | 152.2 | 191.3 | 108.3 | -130.5 | 157 | 221.7 | 254.3 |
| EBIT 1 | -9.6 | -12.5 | -13.3 | -11.8 | -11.1 | -12.22 | -12.59 | -13.18 |
| Operating Margin | -384% | -12,500% | - | -1,685.71% | -2,220% | - | - | - |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 214.1 | 147.1 | 187.6 | 104 | -150.1 | 66.65 | 244.4 | 246.8 |
| Net income 1 | 214 | 146.6 | 187.6 | 104 | -150 | 133.3 | 231.2 | 223.7 |
| Net margin | 8,560% | 146,600% | - | 14,857.14% | -30,000% | - | - | - |
| EPS 2 | 0.0740 | 0.0510 | 0.0650 | 0.0360 | -0.0520 | 0.0472 | 0.0843 | 0.0788 |
| Free Cash Flow 1 | 403.8 | 154.4 | 175.2 | 134.9 | -188.4 | -4 | 165 | 169 |
| FCF margin | 16,152% | 154,400% | - | 19,271.43% | -37,680% | - | - | - |
| FCF Conversion (EBITDA) | 120.9% | 101.45% | 91.58% | 124.56% | - | - | 74.4% | 66.46% |
| FCF Conversion (Net income) | 188.69% | 105.32% | 93.39% | 129.71% | - | - | 71.36% | 75.56% |
| Dividend per Share 2 | 0.0800 | 0.0570 | 0.0620 | 0.0420 | - | - | 0.0371 | 0.0642 |
| Announcement Date | 2/24/20 | 2/22/21 | 2/21/22 | 2/20/23 | 2/26/24 | - | - | - |
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates
Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)
| Fiscal Period: December | 2019 S2 | 2021 S1 | 2021 Q4 | 2021 S2 | 2022 S1 | 2022 S2 | 2023 S1 | 2023 Q4 | 2023 S2 | 2024 Q1 | 2024 Q2 | 2024 S1 | 2024 Q3 | 2024 Q4 | 2024 S2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales | - | - | - | - | 0.1 | 0.6 | 0.3 | - | 0.2 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| EBITDA | 110.2 | - | - | 115.8 | 169.6 | - | - | - | -95.8 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| EBIT | - | -6.9 | - | -6.4 | -6.1 | -5.7 | -5.6 | - | -5.5 | - | - | -5.786 | - | - | -5.872 |
| Operating Margin | - | - | - | - | -6,100% | -950% | -1,866.67% | - | -2,750% | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) | - | 73.6 | - | 114 | - | -63.9 | -42.9 | - | -107.2 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Net income | - | 73.6 | - | 114 | 167.9 | -63.9 | -42.9 | - | -107.2 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Net margin | - | - | - | - | 167,900% | -10,650% | -14,300% | - | -53,600% | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| EPS | - | 0.0250 | - | - | 0.0580 | - | -0.0150 | - | -0.0370 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Dividend per Share 1 | - | 0.0340 | 0.0100 | 0.0340 | 0.0420 | - | - | - | - | - | 0.008000 | 0.0160 | 0.008000 | 0.008000 | 0.0160 |
| Announcement Date | 2/24/20 | 8/23/21 | 2/21/22 | 2/21/22 | 8/22/22 | 2/20/23 | 8/21/23 | 2/26/24 | 2/26/24 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
1USD
Estimates
Balance Sheet Analysis
| Fiscal Period: December | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | 54.8 | 49.6 | 55.9 | 106 | 294 | 334 | 283 | 239 |
| Net Cash position 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 0.1641 x | 0.3259 x | 0.2922 x | 0.9806 x | -2.255 x | 2.13 x | 1.277 x | 0.939 x |
| Free Cash Flow 1 | 404 | 154 | 175 | 135 | -188 | -4 | 165 | 169 |
| ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) | 16.7% | 8.9% | 11% | 6.76% | -6.17% | 10% | 13.9% | 13% |
| ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) | 16% | 8.03% | 10.6% | 6.4% | -5.42% | 7.94% | 10.9% | 10.1% |
| Assets 1 | 1,341 | 1,825 | 1,776 | 1,626 | 2,770 | 1,679 | 2,127 | 2,221 |
| Book Value Per Share 2 | 0.6200 | 0.6000 | 0.5800 | 0.5300 | 0.4900 | 0.5200 | 0.6000 | 0.6800 |
| Cash Flow per Share 2 | 0.1300 | 0.0500 | 0.0600 | 0.1200 | 0 | 0.0300 | 0.0700 | 0.0700 |
| Capex 1 | - | - | - | 212 | 189 | 110 | 83 | 81 |
| Capex / Sales | - | - | - | 30,300% | 37,820% | - | - | - |
| Announcement Date | 2/24/20 | 2/22/21 | 2/21/22 | 2/20/23 | 2/26/24 | - | - | - |
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates
EPS & Dividend
Year-on-year evolution of the PER
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA
Sell
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
6
Last Close Price
1.131
USD
Average target price
1.026
USD
Spread / Average Target
-9.32%
EPS Revisions
| 1st Jan change | Capi. | |
|---|---|---|
| +87.02% | 3.28B | |
| +12.77% | 18.49B | |
| +36.67% | 16.57B | |
| -2.78% | 12.44B | |
| +17.00% | 7.14B | |
| +47.86% | 6.51B | |
| +20.42% | 6.26B | |
| -.--% | 5.94B | |
| +41.80% | 4.12B | |
| -9.57% | 2.84B |
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