WARSAW, July 16 (Reuters) - The zloty came under pressure on Tuesday, pulling back from the multi-year highs it approached in recent days, as steady interest rates amid policy easing elsewhere continue to prop up the Polish currency. In early July, Poland's central bank governor said interest-rate cuts would not happen before 2026, as inflation was expected to accelerate. In July the central bank kept interest rates on hold for the ninth month in a row, with the governor signalling the possibility of easing from mid-2025. By 0947 GMT the Polish zloty had shed 0.4% against the euro, trading at 4.2670. It had pulled back from the 4.2480 level it touched on Monday, before retreating, for the second time in the span of less than a week, a hair off of the more than four-year high of 4.2470 hit in late May. A Warsaw-based trader said the zloty was under "light pressure" today, attributing it to some risk off sentiment hitting emerging market assets, but called 4.25 a "good" support level. "Yesterday again saw attempts to bring the euro below 4.25 zlotys. They weren't as successful, probably due to the lack of strong impulses from core markets and calm trade in the region," state-owned development bank BGK said in a note. "We believe that events on global markets - including the steepening of the U.S. curve - may currently make strengthening the zloty more difficult. As a result, today we expect calm trading on the zloty in the range of 4.25-4.27 zlotys per euro." The Hungarian forint traded 0.1% lower at 391.75 per euro, largely holding onto gains from the previous sessions. "I attribute the strengthening of the forint that started on Friday to global factors," a Budapest-based trader said. "It is a calm summer trading day, though, with the forint trading in a tight range between 390.50 and 392. Retail sales data from the U.S. in the afternoon could move the market a bit." Bets for a rate cut by the U.S. Federal Reserve in September also helped the forint, according to the trader. Fed chair Jerome Powell said on Monday the three U.S. inflation readings over the second quarter of this year "add somewhat to confidence" that the pace of price increases is returning to the Fed's target in a sustainable fashion, remarks that suggest a turn to interest rate cuts may not be far off. National Bank of Hungary (NBH) rate-setters, who have cut borrowing costs by 1,100 basis points since May 2023, are scheduled to meet next week, with deputy governor Barnabas Virag saying on Monday that possible further small reduction in the base rate is an "open question". The Czech crown gained 0.1% and traded at 25.3630 per euro, edging away from 3-month lows after lower-than-expected inflation data last week, which increased bets on more interest rate cuts ahead. CEE SNAPSHOT AT MARKETS 1147 CET CURRENCI ES Latest Previous Daily Change trade close change in 2024 Czech 25.3630 25.3985 +0.14% -2.61% crown Hungary 391.7500 391.3800 -0.09% -2.19% forint Polish 4.2670 4.2521 -0.35% +1.82% zloty Romanian 4.9651 4.9685 +0.07% +0.19% leu Serbian 117.0000 117.0200 +0.02% +0.21% dinar Note: calculated from 1800 CET daily change Latest Previous Daily Change close change in 2024 Prague 1599.99 1600.230 -0.01% +13.15% 0 Budapest 72400.98 72730.44 -0.45% +19.43% Warsaw 2521.67 2569.86 -1.88% +7.63% Bucharest 18584.96 18546.14 +0.21% +20.91% Spread Daily vs Bund change in Czech spread Republic 2-year5-year 10-year Poland 2-year 5-year 10-year FORWARD 3x6 6x9 9x12 3M interban k Czech Rep < 4.13 3.73 3.54 4.61 PRIBOR=> Hungary < 6.40 6.06 5.73 6.83 BUBOR=> Poland < 5.80 5.66 5.38 5.86 WIBOR=> Note: FRA are for ask prices quotes ************************************************** ************ (Reporting by Karol Badohal in Warsaw, Anita Komuves in Budapest and Jason Hovet in Prague; Editing by Kim Coghill)
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