By 17/2013 - 31 January 2013
Third quarter 2012 compared with third quarter 2011
Euro area house prices down by 2.5%EU down by 1.9%
Today, Eurostat publishes for the first time a News Release on the evolution of house prices. This new euro- indicator replies to the demand for comparable and reliable statistics on national, euro area and EU housing markets. House price evolution is important for economic and monetary policy purposes, in particular monitoring of macroeconomic imbalances and of risk exposure of the financial sector. It is also relevant for households, as it
measures changes in the prices of the most important component of households' expenditure and wealth.
House prices, as measured by the House Price Index1 (HPI), fell by 2.5% in the euro area2 and by 1.9% in the EU3 in the third quarter of 2012 compared with the same quarter of the previous year, according to data published by Eurostat, the statistical office of the European Union.
Compared with the second quarter of 2012, house prices fell by 0.7% in the euro area and by 0.4% in the EU in the third quarter of 2012.
105
100
95
90
EU Euro area
85
80
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Source: Eurostat
House price developments in the EU Member States
Among the Member States for which data are available, the highest annual increases in house prices in the third quarter of 2012 were recorded in Estonia (+8.4%), Luxembourg (+7.1%) and Finland (+2.1%), and the largest falls in Spain (-15.2%), Ireland (-9.6%), the Netherlands (-8.7%) and Portugal (-7.7%).
The highest quarterly increases in the third quarter of 2012 were recorded in Estonia (+2.6%), Latvia (+2.3%), the United Kingdom (+1.7%) and Ireland (+1.6%), and the largest falls in Romania (-4.2%), the Netherlands (-3.9%) and Spain (-3.7%).
Percentage change compared with the previous quarter | Percentage change compared with the same quarter of the previous year | |||||||
2011 | 2012 | 2011 | 2012 | |||||
Q4 | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | |
Belgium Germany Estonia Ireland Greece Spain France Italyp Cyprus Luxembourg* Malta Netherlands Austria Portugalp Slovenia Slovakia Finland | -0.2 0.8 0.1 1.1 0.7 0.8 : : 1.0 1.3 3.3 2.6 -5.3 -4.1 -2.0 1.6 : : : : -4.1 -5.0 -3.3 -3.7 -0.9 -1.3 0.0 0.9 -0.7 -0.6 -0.8 -1.1 : : : : 4.7 -0.5 1.7 1.1 -2.4 1.7 1.2 0.3 -1.7 -1.9 -1.5 -3.9 -2.8 : : : -2.8 -1.9 -2.4 -0.9 -0.5 -4.1 1.1 -2.6 -1.4 -0.2 -0.9 0.7 -0.9 1.8 1.1 0.2 | 3.4 3.5 2.6 1.8 4.2 2.2 : : 11.8 7.2 7.6 8.4 -16.6 -16.3 -14.4 -9.6 : : : : -11.1 -12.5 -14.4 -15.2 3.7 1.7 -0.2 -1.3 0.3 -0.2 -2.1 -3.2 : : : : 6.4 5.4 4.3 7.1 0.3 1.5 0.7 0.8 -3.4 -5.4 -5.4 -8.7 -5.9 : : : -4.0 -7.1 -8.3 -7.7 1.3 -7.1 -5.8 -5.9 -2.3 -2.6 -2.0 -1.8 1.9 2.4 1.7 2.1 | ||||||
Euro areap | -1.0 -0.7 -0.1 -0.7 | -0.1 -0.9 -2.1 -2.5 | ||||||
Bulgariap Czech Republic Denmark Latvia Lithuania Hungary Poland Romania Sweden United Kingdom | -1.5 0.1 0.4 -0.1 -1.0 -0.5 0.0 -0.6 -3.4 0.4 1.5 0.3 -5.6 6.5 -3.0 2.3 0.7 -0.3 -1.0 0.9 -0.4 : : : c c c c -4.5 3.8 -0.7 -4.2 -2.3 1.4 1.2 0.7 -1.1 0.0 1.2 1.7 | -5.8 -3.7 -1.6 -1.1 -0.9 -1.5 -2.1 -2.1 -6.6 -5.1 -5.3 -1.2 3.6 5.5 0.6 -0.2 5.5 0.9 -0.8 0.3 -2.9 : : : c c c c -17.1 -9.5 -8.9 -5.7 -1.8 -0.6 -0.1 0.9 -0.4 0.5 2.0 1.8 | ||||||
EUp | -1.1 -0.4 0.0 -0.4 | -0.6 -0.9 -1.6 -1.9 | ||||||
Iceland Norway** | 2.1 1.1 2.1 1.3 -0.4 3.5 4.4 0.9 | 7.2 8.9 7.6 6.7 8.0 6.3 7.9 8.5 |
* only flats
** only existing dwellings p provisional
c confidential
Source: Eurostat
1. The House Price Indices (HPIs) describe the price developments of all residential properties purchased by households (flats, detached houses, terraced houses, etc.), both newly built and existing, independently of their final use and independently of their previous owners. The Member States' HPIs are compiled by the National Statistical Institutes. The euro area and the EU aggregate HPIs are compiled by Eurostat. HPIs are computed as annual chain indices allowing weights to be changed each year. The European HPI aggregates are currently calculated as weighted averages of the national HPIs using as weights the GDP at market prices (based on millions PPS) of the countries concerned.
Missing country data is estimated by Eurostat using data from non-harmonised sources. These estimates are not published but are used to calculate Euro area and EU aggregates.
The Member States' HPIs are compiled following a harmonised methodology. The methodology is summarised in the
Handbook on Residential Property Price Indices:
http://epp.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/portal/page/portal/hicp/methodology/hps/rppi_handbook
and in a Technical Manual available on the Eurostat website in the Housing Price Statistics dedicated pages:
http://epp.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/portal/page/portal/hicp/methodology/hps/owner_occupied_housing
This quarterly News Release is complemented by a Statistics Explained article on the Eurostat website:
http://epp.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/statistics_explained/index.php/Housing_price_statistics_-_house_price_index
2. The euro area initially included Belgium, Germany, Ireland, Spain, France, Italy, Luxembourg, the Netherlands, Austria, Portugal and Finland. Greece was included from 1 January 2001, Slovenia from 1 January 2007, Cyprus and Malta from 1
January 2008, Slovakia from 1 January 2009 and Estonia from 1 January 2011.
3. The EU included 15 Member States until April 2004, 25 Member States from May 2004 until December 2006 and 27
Member States from January 2007.
Issued by: Eurostat Press Office
Louise CORSELLI-NORDBLAD Tel: +352-4301-33 444eurostat-pressoffice@ec.europa.eu
For further information on data and methodology:
estat-real-estate@ec.europa.eu
Eurostat News Releases on the internet: http://ec.europa.eu/eurostat
Selected Principal European Economic Indicators: http://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/euroindicators
With this News Release Eurostat issues for the first time information on the development of house prices in the euro area and in the European Union. From now on, the House Price Index (HPI) will be published on a quarterly basis.
The release of the HPI is based on a legal framework, on the methodology described in the Residential Property Price Indices manual and on the practical implementation guidelines compiled by Eurostat. Data are provided by EU National Statistical Institutes. European aggregates are compiled by Eurostat.
In recent years, the analysis of housing markets has intensified as has the demand for high quality statistics on national, euro area and EU housing, in particular on residential property price indices. Eurostat and the NSIs have been working together since 2002 on a series of pilot projects to set up a system to provide harmonised House Price Indices at European level. Prior to this work, there was very little comparability between national data on housing price developments within the EU. The development of comparable and timely statistics on changes in house prices has been considered an essential target for European statistics.
ScopeThe terms 'residential property price', 'house price' and 'dwelling price' are used interchangeably to describe the price developments of all residential properties purchased by households (flats, detached houses, terraced houses, etc.), both new and existing, independent of their final use and independent of their previous owners. The emphasis is on market prices, with non-market prices being ruled out from the scope of the House Price Indices (self-build dwellings are therefore excluded). The prices of dwellings include the price of the land component.
Computation of house price indices
The first and most important issue in the compilation of HPIs is the availability of data on dwelling purchases. This refers to information about the price of the transaction and the dwelling characteristics. The dwelling characteristics which most influence price are the type of dwelling (flat, detached house, terraced house, etc.), its size and location.
A second issue is the heterogeneity of the housing market, where virtually every dwelling bought and sold is different from the others in some respect. Therefore a quality adjustment from one time period to the next is needed and is a major methodological consideration in compiling house price indices.
The HPI should be seen as an index measuring price developments for dwellings transacted in the market. It includes transactions of both new and existing dwellings, and the prices of dwellings include the land component.
To summarize, the main technical characteristics of the HPI are:
